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China-US truce to reduce some tariffs, and likely postpone port fees – September 30, 2026 Update

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Weekly highlights

Ocean rates – Freightos Baltic Index

Asia-US West Coast prices (FBX01 Weekly) increased 4%.

Asia-US East Coast prices (FBX03 Weekly) stayed level.

Asia-N. Europe prices (FBX11 Weekly) decreased 9%.

Asia-Mediterranean prices (FBX13 Weekly) decreased 7%.

Air rates – Freightos Air Index

China – N. America weekly prices increased 5%.

China – N. Europe weekly prices decreased 4%.

N. Europe – N. America weekly prices increased 1%.

Analysis

Last week’s Trump-Xi meeting in Washington yielded a two month extension of last year’s US-China trade truce which was set to expire on November 10th, mutual tariff reductions on some imports, and plans for two more meetings between the leaders before the end of the year. This deescalation likely also postpones US port call fees on China-linked vessels, though the USTR has not issued an official deferral just yet.

The US Treasury Secretary said the US only agreed to two months because China still needs to fulfill some of its earlier commitments to purchase US agricultural goods. This stance may imply expectations for another extension once progress is made on those purchases.

The sides will reduce tariffs on $30B worth of counterpart imports to most-favored-nation levels, pending the necessary legal procedures to put these changes into effect. Though the reduction is modest in the context of the more than $400B of total China-US trade, this news will be welcomed by US importers and consumers of the nearly 80 affected product entries, with toys as the largest category by value. China’s list of more than 1,600 entries comprises mostly agricultural products and commodities.

Transpacific container rates ticked up to the West Coast last week to $8,400/FEU, a new high for the year, with East Coast prices level at about $9,600/FEU, $200/FEU lower than its peak in late August, as resilient demand has kept pressure on rates to close the month.

Demand is likely to cool as we get past Golden Week and peak season finally ends, but carriers have increased blanked sailings over the holiday period and into late October. Far East congestion remains a major drain on available capacity, and likely one factor to some carriers reducing allocations for some contracted forwarders.

Sea Intelligence estimates that port congestion is tying up more than 8% of global capacity, and could take up to ten months to completely unwind. We could therefore expect congestion – together with higher fuel costs from the Hormuz closure – to contribute to an elevated rate floor even during low demand stretches, and a higher baseline from which prices will climb when demand increases again ahead of Lunar New Year.

Better than expected rainfall and water levels in Panama has led to some good news for transpacific shippers to the East Coast. The Panama Canal Authority will restore daily Neopanamax transits to the normal ten, and increase maximum draft levels to 49 feet in mid-October, after removing a daily transit and reducing the draft by a foot in late August. Improved conditions now, however, do not mean that restrictions won’t be introduced in the coming months if the expected El Nino negatively impacts the rainy season that normally lasts into January.

Asia – Europe container rates continued to ease last week as demand likely continues to cool and carriers increase effective capacity through gradual increases in Red Sea transits. Asia – N. Europe prices fell 9% to about $3,400/FEU and rates to the Mediterranean decreased 7% to $3,600/FEU. Despite these trends some carriers are announcing rate increases for late October.

Even with the $3K – $4k/FEU drop in spot prices since rates peaked in July, prices on these lanes remain about 50% higher than a year ago as Far East congestion, backlogs at some N. Europe hubs, and fuel surcharges keep the rate floor elevated on these lanes as well.

The Freightos Air Index global benchmark ticked up 5% last week and remains more than 30% higher than a year ago as jet fuel prices remain elevated. Far East – N. America rates increased 5% to about $6.80/kg last week and Far East – Europe prices dipped 4% to $4.14/kg.

Freightos Terminal: Real-time pricing dashboards to benchmark rates and track market trends.

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Rate, Book, & Manage: Real-time rate comparison, instant booking, and easy tracking at every shipment stage.

The post China-US truce to reduce some tariffs, and likely postpone port fees – September 30, 2026 Update appeared first on Freightos.

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Supply Chain Technology Markets Are Converging Faster Than Vendor Categories

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The New Logistics Advantage — Part 6 of 9

Supply chain technology markets are usually described as categories. WMS, TMS, planning, visibility, control towers, order management, warehouse automation, decision intelligence, and other segments each have established buyers, competitors, and functional boundaries.

Those categories remain commercially useful. But strategically, the boundaries are moving faster than the labels. Providers are expanding into adjacent workflows, intelligence, orchestration, and automation, while buyers increasingly assemble architectures that cut across the traditional category map.

Convergence Is Happening From Multiple Directions

Execution vendors are adding intelligence. Planning vendors are moving closer to operational workflows. Visibility providers are extending toward exception resolution. Automation vendors are building software layers. Enterprise platforms are embedding AI. Specialized AI providers are attacking decision processes that historically lived inside application categories.

