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From Hidden Inventory to Returns Recovery: Exposing Operational Blind Spots
Published
1 jour agoon
By
The frenzy of peak season has passed, but its effects linger. For many organizations, the weeks following the holiday rush expose deeper inventory blind spots: returns pile up, inventory vanishes into processing limbo, and the hard reality that customer promises made under duress often slip through the cracks. Why does this cycle repeat, and what is really fueling these blind spots?
To move beyond conjecture, we interviewed more than 215 supply chain executives from North America and Europe, excavating data and real-world experiences from across the industry. The findings reveal a collective truth: regardless of sector, the invisible inventory crisis and the returns black hole remain among the thorniest challenges in post-peak recovery.
Inventory Blind Spots Inside the Network
Imagine a network full of inventory, and yet your systems cannot mobilize it when it is needed most. Sound familiar? Almost a quarter of the leaders we interviewed (23%) admit they cannot access inventory that physically exists in their network. An even larger share (28%) needed to cancel orders despite stock being available somewhere in their system. Now layer this on top of the scale of order volumes you get at peak, and the pain points become loud and clear:
Lost sales and false stockouts: When your systems are disconnected and data is fragmented, you lose real-time visibility to your inventory position. The solution may list an item as newly returned, just put away, or in transit, but shows “out of stock” online. When your system is unable to make order promises confidently, it impacts sales and consumer trust.
Trapped working capital: Inventory residing in returns channels, unallocated sites, or “stuck” in buffering becomes a sunk cost rather than an asset. The system holds safety stock hostage, even as one node suffers markdowns and another runs empty (an outcome reported by 39% of organizations surveyed).
Network-wide blind spots: While a remarkable 88% of surveyed executives report robust visibility in their own DCs, that clarity dissolves across partner sites, field operations, and third parties. When systems do not speak the same language or update in real time, the result is conflicting signals. One platform shows the stock as received; another shows it as in transit. A return is scanned but is not yet sellable. Instead of a single, trusted view, teams must reconcile delayed feeds and manual reports. That is how data fragmentation turns abundant information into operational confusion, and why products that physically exist still behave as if they do not.
The consequences are staggering: according to the NRF, returns alone have cost organizations over $75 billion in 2025. Real progress starts with tearing down these silos. The leaders in our study converge around a unified, real-time inventory model, bringing every node, from store, returned goods, warehouse, partners, to 3PLs, into a single source of truth. That level of synchronization does not just enable precision in order sourcing and fulfilment, it transforms “invisible” assets into available, value-driving stock.
The returns black hole
Returns are no longer just a retail story. They are headline news for distributors, logistics providers, and wholesalers alike. Across the 215+ executives we surveyed, returns emerged as the most unpredictable and costly pool of inventory. Some sectors are now seeing return rates stubbornly above 16%, transforming the “reverse channel” into an operational minefield. The research underscores this: 57% have between 5% and 15% of their inventory value, often $8 million to $25 million for a $1 billion network, locked in returns processing at any time.
Why does so much value fall through the cracks?
Capital tied up in limbo: Without intelligent, responsive systems, organizations inadvertently re-order goods they already own but cannot locate or redeploy. The working capital impact is enormous.
Forced markdowns vs. full-price recovery: When decisioning depends on batch rules or delayed data feeds, returned stock misses windows for full-price resale or redeployment. In fact, 56% of organizations told us they cannot resell eligible returns daily or even weekly, as opportunity dwindles even further for seasonal goods and/or fashion houses with fast-moving cycles.
Disconnected systems and feedback loops: With returns handled in the periphery, the rest of the supply chain operates blindly. The operational feedback needed for smarter, more lucrative resale and recovery is out of sync or absent.
The lesson: Integrating returns into the execution network, similar to OMS, WMS, and TMS in real-time, is indispensable. The most advanced supply chains are leveraging AI-driven Smart Disposition. Smart Disposition utilizes intelligent, real-time decisioning to route every return to its most valuable next destination, be it a demand hotspot, a wholesale partner, or express redeployment to fill a spike downstream. This approach turns a cost center into a fast recovery engine, ensuring those billions of peak-season API calls yield results all year.
