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The Workforce Strategies Supply Chain Leaders Will Need to Employ for the Next 4 Years

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The Workforce Strategies Supply Chain Leaders Will Need To Employ For The Next 4 Years

Foster Finley, coauthor of this article

The upcoming Trump administration has signaled a number of trade and immigration initiatives that will significantly impact supply chain strategies for the next four years and beyond. The potential for business disruption and impact on the bottom line of many companies will cause the C-suites to turn to supply chain leaders to mitigate higher costs and labor shortages. This post focuses on what to do in what could be a very challenging labor market.

To understand what is happening and its impact on supply chain strategies, let’s look at what has been announced so far that could impact the labor market. It has been proposed that 2 to 11 million illegal aliens will be deported.

Before considering the impact of any efforts to remove illegal aliens let’s review what has been happening to the U.S. workforce for decades. The use of illegal aliens in the U.S. workforce has been well underway for over 50 years and, in many cases, embedded in the economic models of many industries such as construction, agriculture, domestic and janitorial services, landscaping, and many forms of manufacturing.

There are fewer U.S.-born people entering the job market because the birth rate in the U.S. has been declining for decades, and the birth replacement rate has not been met for 50 years. Further, the U.S. has been operating at almost record low levels of unemployment (3.7% to 4.1%) for 3 years and workforce participation has stabilized. This has consequences. From the middle of 2020 until today, supply chain organizations have been under intense pressure to find and retain quality resources – labor and knowledge workers.

Taking resources out of the U.S. labor market through mass deportation will put extreme cost and availability pressure on the overall labor market. As was seen during the pandemic, when there was also an extreme labor shortage, workers crossed industries to make more money. This is now a learned lesson for many workers and there is no reason expect that behavior to change as those industries most impacted by deportation or the threat of it, scramble to find workers to fill open positions.

The timing and level of deportation is uncertain, but when it does happen there will be resource scarcity shock waves rolling across industries and geographies. An obvious impact will be on the higher cost of those that are available. However, there is likely to be revenue impacts for those companies that cannot make up for the labor shortfall because they cannot get products to the market on time or at all.

The challenges retaining and recruiting supply chain talent have been underway for a number of years will increase. To mitigate the impact of impending tighter labor constraints, supply chain leaders will need to focus more of their efforts on becoming the employer of choice to retain and recruit resources while reducing their dependence upon labor in general.

The first action supply chain leaders should be on policies and practices that strengthen workforce retention. Replacement is going to get much harder because of an increasingly reduced pool of available resources and what we continue to hear from supply chain leaders, lower quality resources in the market.

The second action is to reduce the dependence upon supply chain labor and seasonal hiring. Supply chains are labor intensive, and the need for labor is not going away, but the impact of shortages can be mitigated through hard and soft automation. Repetitive tasks can be moved from humans to machines and robots.

The productivity of existing labor resources can be dramatically improved, reducing the number of manufacturing and warehouse workers and drivers needed or minimizing the need to hire as many seasonal workers as in the past. However, supply chain leaders need to act quickly here as we hear that lead times for automation equipment and resources to implement them has become extended.

The last action is to improve hiring practices and focus on non-cash benefits that attract new resources. Compensation will not be a differentiator unless your organization is willing to go well beyond industry norms for pay. At best, it will be temporal as others recognize your efforts. There are other ways such as flexible working hours, skills training, etc. that potential workers value highly and differentiate during the hiring process.

Two of the bigger wildcards in the deportation discussion are what industries and geographies get impacted first and the most. One way to look at this is to consider the states closest to the Southern U.S. border and their political leaning. For example, Texas and Arizona are more likely to see deportation move quickly than California. The same thoughts could be applied further inland. This is likely to affect smaller and regional rather than larger businesses as the larger ones have traditionally stricter hiring practices and greater regulations.

Supply chain leaders should also evaluate suppliers based on border or adjacent states to determine the vulnerability to a resource shortage. It’s not just whether they were using illegal aliens, but rather, are they at risk of losing labor to others willing to pay more to make up for their own shortfalls?