The four current MarketMaps make this movement visible. The 2026 Warehouse Management Systems Market Map examines a mature execution category expanding around automation and intelligence. The 2026 Transportation Management Systems Market Map shows a durable market becoming more connected to networks, visibility, and orchestration. The 2026 Autonomous Exception Management Market Map captures an emerging category between visibility and coordinated response. The 2026 Supply Chain Decision Intelligence Market Map addresses the broader shift toward systems organized around decisions.

The same pattern appears in buyer expectations. A warehouse platform is increasingly judged on automation connectivity and intelligence. A TMS is judged on network data, visibility, and response. A planning system is judged on whether recommendations can be operationalized. The category still defines the core job; differentiation increasingly comes from the adjacent layers.

The Competitive Battleground Is Shifting to Control Points

Products are expanding along several dimensions: workflow, data, intelligence, orchestration, automation, user experience, and ecosystem connectivity. Those dimensions matter because each can become a control point in the architecture.

A provider that owns the system of record controls authoritative transaction state. A provider with unique network data may control context. A decision-intelligence layer can shape which alternatives are considered. An orchestration platform can determine how work moves among systems. An automation platform can control the final physical action.

Two vendors can therefore compete even when analysts place them in different categories. A WMS provider and a warehouse-automation software platform may both seek to own task orchestration. A visibility provider and an exception-management platform may both seek to own disruption response. A planning provider and a decision-intelligence provider may both seek to own the cross-functional recommendation.

This is why convergence does not necessarily mean that one suite replaces everything. It means more vendors are competing for the same strategic control points from different starting positions.

The Buyer Problem Becomes Architectural

Traditional category evaluation begins with feature completeness. That remains necessary, especially for systems of record. But as markets converge, buyers need a second question: Which layer of the operating architecture is this provider attempting to control?

The market-research executive summaries provide category depth that remains essential: WMS, TMS, Supply Chain Planning, and OMS each explain the structure and capabilities of important markets. The strategic challenge is to interpret those markets as parts of a changing architecture rather than as permanent silos.

A buyer may select the strongest product in a category and still create a weak portfolio if the product traps data, duplicates decision logic, constrains adjacent workflows, or makes future substitution prohibitively difficult. Architectural fit therefore becomes part of product value.

This creates a useful distinction between functional depth and architectural leverage. Functional depth answers whether the product can perform its core job. Architectural leverage answers whether the product improves or constrains the larger system around it.

Convergence Changes Vendor Strategy Too

For providers, adjacency strategy needs discipline. Expanding into every neighboring function can increase surface area while weakening differentiation. The more important question is which adjacent capability reinforces an existing control point.

A TMS with strong transportation state may have a credible path into exception intelligence because it already sees important network events. A WMS with deep execution state may have a credible path into warehouse orchestration. A planning platform with broad enterprise context may have a credible path into decision support. The logic of expansion should follow the asset the provider already controls, not simply the size of the adjacent market.

That also raises the importance of interoperability. In a converging market, customers will resist architectures that require every adjacent capability to come from one supplier. Providers that can participate in a heterogeneous system may create more strategic value than providers that maximize suite breadth at the cost of flexibility.

The Executive Implication

Technology strategy should separate two questions that are often conflated: Which product is strongest inside a category? and Which architecture will remain adaptable as categories converge? The first is a product-selection problem. The second is a portfolio and operating-model problem. Organizations that solve only the first can end up with excellent applications that constrain future change. Organizations that solve both can preserve functional depth while creating room for new forms of intelligence, automation, and orchestration.

For buyers and providers alike, category labels still matter. But the more strategic question is increasingly about control: who owns the record, the context, the decision, the workflow, and the path to execution?

Explore the Related Logistics Viewpoints Research

2026 WMS Market Map
2026 TMS Market Map
2026 Autonomous Exception Management Market Map
2026 Supply Chain Decision Intelligence Market Map
WMS Executive Summary
TMS Executive Summary
Supply Chain Planning Executive Summary
The New Architecture of Logistics

The post Supply Chain Technology Markets Are Converging Faster Than Vendor Categories appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

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Kinaxis Extends Concurrent Planning Toward Continuous Response

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Kinaxis built its reputation around concurrent planning: the idea that demand, supply, inventory, capacity, and other planning decisions should be evaluated together rather than through a series of disconnected batch processes. That architecture is becoming more relevant as supply chains move toward continuous response.

The company’s Maestro platform emphasizes rapid scenario analysis, constraint-aware planning, and the ability for multiple users to understand the downstream effects of a change on a shared data model. This makes decision speed a central part of the product proposition. The objective is not simply to create a better plan, but to help planners evaluate alternatives quickly enough for the response to matter operationally.

