Connect with us

Non classé

Asia – Europe rates staying elevated on some early pre-LNY start – December 12, 2025 Update

Published

on

Asia – Europe rates staying elevated on some early pre-LNY start – December 12, 2025 Update

Discover Freightos Enterprise

Published: December 16, 2025

Blog

Weekly highlights

Ocean rates – Freightos Baltic Index

Asia-US West Coast prices (FBX01 Weekly) decreased 6% to $1,964/FEU.

Asia-US East Coast prices (FBX03 Weekly) increased 8% to $3,150/FEU.

Asia-N. Europe prices (FBX11 Weekly) decreased 1% to $2,449/FEU.

Asia-Mediterranean prices (FBX13 Weekly) decreased 1% to $3,342/FEU.

Air rates – Freightos Air Index

China – N. America weekly prices increased 5% to $8.01/kg.

China – N. Europe weekly prices decreased 4% to $3.50/kg.

N. Europe – N. America weekly prices increased 2% to $2.53/kg.

Analysis

Despite growing signs of ocean freight overcapacity, container rates on Asia – Europe lanes have maintained their increases from recent GRIs.

Asia – Mediterranean rates were level last week at $3,342/FEU after climbing 15% to start the month for its fourth consecutive successful GRI since mid-October, before which prices dipped to a year low of about $2,000/FEU.

Asia – N. Europe prices were stable last week at $2,449/FEU, and level with rates set in early November, but still well above its mid-October nadir of $1,700/FEU. For most of the last two months rates on these lanes have climbed bi-monthly via capacity reductions as demand eased. But carriers and forwarders are now reporting an uptick in demand as some shippers are getting an early start to pre-Lunar New Year ordering – a trend also seen in Asia – Europe rate behavior in 2023 and 2024 when December prices climbed sharply, possibly in response to Red Sea-driven longer lead times.

Carriers are now increasing capacity to meet demand, with some planning mid-month Asia – Europe and Mediterranean GRIs to the $4,200/FEU and $4,750/FEU levels respectively. Through October, year to date Asia – Europe volumes were up 8.6% according to CTS. December demand is likely stronger than last year as well, with some speculating that some shippers are expecting a return to the Red Sea soon and are therefore building inventory buffers now in expectation of disruptions. But even with both Red Sea diversions still in place and volume growth, spot rates have consistently been lower than last year. Current Asia – N. Europe rates are down 54% compared to last December, pointing to capacity growth as an important factor to current price levels.

On the transpacific meanwhile, even with capacity reductions – and additional blanked sailings announced for the coming weeks – carriers are having difficulty getting the series of recent GRIs to stick. Last week West Coast rates retreated 6% from a start of the month GRI bump, to $1,963/FEU. Prices to the East Coast increased 8% to $3,150/FEU this week, but are down 15% from a month ago. Even with these ups and downs, though, carriers have succeeded in keeping rates above October lows of $1,400/FEU and $3,000/FEU respectively, likely with benefits of higher rates for short periods in between the dips.

Slumping Q4 demand, in addition to growing fleets, is an important factor to rate levels, making planned mid-month GRIs unlikely to hold, and a more sustained rate rebound more likely only as we get closer to LNY. There are some indications that part of current demand levels is due to some US manufacturers pausing imports in the hopes that a Supreme Court decision invalidating IEEPA tariffs will come soon and result in lowered duties. Though the White House maintains that if IEEPA is struck down, it is ready to quickly restore tariffs by other means, some speculate that the administration – under growing pressure from cost of living concerns – could use a court decision against them as a tariff off-ramp.

Watch our recent 2025 Freight Year in Review and 2026 Lookahead webinar here.

But even with seasonal increases in demand in 2026 – and following an estimated 1.4% decline for 2025 year total US ocean imports – S&P projects year totals in 2026 will fall 2% before a 6% rebound in 2027.