The U.S. labor market is extremely complicated and entwined and unwinding the illegal alien situation that has been evolving over the last 50 years. Because “illegals” are deeply embedded in many industries, there will be unintended consequences to the overall workforce and supply chains in particular.

Protecting the supply chain workforce will be critical for the next four years as they are becoming more valuable given an impending reduction in available workers and proposed tariffs dissenting offshoring. Supply chain leaders need to be able to communicate to the C-suite that there is significant potential for higher labor costs but, equally important, fewer workers, which could impact top-line performance.

Investment in solutions that improve worker productivity or eliminate traditional labor-based operations must be prioritized to minimize the upcoming impact on resources.

Chris Jones is a supply chain industry veteran with over 40 years of a broad range of hands-on leadership experience. He was Executive Vice President at Descartes Systems for 19 years leading Marketing, Services, Product Management and Development at various times during his tenure. He helps supply chain executives understand how to transform their operation’s performance and expand its impact on the business.

Foster Finley has over 37 years of industry and consulting experience. He was a Managing Director at AlixPartners, the global business advisory firm, and co-lead the firm’s global Operations Practice. He has a long track record of high-impact, complex project planning and execution for operations-intensive clients across many industries.

The post The Workforce Strategies Supply Chain Leaders Will Need to Employ for the Next 4 Years appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

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The Freight Forwarder Moat Is Getting Shallower

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The Freight Forwarder Moat Is Getting Shallower

Ocean freight forwarding is an $80+ billion market bogged down by the manual processes related to booking management, documentation services, and the coordination labor that holds it all together.

When working with a freight forwarder, you’re buying three things bundled together:

Carrier relationships — access to capacity, negotiated rates, allocation commitments.
Operational data — knowing which carrier fits a given lane, what documents a particular trade corridor requires, how to handle an exception when a booking gets rejected.
Coordination labor — the booking itself, the documents per container (industry estimates range from 9 to 18 depending on the corridor), the re-keying of data across disconnected systems, the email chains chasing confirmations and clearances.

Shippers have always paid for the bundle because you couldn’t get one piece without the others, but that’s changing.

Where the bundle comes apart

Travel agents used to bundle airline relationships, destination expertise, and the labor of putting trips together into a single fee. Aggregator platforms unbundled the pieces, and the booking layer went first because that’s where the volume was. Ocean freight forwarding is in the same position. More than digitizing booking, though, AI is automating it.

The bulk of the volume and labor cost for freight forwarders is tied up in rate comparisons across dozens of carriers, document preparation and routing by trade lane and commodity classification, booking execution against pre-negotiated contracts, and exception triage on rejected bookings.

But this is all high-volume, rule-governed, multi-system coordination where speed and consistency matter more than creativity. Exactly the type of work that AI agents are well-equipped to handle.

Platforms can now ingest a rate agreement, parse surcharges and FAK provisions into a digital rate profile, compare carriers on cost, transit time, and schedule reliability, and execute a booking based on pre-defined parameters, without a human in the loop.

Automating the entire order lifecycle

Every dollar of margin exposure in ocean freight traces back to a decision made without complete information. That means that every action must be rooted in live network data across shipment flows, carrier performance, and insight from inventory and order systems. A platform with that intelligence can automate and accelerate the full workflow from detecting a supply shortfall, selecting a carrier, booking the container, managing the documents, tracking the shipment, and handling exceptions.

A shipper stitching together a rate tool from one vendor, a booking portal from another, a document system from a third, and a visibility feed from a fourth gets digitization. They get a slightly faster version of the same manual process. The full picture still lives in a person’s head, and the handoffs between systems still require human coordination.

While freight forwarders and other intermediaries are also investing in AI, they’re primarily automating their own coordination labor before someone else absorbs it. But they can’t replicate the data advantage of a platform that sits across the entire supply chain.