Exception management is a natural extension of that model. A supply disruption or demand change creates value only if the organization can understand the consequence, compare choices, and coordinate action before the problem propagates through the network. Kinaxis’ emphasis on explainability and human-in-the-loop decision-making is also important as AI agents begin to monitor conditions and perform bounded tasks under defined oversight.

The important buyer question is how effectively planning intelligence connects to execution. Concurrent analysis can surface a better answer quickly, but organizations still need integration, decision rights, and workflows capable of translating that answer into action across functions and systems.

Kinaxis is included in the Logistics Viewpoints Supply Chain Decision Intelligence MarketMap and Autonomous Exception Management MarketMap. Together, the two MarketMaps frame the company both as a decision-intelligence provider and as a participant in the emerging exception-management layer.

The post Kinaxis Extends Concurrent Planning Toward Continuous Response appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

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Webinar: Five MarketMaps. One Emerging Supply Chain Technology Architecture

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Article 1 of 4 — Convergence

Supply chain technology buyers still purchase software in categories. The supply chain itself stopped operating that way.

For years, the boundaries were understandable. A Warehouse Management System ran the warehouse. A Transportation Management System planned and executed freight. Supply Chain Planning balanced demand, supply, inventory, capacity, and production. Visibility, analytics, and exception management sat around those core applications. When reality diverged from the plan, people reconciled what happened across the different systems.

This is the first in a four-part Logistics Viewpoints series leading to ARC Advisory Group’s October 29 webinar, “Beyond the Silos: Five MarketMaps Shaping the Next Supply Chain Technology Architecture.” Register for the October 29 webinar.

That architecture is changing because the systems themselves are moving. WMS platforms now coordinate complex execution environments that combine people, automation, robotics, labor, yard activity, and changing priorities. TMS platforms are extending beyond planning and tendering into continuous execution, visibility, exception response, and network control. Supply Chain Planning is operating on shorter feedback loops. Decision Intelligence is moving closer to operational action. Autonomous Exception Management is creating a new layer between recognizing a disruption and resolving it.

Individually, each of those developments is logical. Together, they create a different problem for technology buyers: several systems can now participate in the same decision.

From Applications to Decisions

Consider a critical inbound shipment that will arrive eight hours late. The TMS understands the shipment and the transportation consequence. The warehouse may need to change a dock appointment, labor plan, or receiving sequence. The planning environment may determine that the delay threatens inventory, production, or customer service. An exception-management capability can decide whether the event is material enough to require intervention. A Decision Intelligence layer may evaluate alternative responses.

Every one of those systems may be functioning exactly as designed. The harder question is not whether the applications are intelligent. It is who owns the decision.

One system may detect the event. Another may understand its broader business impact. Another may recommend the preferred response. Still another may execute it. That means software selection is no longer only a question of capabilities and features. It is also an architecture decision about authority, handoffs, and control.

Where should one system stop and another begin? Which application should be authoritative for a particular class of decision? What information must cross system boundaries? When should a human approve a recommendation, and when should software be allowed to act? Those questions become more important as AI and agentic capabilities spread across the supply chain stack.

One Architecture Does Not Mean One Platform

The answer is not necessarily to consolidate everything into a single application. Specialized systems exist for good reasons. Warehouse execution and transportation execution require different domain models. Planning operates across different horizons and constraints. Exception management has a different responsibility from execution, while Decision Intelligence may need to evaluate conditions that cut across several platforms.

The more realistic opportunity is coordinated specialization: systems remain strong within their domains, but events, context, recommendations, and actions move across the architecture with clearly defined ownership.

One useful way to frame the operating loop is: Plan → Sense → Identify the Exception → Decide → Execute → Learn.

Different systems may own different parts of that loop. The important point is that the ownership is deliberate rather than accidental.

Why Five MarketMaps Belong in One Conversation

ARC MarketMaps help technology buyers understand supplier capabilities, market direction, and relative positioning. Looking at these five markets separately still matters because each has different requirements, architectures, suppliers, and maturity curves. Putting them together, however, reveals something that separate evaluations can miss.

The boundaries between supply chain technologies are moving faster than many enterprise buying processes. Companies may still run separate WMS, TMS, planning, analytics, and exception-management evaluations while vendors move into adjacent operational territory. As a result, one technology decision can constrain another.

A WMS choice can influence automation orchestration and downstream transportation workflows. A TMS choice can shape visibility and exception-management architecture. A planning decision may determine where recommendations originate. A Decision Intelligence investment can affect which system ultimately has authority to recommend or initiate action.

That is why the October 29 webinar will not treat the five MarketMaps as five unrelated supplier landscapes. We will put them on the same architectural canvas and examine where planning, sensing, exception management, decision-making, and execution should reside.

The question is no longer simply which software category an application belongs to. The more important question is who owns the decision when the supply chain changes.

The post Webinar: Five MarketMaps. One Emerging Supply Chain Technology Architecture appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

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