And slumping demand next year will coincide with capacity that will continue to grow. Though most of the new vessels are large and used on the main east-west trades, these new deliveries are also having knock-on effects on secondary lanes, like regional and feeder markets. As these new large vessels are introduced, older large vessels are being shifted to secondary lanes increasing capacity on these lanes, but also leading to an aging smaller-vessel fleet, which could set up a shortage of right-sized ships for these lanes even as total capacity grows.

Capacity levels will be even higher once Red Sea diversions end. But regardless of when carriers feel ready to resume traffic through the Suez, vessels won’t be able to return until vessel and cargo insurers also agree that the risk of attack has dropped sufficiently. Some experts suggest insurers will need at least another 60-90 days of quiet before considering a Red Sea return.

In other geopolitical developments, Mexico announced significant upcoming tariffs on many goods from countries with which they do not have trade agreements, including China. This step would be a blow to China, as Chinese exports to and investment in Mexico have grown sharply over the last few years. But despite this year’s trade war, China has shown export growth driven by diversification of trade partners.

In air cargo too, global volumes have grown from trade diversification even as changes to de minimis rules in N. America – including Mexico – have meant fewer e-commerce volumes entering those markets by air.

But even on the transpacific, air demand has rebounded, if not fully recovered from the de minimis cancellations, both from some e-commerce recovery but also from significant general cargo growth from Vietnam as well as from China. IATA estimates that – after sharp e-commerce-driven 11% growth in 2024 – 2025 global air volumes will be 3.1% stronger than last year and that in 2026 demand will grow by 2.6%.

As air peak season enters its final week Freightos Air Index China-US rates climbed to a year high of more than $8.00/kg, stretching past last year’s $7.30/kg peak, with South East Asia – US prices up to $5.50/kg from $5.00/kg in October. China – Europe rates dipped to $3.50/kg last week as capacity, following the fast growth in volumes, has shifted to this lane.

Discover Freightos Enterprise

Freightos Terminal: Real-time pricing dashboards to benchmark rates and track market trends.

Procure: Streamlined procurement and cost savings with digital rate management and automated workflows.

Rate, Book, & Manage: Real-time rate comparison, instant booking, and easy tracking at every shipment stage.

Judah Levine

Head of Research, Freightos Group

Judah is an experienced market research manager, using data-driven analytics to deliver market-based insights. Judah produces the Freightos Group’s FBX Weekly Freight Update and other research on what’s happening in the industry from shipper behaviors to the latest in logistics technology and digitization.

Put the Data in Data-Backed Decision Making

Freightos Terminal helps tens of thousands of freight pros stay informed across all their ports and lanes

The post Asia – Europe rates staying elevated on some early pre-LNY start – December 12, 2025 Update appeared first on Freightos.

Continue Reading

Non classé

Technology Strategy, Not Technology Noise: A Practical AI Playbook for Supply Chain Leaders

Published

on

By

Supply-chain executives face no shortage of technology advice.

They are told to adopt artificial intelligence, automate decision-making, modernize legacy systems, build digital twins, improve visibility, connect suppliers, deploy agents, and prepare for autonomous operations.

Most of these recommendations are directionally reasonable. Taken together, however, they can create more confusion than clarity.

The problem is not that supply-chain organizations lack access to technology. It is that they often lack a disciplined method for deciding which technologies deserve investment, which business problems should be addressed first, and how new capabilities should fit into the existing operating model.

This challenge is especially acute for small and midsize enterprises, which cannot afford multiple failed pilots or overlapping platforms. Their investments must solve real problems, produce measurable returns, and reach operational use without excessive complexity.

The correct strategy is to build a focused system around the organization’s most important constraints. That requires less technology noise and more strategic discipline.

Start With the Business Constraint

Many technology programs begin with a product category.

A company decides that it needs AI, a control tower, a digital twin, robotic process automation, or an advanced planning platform. It then searches for a use case that justifies the selected technology.

The process should be reversed.

The organization should begin by identifying the operational constraint that most directly affects service, cost, growth, or resilience. That constraint might be poor forecast accuracy, excess inventory, high transportation costs, slow order processing, limited supplier visibility, excessive manual planning, inconsistent production schedules, or weak master data.