Why it matters now
What is striking is not just the frequency of these blind spots, but how deeply various sectors have embedded them. Every API call, every promise made to a customer or partner, and every returned item piling up in the warehouse reflects the health and dysfunction of the underlying inventory network. Our research revealed that nearly 38% of organizations consider promise failures urgent, proof that trust can break down long before the truck leaves the dock.
The post-peak period is your rarest opportunity to rethink everything before the next surge exposes the same structural flaws. Instead of firefighting one false stockout, one late return, or one missed promise at a time, now is the moment to break the cycle. The organizations winning in this landscape are not waiting for another peak crisis. They are asking challenging questions and acting with urgency:
Do we have a real-time, unified view of every unit across all channels and partners?
Are you getting more returned items sold at full price, or is your largest inventory pool still sitting in a black hole?
Are your returns routed to drive maximum recovery, or simply flowing to the nearest or standard facility by default?
Does your technology adapt dynamically as demand, conditions, and customer expectations shift, even at the height of peak season traffic?
If these questions unsettle you, you are not alone, and you are not stuck. Treat your returns as your largest inventory asset to manage, not just a cost center. Turn invisible inventory into working capital, because building the foundation for staying peak-ready relies on agility, real-time data, and intelligent order orchestration. Starting now.
You can download the full report here: Real-time retail: The new operating model for inventory intelligence.
Author:
Hiu Wai Loh, Senior Product Marketing Manager, Commerce
Hiu Wai Loh is a Product Marketing Leader supporting the growth and market positioning of the growing Order Management and Returns portfolio within Blue Yonder. She plays a strategic role across go-to-market planning, analyst relations, commercial strategy, and global sales enablement, helping align product innovation with measurable business value. She works closely with global retailers, distributors, and logistics providers as they adapt to the increasing speed and complexity of modern agentic commerce. Her work focuses on translating real-world supply chain challenges into practical, data-driven operating models that improve working capital efficiency and customer trust.
She is particularly interested in building and scaling new product categories from zero to one and how real-time orchestration and AI are reshaping the future of digital commerce.
Based in London, she enjoys water sports and time outdoors.
The post From Hidden Inventory to Returns Recovery: Exposing Operational Blind Spots appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.
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Supply Chain and Logistics News February 23rd- 26th 2026
Published
13 heures agoon
27 février 2026By
This week’s supply chain landscape is defined by a massive push to bridge the gap between having data and actually using it. From the high-stakes legal battle over billion-dollar tariffs to a radical AI-driven workforce restructuring at WiseTech Global, the industry is moving past simple visibility toward a period of high-consequence execution. Whether it is the Supreme Court’s intervention in trade policy or the operationalization of decision intelligence showcased at the 30th Annual ARC Forum, the recurring theme is clear: the next competitive advantage belongs to those who can synchronize their technology, their inventory, and their legal strategies in real time. In this edition, we break down the four critical shifts—architectural, legal, operational, and structural—shaping the final days of February 2026.
Your News for the Week:
The Technology Gap: Why Supply Chain Execution Still Isn’t Fully Connected Yet
Richard Stewart of Infios argues that the primary technology gap in modern supply chain execution is not a lack of ambition or budget, but rather an architectural failure. Most existing systems, such as WMS and TMS, are designed to optimize within their own silos, leaving a critical disconnect during real-time disruptions where manual workarounds and spreadsheets are still required to coordinate responses. Citing the Supply Chain Execution Readiness Report, Richard highlights that 69% of leaders struggle with data quality and integration, driving a shift in buying criteria toward interoperability and real-time visibility. Ultimately, Richard suggests that the next competitive advantage will belong to organizations that move beyond simple visibility toward “connected execution,” prioritizing modular architectures that synchronize decisions across the entire operational landscape rather than just reporting on them.