A forwarder automating its booking desk draws on its own transaction history. A point solution built specifically for ocean booking draws on booking data. A platform processing millions of supply chain events daily across orders, inventory, carrier performance, and live shipment status, has a different signal base entirely. Carrier selection informed by real-time schedule reliability, live network disruption, and your actual inventory positions is structurally more accurate than carrier selection informed by historical rate tables.

The shrinking intermediary layer

The moats around freight forwarders’ profit margins are eroding, and the lines between legacy endpoint solutions are blurring. High-complexity corridors and specialized commodities still need human expertise, but the bread-and-butter containerized freight that makes up the bulk of forwarder revenue is the volume where automated workflows shine.

Meanwhile, software providers will have a hard time selling dashboards and chatbots to specific teams compared to AI-native platforms offering a single operating system across all supply chain operations, and serving downstream stakeholders.

The question for forwarders is how long they can keep patching automation onto a fragmented architecture with a booking tool here, a document system there, people bridging the handoffs in between. And how much revenue sits in structured, repeatable work that a connected platform absorbs?

For shippers, the choice is whether to invest in a platform that automates the order-to-delivery and exception lifecycle, or keep paying others to hold the pieces together. The second option is a decision to fund the intermediary layer sitting between them and their own data.

The post The Freight Forwarder Moat Is Getting Shallower appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

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Supply Chain and Logistics News Week of May 7th 2026

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Supply Chain And Logistics News Week Of May 7th 2026

The logistics and supply chain landscape is undergoing a fundamental transformation as industries move from rigid, low-cost models toward strategies defined by agility and resilience. This week’s roundup explores how major players are navigating this shift, from Amazon’s bold move to offer its massive infrastructure as a standalone service to Ford’s strategic manufacturing reset in the EV sector. We also dive into the critical human element in modern cost engineering, the logistical reimagining of energy corridors due to geopolitical risks, and the new AI-driven tools closing the gap between inventory detection and real-time execution. Together, these developments highlight a common theme: the pursuit of flexibility and data-driven intelligence in an increasingly unpredictable global market.

Top Supply Chain Stories from this Week:

Modern Cost Engineering Evolution: Rewiring the Human Element for Supply Chain Resilience

In the latest shift for cost engineering, the focus is moving beyond purely digital tools to address the critical human element required for true supply chain resilience. As industrial organizations transition from traditional backward-looking estimates to modern “should-cost” methods powered by AI and digital twins, the real challenge lies in workforce transformation. Success in this new landscape requires a significant cultural shift, moving away from isolated departmental silos toward cross-functional collaboration. By reskilling traditional estimators to act as strategic consultants—capable of interpreting material science and operational constraints—companies can evolve from simple price negotiation to collaborative manufacturing improvements that ensure mutual profitability and long-term stability.

Hormuz Risk Is Redrawing the Supply Chain Geography of Energy

Geopolitical instability in the Strait of Hormuz is forcing a fundamental shift in energy logistics, moving the industry away from lowest-cost network design toward a risk-adjusted model. With the waterway handling roughly 20% of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas, repeated disruptions have transformed infrastructure like pipelines, storage terminals, and deep-water ports outside the Persian Gulf into high-value strategic assets. Nations and corporations are no longer viewing these as simple logistics nodes, but as essential escape routes that provide the optionality and recovery time needed to withstand chokepoint failures. This selective redesign of the global energy map signals a new era where geography and physical redundancy are the primary drivers of supply chain resilience.

Ford’s Manufacturing Reset Shows How Automakers Are Rebuilding the EV Supply Chain

Ford’s manufacturing pivot represents a fundamental shift from aggressive electric vehicle expansion toward capital discipline and supply chain flexibility. By taking a $19.5 billion write-down and restructuring battery joint ventures, the company is moving away from rigid, single-purpose production lines in favor of multi-energy platforms that can adapt to fluctuating demand for hybrids and EVs. A key component of this reset is the repurposing of battery manufacturing assets in Kentucky and Michigan for stationary energy storage and data center support. This strategy transforms these facilities into flexible energy infrastructure rather than just automotive supply nodes. Ultimately, Ford is signaling that the next phase of the market will be defined by the ability to manage uncertainty through cross-functional asset utilization and a focus on manufacturing-driven affordability.