The company can then determine what combination of process changes, data improvements, software capabilities, and management decisions is required.

Technology is often part of the answer, but it is rarely the entire answer.

A forecasting problem may reflect weak data or poor coordination. A transportation problem may result from fragmented procurement or inconsistent routing. Better software can help, but only when the surrounding processes are also redesigned.

Starting with the constraint keeps the technology discussion connected to measurable business value.

Prioritize Decisions, Not Features

Enterprise software is usually sold through features.

Vendors demonstrate dashboards, alerts, recommendations, workflows, scenario tools, and AI assistants. The demonstrations may be impressive, but they can obscure the most important question: Which decisions will improve?

A useful technology strategy identifies the decisions the organization wants to make faster, more consistently, or with better information.

Examples include how much inventory to position at each location, when to expedite a shipment, which supplier poses the greatest risk, how to resequence production after a disruption, which carrier should receive a load, and when an exception should be escalated.

Once those decisions are defined, the company can evaluate whether technology improves their speed, quality, consistency, or economic outcome.

This is particularly important for AI.

An AI system that generates a polished explanation may appear valuable without changing an operational result. A simpler application that helps a planner resolve exceptions 20 minutes faster may produce a clearer return.

The goal is not to maximize the number of AI features. It is to improve the economics and reliability of important decisions.

Build on a Minimum Viable Data Foundation

Technology programs frequently stall because organizations underestimate the condition of their data.

Supply-chain data is often fragmented across systems, uses inconsistent identifiers, and contains outdated lead times or inaccurate inventory records.

A company does not need perfect data before beginning a technology initiative. Waiting for complete data perfection can become another form of delay.

It does need enough trusted data to support the selected decision.

The minimum viable data foundation should identify which systems hold the required information, who owns each data element, how frequently the data is updated, which records are reliable enough for operational use, where definitions conflict, and what happens when data is missing.

This work may sound less exciting than deploying AI, but it often determines whether the technology produces value.

Improve the data required for the first high-value use case, then reuse that foundation as additional applications are added.

Use AI Where Judgment and Information Intersect

Artificial intelligence is most useful where employees must interpret large amounts of information, recognize patterns, and make repeatable judgments under time pressure.

Supply chains contain many such situations.

A planner may need to understand why an order is late, which customers are affected, what inventory is available elsewhere, and which recovery options are practical. Procurement and logistics teams face similarly information-intensive judgments.

AI can help gather information, summarize evidence, classify events, generate alternatives, and prepare recommendations.

It should not automatically receive authority over every operational decision.

The level of autonomy should reflect the consequences of error.

Low-risk tasks such as document classification, status summarization, and draft communication may be highly automated. Medium-risk actions may require human review. High-impact decisions involving safety, contractual commitments, large expenditures, production shutdowns, or customer allocation should retain explicit human approval.

This graduated model allows organizations to gain productivity without treating autonomy as the primary measure of progress.

The most valuable AI system may not be the one that eliminates the planner. It may be the one that allows the planner to manage three times as many exceptions with better information.

Avoid the Pilot Trap

Many companies have accumulated technology pilots that never reached production.

A pilot is launched because the technology appears promising. A small team demonstrates that it can work under controlled conditions. The project receives positive feedback, but the organization never resolves integration, ownership, funding, governance, or process-design requirements.

The pilot remains an experiment.

To avoid this pattern, companies should define the production path before the pilot begins. That includes the business owner, operational users, target workflow, required data, system integrations, success metrics, control requirements, expected operating cost, deployment timeline, and stopping conditions.

A pilot should answer a specific uncertainty. It may test whether the model is accurate enough, whether users will adopt the workflow, whether the required data is available, or whether the economics are attractive.

If the uncertainty is resolved positively, the company should know what comes next.

Favor Modular Architecture Over Premature Platforms

Supply-chain leaders are often encouraged to select a single platform that will support planning, execution, visibility, analytics, automation, and AI.

Platforms can reduce integration effort, simplify support, and provide a consistent data and security environment.

But broad platforms can also create lock-in, slow implementation, and force companies to accept average capabilities in areas where they need specialized performance.