FedEx sues the US Government, seeking a full refund over Trump Tariffs
FedEx has officially filed a lawsuit against the US government, seeking a full refund for duties paid under the Trump administration’s recent tariff policies. The move follows a landmark 6-3 Supreme Court ruling that found the president overstepped his authority by using emergency powers to bypass Congress’s sole power to levy taxes. While the court’s decision stopped the specific enforcement mechanism, it left the status of the estimated $175 billion already collected in limbo. As the first major carrier to seek reimbursement, FedEx’s legal challenge could set a precedent that could affect the logistics industry and thousands of other importers currently navigating a volatile trade environment.
From Hidden Inventory to Returns Recovery: Exposing Operational Blind Spots
Hiu Wai Loh sheds light on the hidden inventory crisis and the costly returns black hole that plagues supply chains long after peak season ends. The research reveals that a staggering number of organizations suffer from fragmented data, leading to false stockouts and millions of dollars trapped in reverse logistics limbo. To overcome these operational blind spots, the author argues that companies must tear down silos and adopt a unified, real-time inventory model. By leveraging AI-driven smart disposition, businesses can efficiently route returns to their most profitable next destination, transforming a traditional cost center into a powerful engine for full-price recovery and year-round agility.
Avantor and Aera Technology were present at the 30th Annual ARC Forum and presented on how they are operationalizing Decision Intelligence. They explore how modern supply chains are navigating the paradox of increasing global disruptions alongside record-breaking operational efficiency. By highlighting a case study from Avantor, the presentation demonstrated how Decision Intelligence (DI) can move beyond theoretical AI to automate thousands of routine daily decisions, such as stock rebalancing and purchase order prioritization. The key takeaway from the ARC Advisory Group’s 30th Leadership Forum is that companies should focus on “change-ready” solutions that solve immediate, high-impact problems rather than waiting for perfect data or fully autonomous systems.
WiseTech Global Cutting 30% of Workforce in AI restructure:
WiseTech Global, the developer of the CargoWise platform, has announced a major two-year restructuring plan that will involve cutting approximately 2,000 jobs, or 29% of its global workforce. This strategic pivot aims to integrate artificial intelligence deeper into both its internal operations and its customer-facing software, which currently handles a massive 75% of global customs transaction data. The layoffs are expected to hit the company’s U.S. cloud division, E2open, particularly hard, with some reports suggesting cuts of up to 50% there. This move comes at a turbulent time for the Australian tech giant, as it seeks to regain investor confidence following a 68% drop in share price since late 2024 amid leadership controversies and shifting market dynamics.
Song of the week:
The post Supply Chain and Logistics News February 23rd- 26th 2026 appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.
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Burger King’s AI “Patty” Moves AI Into Frontline Execution
Published
1 jour agoon
26 février 2026By
Burger King is piloting an AI assistant called “Patty” inside employee headsets as part of its broader BK Assistant platform. This is not a marketing chatbot. It is an operational system embedded into restaurant execution.
Patty supports crew members with preparation guidance, monitors equipment status, and analyzes customer interactions for defined service language such as “please” and “thank you.” Managers can query performance metrics tied to service quality in real time.
The architecture matters more than the novelty.
AI Inside the Operational Core
Patty is integrated with a cloud based point of sale system. That connection allows:
near real time inventory updates across channels
equipment downtime alerts
synchronized digital menu adjustments
structured service quality measurement
If a product goes out of stock or a machine fails, availability can be updated across kiosks, drive through boards, and digital systems within minutes.
This is AI operating inside the transaction layer, not sitting above it.
Earlier fast food AI experiments focused on automated drive through ordering. Burger King is more measured there. The more consequential shift is internal execution intelligence.
Efficiency, Visibility, and Risk
Across retail and logistics sectors, AI agents are being embedded directly into workflows to standardize performance and compress response times. The value comes from integration and coordination, not conversational capability.
At the same time, customer sentiment toward fully automated service remains mixed. Privacy, workforce implications, and over automation risk are active concerns. As AI begins monitoring tone and behavior, governance becomes part of the deployment decision.
Operational AI improves visibility. It also expands accountability.