How FourKites Connects Stockout Detection to Freight Execution in Minutes

FourKites has launched a unified solution that bridges the gap between stockout detection and freight execution, reducing resolution time from hours to less than five minutes. By integrating its Inventory Twin and Booking Connect AI, the platform eliminates the traditional “manual scavenger hunt” where planners had to jump between ERPs and carrier portals to resolve inventory gaps. The system uses decision intelligence to identify stockout risks up to six weeks in advance and provides ranked recommendations for corrective transfers based on cost, speed, and carrier performance. This closed-loop workflow allows planners to execute optimized shipping options with a single click, addressing the massive financial impact of inventory distortion and reducing the need for expensive, unplanned expedited shipping.

Amazon Launches “Supply Chain Services” Leveraging its Global Logistics Network

Amazon has officially launched Amazon Supply Chain Services (ASCS), a move that decouples its massive logistics infrastructure from its retail marketplace to serve as a standalone utility for all businesses. Similar to the trajectory of Amazon Web Services (AWS), the platform opens up Amazon’s multimodal freight, automated warehousing, and last-mile parcel delivery networks to companies regardless of whether they sell on Amazon. Major early adopters like Procter & Gamble, 3M, and Lands’ End are already leveraging the service to move everything from raw materials to finished products. By consolidating fragmented logistics contracts into a single automated interface, Amazon aims to use its scale—currently moving 13 billion items annually—to provide businesses with end-to-end visibility and 96.4% on-time delivery rates, signaling a significant new challenge to traditional 3PLs and carriers like FedEx and UPS.

Song of the week:

The post Supply Chain and Logistics News Week of May 7th 2026 appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

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How FourKites Connects Stockout Detection to Freight Execution in Minutes

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How Fourkites Connects Stockout Detection To Freight Execution In Minutes

FourKites is bridging the gap between identifying a problem and solving it. With the integration of Inventory Twin and Booking Connect AI. Traditionally, supply chain planners have been stuck in a manual scavenger hunt whenever a stockout alert surfaced, jumping between ERPs to find surplus stock and carrier portals to secure freight. This fragmented process typically took hours, often forcing companies to rely on expensive, last-minute expedited shipping or facing steep On-Time In-Full (OTIF) penalties to avoid customer dissatisfaction. By unifying these disparate data streams, the new solution allows teams to detect risks two to six weeks in advance and execute corrective transfers from a single, seamless workflow.

The impact on operational efficiency is significant, reducing the resolution time from detection to execution from several hours to less than five minutes. Instead of just receiving a warning, planners are presented with recommendations powered by Decision Intelligence that include the fastest, cheapest, and most optimal shipping options based on real-time carrier performance data. This closed-loop system directly addresses the 1.73 trillion dollar global issue of inventory distortion and aims to eliminate the 15-25 hours planners previously spent on manual coordination.

By keeping a human in the loop to select the best recommendation with a single click, FourKites ensures that exceptions are resolved without ever leaving the platform. This integration helps protect freight budgets, where unplanned expedited shipping often consumes up to 48% of total spend. This launch represents a shift from reactive firefighting to proactive execution, allowing teams to move away from costly safety stock and focus on high-value responsibilities. Supply chain planner responsibilities are changing with the continued developments of AI and the de-siloing of disparate systems.

FourKites is a supply chain technology provider that operates a global real-time visibility network tracking over 3.2 million shipments daily across 200 countries and territories. By integrating data from 1.1 million carriers across all modes (road, rail, ocean, and air), the platform uses AI-powered “digital workers” to automate exception resolution and provide predictive insights. More than 1,600 global brands, including leaders in the CPG and Food & Beverage sectors, trust FourKites to transform their logistics from reactive tracking into proactive, intelligent orchestration.

Read the full ARC brief breaking down the new FourKites solution here: https://www.fourkites.com/research/arc-advisory-stockout-detection-freight-execution/

The post How FourKites Connects Stockout Detection to Freight Execution in Minutes appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

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