Smaller organizations should be especially careful about purchasing a large platform based on capabilities they may not use for years.

A more practical strategy is modular.

The company can maintain a stable transactional core while adding specialized capabilities around it. APIs, integration platforms, shared data models, and standardized tool interfaces can help those components work together.

The objective is to preserve the ability to add or replace capabilities without rebuilding the entire environment. This is especially important as models, optimization engines, and workflow tools continue to evolve.

Measure Operational Value

Technology programs should be judged against operational and financial outcomes.

The appropriate measures depend on the use case, but they may include planner hours saved, forecast error reduced, inventory lowered, service levels improved, expedite costs avoided, transportation spending reduced, exceptions resolved faster, downtime prevented, supplier risks identified earlier, and working capital released.

These metrics should be established before implementation.

Usage statistics are insufficient. Organizations must also measure accuracy, business impact, and the ongoing cost of models, cloud infrastructure, integration, monitoring, and human review.

The correct comparison is between the total cost of the new operating model and the measurable value it produces.

Develop Capability in Stages

A practical technology strategy should advance through controlled stages.

First, digitize and standardize the workflow. A broken manual process should not be automated without understanding why it is broken.

Second, improve visibility so users can access reliable information about orders, inventory, shipments, suppliers, and production resources.

Third, introduce decision support through analytics, optimization, or AI.

Fourth, automate repeatable low-risk actions within established limits.

Fifth, expand autonomy only where performance, controls, and economics justify it.

This sequence may appear slower than announcing an autonomous supply-chain initiative. In practice, it is often faster because each stage creates usable value and reduces the risk of scaling an unstable process.

Technology Strategy Is a Management Discipline

The central technology challenge facing supply-chain organizations is selection.

Companies must decide where technology will create competitive advantage, where it will improve efficiency, and where investment should be delayed.

For small and midsize organizations, focus is itself a strategic asset. They may not be able to fund every emerging capability, but they can often move faster when they select one meaningful constraint, assign clear ownership, and build a solution around measurable results.

The strongest technology strategy is not the one with the longest list of platforms, pilots, and AI features.

It is the one that connects a limited number of well-chosen technologies to the decisions that determine operational performance.

Supply-chain leaders should begin with the constraint, define the decision, establish the required data, select the smallest viable solution, and measure the result.

That approach may sound less dramatic than a broad digital-transformation program.

It is also far more likely to produce one.

The post Technology Strategy, Not Technology Noise: A Practical AI Playbook for Supply Chain Leaders appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

Continue Reading

Non classé

Model Context Protocol and the Future of Agentic Supply Chains

Published

on

By

Most large companies now operate combinations of enterprise resource planning systems, transportation management systems, warehouse management systems, planning applications, supplier portals, control towers, data platforms, and specialized analytics tools. Yet employees still spend substantial time searching for information, reconciling records, moving data between applications, and coordinating work through email and spreadsheets.

Artificial intelligence agents could change this operating model.

An agent can interpret a request, gather information, select tools, complete a sequence of tasks, and adjust its behavior based on the result. Instead of merely answering a question, it could investigate a late shipment, determine the likely cause, evaluate alternatives, and prepare a recommended response.

But agents cannot operate effectively if every enterprise system speaks a different technical language.

This is why Model Context Protocol, or MCP, could become important to the next generation of supply-chain architecture.

MCP is an open protocol designed to standardize how AI applications connect to external data, tools, and systems. It provides a common method for exposing information and capabilities to AI models without requiring a unique integration for every model, application, and data source.

If AI agents are to become useful in supply-chain operations, they need a consistent way to discover available resources, retrieve the correct context, and invoke approved actions. MCP is one possible mechanism for creating that layer.

The Integration Problem Behind Enterprise AI

Large language models can summarize documents, generate explanations, and reason over text. On their own, however, they do not know the current status of an order, inventory position, shipment, supplier, production schedule, or customer commitment.

That information lives in ERP databases, planning platforms, carrier portals, warehouse systems, supplier-risk services, document repositories, and custom applications.