Implications for Supply Chain and Operations Leaders
Three themes emerge:
Execution instrumentation – AI is now measuring soft metrics and converting them into structured operational data.
Closed loop response – When connected to POS and inventory systems, AI can both detect issues and trigger corrective updates.
Governance at scale – Embedding AI at the edge requires clear oversight, performance auditability, and workforce alignment.
Burger King plans to expand BK Assistant across U.S. restaurants by the end of 2026, with Patty currently piloting in several hundred locations.
This is not a fast food curiosity. It is a signal.
AI is moving from analytics to execution. From dashboards to headsets. From advisory tools to operational participants.
For supply chain leaders, the question is no longer whether AI will enter frontline operations. The question is how intentionally it will be architected and governed once it does.
The post Burger King’s AI “Patty” Moves AI Into Frontline Execution appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.
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AI and Enterprise Software: Is the “SaaSpocalypse” Narrative Overstated?
Published
1 jour agoon
26 février 2026By
Capital is rotating. Growth has given way to value, and within technology the divergence is increasingly pronounced. While broad indices have stabilized, many software names have not. Since late 2025, software equities have materially underperformed other parts of the technology complex. Forward revenue growth across many mid-cap SaaS firms has slowed from prior expansion levels, net retention rates have edged down in several categories, and valuation multiples have compressed accordingly. Markets are repricing both growth durability and margin structure.
The prevailing explanation is straightforward. Generative AI lowers barriers to entry, reduces the cost of building applications, and compresses differentiation. If application logic becomes easier to produce, competitive intensity increases and pricing power weakens. The result is visible not only in equity valuations, but in moderated expansion rates and tighter forward guidance. There is substance behind that concern. But reducing enterprise software economics to code production misses where the structural leverage in these platforms actually resides.
The Core Bear Case
The bearish thesis rests on three related propositions: AI commoditizes application logic, accelerates competitive entry, and pressures margins. If enterprises can generate software dynamically, recurring subscription models face structural pressure. If workflows can be automated through agents, reliance on fixed applications may decline. If code becomes less scarce, incumbents may struggle to defend premium multiples.
The repricing in software reflects these risks. Multiples have compressed meaningfully, and growth expectations have moderated across several verticals. In certain categories, retention softness suggests substitution pressure is already emerging. These signals should not be dismissed as temporary volatility.
At the same time, equating software value solely with feature output or code generation is a simplification. Enterprise software durability rarely rests on feature sets alone.
What Enterprise Software Actually Represents
In supply chain environments, systems function as operational coordination layers rather than isolated applications. Transportation management systems, warehouse platforms, planning suites, and multi-enterprise visibility networks sit at the center of integrated transaction flows. They embed years of configuration, exception handling logic, compliance mappings, and cross-functional workflows. Over time, they accumulate operational data that informs sourcing, forecasting, transportation optimization, and execution decisions across the enterprise.
Replacing those systems is not equivalent to generating new code. It requires rebuilding institutional memory, re-establishing integration points, and re-validating compliance controls across internal and external stakeholders. The switching cost is not interface retraining; it is operational re-architecture.
In our research on AI system design in supply chains
AI in the Supply Chain-sp
, the recurring conclusion is that structural advantage stems from coordination, persistent context, and integration density. Model capability matters. Economic durability flows from how systems connect and govern activity across distributed networks. That distinction is central to evaluating enterprise software in the current environment.
Where Risk Is Real
Not all software categories have equivalent structural protection. Risk is most evident in narrowly defined vertical tools, lightweight workflow utilities, and productivity-layer applications with limited proprietary data accumulation. In these segments, generative models can replicate core functionality with relatively low switching friction. Pricing pressure can intensify quickly, and margin compression may prove structural rather than cyclical.
By contrast, enterprise workflow orchestration platforms deeply embedded in core business processes create operational dependency. Replacing them requires redesigning process architecture, not simply substituting interfaces. Systems that accumulate years of transaction data, customization layers, and ecosystem integrations generate switching costs that extend beyond feature parity. Observability and monitoring platforms that collect continuous telemetry function as operational infrastructure; as AI agents proliferate, the need for measurement, traceability, and governance increases rather than declines.