To become operationally useful, a model must reach those systems.

Early enterprise AI implementations have generally relied on custom integrations connecting a model to a database, API, search service, or software platform. This can work for a narrow use case, but problems appear when companies attempt to scale.

If an organization uses several AI models, dozens of systems, and a growing number of agent workflows, integration complexity rises quickly. Security rules may differ across projects. Tool definitions become inconsistent. Updates to one system may break multiple agents. Governance becomes difficult because no common layer controls how AI applications interact with enterprise resources.

MCP attempts to reduce this many-to-many problem by introducing a standardized interface between AI applications and external systems.

What MCP Actually Does

MCP uses a client-server architecture.

An AI application acts as the client. External systems, tools, or data sources are represented through MCP servers. Each server exposes a defined set of resources and capabilities that an authorized AI application can discover and use.

An MCP server describes the data and executable tools an authorized AI application can use.

An agent investigating a delayed customer order might use one server to retrieve order details, another to obtain shipment status, another to review inventory at alternative facilities, and another to calculate expedited transportation options.

None of this is impossible without MCP. These capabilities can be built through conventional APIs, middleware, and integration platforms.

The potential value is standardization.

A common protocol could make it easier to expose enterprise capabilities to multiple AI systems while maintaining a consistent access and control layer.

From Chatbots to Operational Agents

Many current enterprise AI deployments are conversational interfaces placed over existing information.

A user asks a question. The system retrieves content. The model generates a response.

That can improve productivity, but it does not fundamentally change the operating model.

Agentic systems go further. They can break a goal into tasks, select tools, execute steps, inspect results, and continue until they reach a stopping condition.

Consider a critical component expected to arrive three days late.

A conventional alert may notify a planner, who then needs to confirm the delay, identify affected production orders, check inventory, assess substitutes, review alternative suppliers, evaluate expedited freight, estimate customer impact, and coordinate a recovery plan.

An agent could assemble much of this analysis. It might retrieve shipment status, query the production schedule, calculate days of supply, identify affected orders, and prepare several recovery options.

The human planner would retain critical decision authority but receive a structured recommendation instead of beginning with fragmented information.

For this to work, the agent needs reliable access to many different applications and data sources.

That is where MCP becomes strategically relevant.

An AI-Facing Access Layer

Traditional integration platforms focus on moving data and coordinating transactions among systems.

MCP addresses a different layer. It helps an AI application discover and use tools in a format designed for model-driven interaction.

That distinction matters because an agent does not always follow a fixed workflow. It may choose different tools depending on the problem.

Different disruptions require different tools and responses. The agent must understand which tools exist, what inputs they require, and what outputs they provide.

An MCP server can expose those capabilities in a consistent, machine-readable format.

This does not eliminate APIs, middleware, master-data systems, or integration platforms. In many cases, the MCP server will sit above those capabilities.

It becomes an AI-facing access layer: a method for making existing enterprise architecture legible and usable to agents.

A Modular Supply-Chain Architecture

The long-term potential becomes clearer when MCP servers are viewed as reusable enterprise building blocks.

Transportation, warehouse, planning, and supplier servers could expose approved capabilities such as shipment status, inventory, forecasts, capacity, risk indicators, and optimization tools.

Once standardized, the same capabilities could serve procurement, planning, logistics, and customer-service agents. This reduces duplicate integrations and supports a more modular architecture.

Specialized Agents Are More Realistic

The most credible enterprise future is unlikely to involve one all-powerful agent controlling the entire supply chain.

Supply chains are too complex, specialized, and consequential for that model.

A more realistic architecture consists of multiple agents with bounded responsibilities. A company might deploy a transportation-exception agent, supplier-risk agent, demand-planning agent, warehouse-labor agent, procurement agent, and production-scheduling agent.

Each agent would have access only to the tools and information required for its role.

A transportation agent might retrieve rates and recommend carrier changes but lack authority to change supplier payment terms. A procurement agent might analyze supplier performance and prepare a sourcing event but be unable to release production orders.