In supply chain software specifically, planning platforms and transportation orchestration systems accumulate integration density over time. That density represents economic friction against displacement and reinforces durability when market volatility increases.
AI as Architectural Pressure
AI will alter software economics. It will increase development intensity, shorten product cycles, and compress margins in commoditized segments. Vendors operating at the surface layer of functionality will face sustained pressure.
However, AI simultaneously increases coordination complexity. As autonomous agents proliferate, enterprises require more governance controls, more integration layers, and more persistent contextual memory. The economic question shifts from “Who can build features fastest?” to “Who can coordinate distributed intelligence most reliably?”
Agent-to-agent communication, contextual memory frameworks, retrieval-based reasoning, and graph-aware modeling are becoming foundational design considerations in supply chain environments, as described in ARC’s white paper AI in the Supply Chain: Architecting the Future of Logistics. Vendors capable of governing these interactions at scale may strengthen their structural position. Vendors confined to interface-layer differentiation may see pricing pressure intensify. The outcome is not uniform decline; it is structural differentiation within the sector.
Valuation vs. Structural Impairment
Markets reprice sectors quickly when uncertainty rises. The current adjustment reflects legitimate concerns: slower growth trajectories, reduced retention durability, increased competitive intensity, and rising research and development requirements. These are measurable economic factors.
The open question is whether valuations reflect permanent impairment across enterprise software broadly, or whether the market is failing to distinguish between commoditized applications and structurally embedded coordination platforms.
Some observers argue that AI may ultimately expand the addressable market for enterprise systems rather than compress it. As AI adoption increases, enterprises may require additional orchestration frameworks, governance layers, and system-level controls. In that scenario, platforms with embedded workflows and distribution reach could see increased strategic relevance. The impact will vary materially by category and architectural depth.
In supply chain markets, complexity is not declining. Cross-border regulation is tightening, network volatility remains elevated, and multi-enterprise coordination is becoming more demanding. Economic value accrues to platforms that integrate and govern transactions, not to those that merely present information.
Implications for Enterprise Buyers
For supply chain leaders, the relevant issue is not short-term equity performance but architectural positioning. Does the platform function as a system of record embedded in transaction flows, or as a reporting layer adjacent to them? How deeply is it integrated into compliance processes, procurement logic, and transportation execution? Does it accumulate proprietary operational data that reinforces switching costs over time? Is it evolving toward coordinated AI architectures, or layering assistive tools onto a static foundation?
AI will not eliminate enterprise systems. It will expose those whose economic value rests primarily on surface functionality rather than integration depth.
A Measured Conclusion
The current narrative captures real pressure within segments of the software sector, but it does not fully account for structural differentiation. Certain categories face sustained pricing compression where differentiation is shallow and switching friction is low. Others may strengthen as AI increases coordination demands, governance requirements, and integration complexity.
The decisive factor will not be branding or feature velocity. It will be integration density, data gravity, and the ability to coordinate distributed intelligence across enterprise and partner networks. In supply chain contexts, platforms that govern transactions, maintain contextual continuity, and orchestrate multi-node operations retain structural advantage. Platforms that merely automate isolated tasks face a more uncertain economic trajectory.
That distinction, rather than headline narrative, will determine long-term outcomes.
_______________________________________________________________________________
Download the Full Architecture Framework
A2A is only one component of a broader intelligent supply chain architecture. For a structured analysis of how A2A integrates with context-aware systems, retrieval frameworks, graph-based reasoning, and data harmonization requirements, download the full white paper:
The paper outlines the architectural model, governance considerations, and practical implementation path for enterprises building connected intelligence across their supply networks.
Download the white paper to explore the complete framework.
The post AI and Enterprise Software: Is the “SaaSpocalypse” Narrative Overstated? appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.
Supply Chain and Logistics News February 23rd- 26th 2026
Burger King’s AI “Patty” Moves AI Into Frontline Execution
AI and Enterprise Software: Is the “SaaSpocalypse” Narrative Overstated?
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