Specialized agents will also need to coordinate. A supplier disruption may begin as a procurement problem, become a planning issue, trigger a transportation requirement, and ultimately affect customer service.

MCP helps agents interact with tools and systems. Agent-to-agent protocols are intended to help agents exchange tasks and context with one another.

Together, these technologies could support a layered architecture in which enterprise systems hold operational records, integration platforms connect those systems, MCP servers expose approved capabilities, specialized agents perform bounded tasks, and humans retain decision authority.

This is not a fully autonomous supply chain. It is structured machine-assisted coordination.

Why Software Vendors Should Pay Attention

In an agentic environment, users may interact less frequently with application screens. An agent could call planning, inventory, transportation, and supplier capabilities in the background.

Vendors must therefore decide which functions they expose, how they secure them, and whether they support open protocols or proprietary frameworks. Competitive advantage may increasingly depend on making capabilities easy to discover, govern, and combine with other systems.

Governance Will Determine Whether This Works

The promise of MCP should not obscure the risks.

An agent with access to enterprise tools can cause operational damage if permissions, validation, and monitoring are weak. A mistaken tool call could change an order, expose confidential information, select an inappropriate carrier, or initiate an unauthorized transaction.

Companies will need strict controls around identity, authentication, authorization, data exposure, tool permissions, audit trails, and human approval.

Read access should be separated from transaction authority. High-impact actions should require approval. Tool outputs should be validated before they are used in subsequent steps.

Organizations must also defend against prompt injection, malicious tool descriptions, compromised servers, and incorrect model reasoning.

MCP can standardize access, but it does not make that access inherently safe.

A Practical Path Forward

Supply-chain leaders do not need to redesign their enterprise architecture around MCP immediately.

A practical starting point is one bounded workflow with measurable value and limited operational risk.

A transportation exception, supplier document review, order-status investigation, or inventory inquiry may be more appropriate than autonomous procurement or production scheduling.

The company can expose a small number of approved tools, establish permissions, test the workflow, and measure both operational performance and control effectiveness.

The objective is not to deploy agents everywhere. It is to learn where standardized tool access reduces integration effort and improves decision speed.

MCP may not become the dominant protocol, but the broader architectural direction is difficult to ignore.

AI models are moving beyond isolated chat interfaces. They are beginning to interact with the systems where operational work occurs.

For supply-chain organizations, the strategic question is no longer whether AI can generate useful answers. It is whether agents can access the right data, use the right tools, and act within the right controls.

Protocols such as MCP could provide part of that foundation.

The companies that prepare their systems, permissions, and workflows for this environment will be better positioned to move from AI experimentation to operational value.

The post Model Context Protocol and the Future of Agentic Supply Chains appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

Continue Reading

Non classé

Freight rate update for July 29th – July 29, 2026 Update

Published

on

By

Weekly highlights

The Freightos Weekly Update is on hiatus this week – but we’ll be back next week!

In the meantime, here are this week’s changes to freight rates on some of the major lanes.

Ocean rates – Freightos Baltic Index

Asia-US West Coast prices (FBX01 Weekly) decreased 12% to $6,212/FEU.

Asia-US East Coast prices (FBX03 Weekly) decreased 1% to $9,002/FEU.

Asia-N. Europe prices (FBX11 Weekly) decreased 3% to $5,575/FEU.

Asia-Mediterranean prices (FBX13 Weekly) decreased 2% to $6,697/FEU.

Air rates – Freightos Air Index

China – N. America weekly prices decreased 2% to $5.76/kg.

China – N. Europe weekly prices decreased 10% to $3.84/kg.

N. Europe – N. America weekly prices stayed level at $1.93/kg.

Freightos Terminal: Real-time pricing dashboards to benchmark rates and track market trends.

Procure: Streamlined procurement and cost savings with digital rate management and automated workflows.

Rate, Book, & Manage: Real-time rate comparison, instant booking, and easy tracking at every shipment stage.

The post Freight rate update for July 29th – July 29, 2026 Update appeared first on Freightos.

Continue Reading

Trending