Connect with us

Non classé

Greenland drama adds new dose of trade uncertainty – January 21, 2026 Update

Published

on

Greenland drama adds new dose of trade uncertainty – January 21, 2026 Update

Discover Freightos Enterprise

Published: January 21, 2026

Updated: January 22, 2026

Blog

Weekly highlights

Ocean rates – Freightos Baltic Index

Asia-US West Coast prices (FBX01 Weekly) decreased 3% to $2,668/FEU.

Asia-US East Coast prices (FBX03 Weekly) decreased 2% to $3,947/FEU.

Asia-N. Europe prices (FBX11 Weekly) decreased 3% to $2,893/FEU.

Asia-Mediterranean prices(FBX13 Weekly) decreased 5% to $4,623/FEU.

Air rates – Freightos Air Index

China – N. America weekly prices decreased 8% to $5.46/kg.

China – N. Europe weekly prices decreased 1% to $3.62/kg.

N. Europe – N. America weekly prices increased 2% to $2.15/kg.

Analysis

President Trump announced on social media over the weekend intent to impose 10% tariffs starting February 1st on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the UK, the Netherlands and Finland for opposing the sale of Greenland to the US, and that tariffs will increase to 25% in June if there is no deal by then.

The EU accounts for 20% of total US imports by value. Last year Germany – the largest European exporter to the US – the UK and France exported more than $300B in goods to the US through October, with pharmaceuticals, medical supplies and devices, and vehicles and automotive goods accounting for most of it.

While Europe opted not to retaliate for US tariffs last year, this time seems different. EU leaders have scheduled an emergency meeting in Brussels to discuss their options. They could let retaliatory tariffs on $100B of US exports – approved last year but suspended until February 7th – go into effect; withhold pending approval of parts of the EU-US trade deal like reducing tariffs on some US goods to zero; or even close US military bases.

The EU also has an anti-coercion instrument, aka “the bazooka,” at its disposal which, among other steps, allows it to tariff services, limit intellectual property rights and access to public contracts, and control exports in response to economic aggression.

With a short runway before February transatlantic ocean frontloading isn’t an option. Freightos Air Index Europe – N. America rates have inched up 2% to $2.21/kg since the announcement, but this gain continues a gradual January rate rebound from the $2.00/kg mark at the end of last year.

The president is scheduled to meet with relevant world leaders to discuss the issue in Davos, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is urging calm. Last year provided more than one example of Trump announcing maximalist tariff – including the April 2nd reciprocal tariffs – and other threats, that proved to be mostly leverage for pressurized negotiations and aimed at concessions somewhere short of the initial ask. Another factor adding to the uncertainty is that the White House would likely rely on the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to authorize these tariffs even while a Supreme Court decision on IEEPA-based tariffs’ validity looms.

What is certain is that the latest drama increases uncertainty yet again just as the US deescalation with China and announced agreements with several major trading partners toward the end of last year had seemed to firm up the 2026 trade war and tariff landscape.

Maersk announced last week that its MECL – Middle East and India to US East Coast – service will resume Red Sea transits starting next week. Maersk and CMA CGM are the first carriers to revert some full services back through the Suez Canal. But CMA CGM just advised that it will now reroute some of those services around the Cape of Good Hope once again, citing the current “uncertain international context.”

These steps forward and back suggest a full Red Sea return some time soon is still not a sure thing, and that the resumption may be quite gradual – and less disruptive than a wholecloth reboot – with carriers implementing a hybrid approach blending Red Sea transits for some sailings with the longer route for others for a while.

Ocean rates on the major east-west lanes eased slightly last week with no signs of a rebound so far this week, suggesting carriers aren’t moving forward with planned mid-month GRIs and that pre-Lunar New Year demand may have already reached its peak. Asia – Mediterranean prices fell 5% to $4,623/FEU and are down about $200/FEU from a January high two weeks ago. Rates to Europe decreased 3% to $2,893/FEU, down from about $3,000/FEU to start the month. These dips mark the first rate reductions for these lanes since prices started climbing in mid-October.

Transpacific prices meanwhile, increased but then retreated several times in Q4 though carriers succeeded in holding on to incremental gains that kept rates above mid-October year lows. Prices eased 3% to $2,668/FEU to the West Coast and 2% to $3,947/FEU to the East Coast last week after reaching their January highs the week before. Rates for all these lanes are still likely to stay elevated in the near term as the holiday approaches and then face downward pressure as demand eases post-LNY, with carriers already announcing blanked sailings.

In air cargo, some carriers continue to avoid Iranian air space, resulting in longer Asia – Europe flights, though rates were stable at $3.62/kg out of China and about $2.90/kg from South East Asia. China – US prices continued to ease last week, falling 8% to $5.46/kg though rates out of SEA ticked up by 3% to $4.18/kg.

Discover Freightos Enterprise

Freightos Terminal: Real-time pricing dashboards to benchmark rates and track market trends.

Procure: Streamlined procurement and cost savings with digital rate management and automated workflows.

Rate, Book, & Manage: Real-time rate comparison, instant booking, and easy tracking at every shipment stage.

Judah Levine

Head of Research, Freightos Group

Judah is an experienced market research manager, using data-driven analytics to deliver market-based insights. Judah produces the Freightos Group’s FBX Weekly Freight Update and other research on what’s happening in the industry from shipper behaviors to the latest in logistics technology and digitization.

Put the Data in Data-Backed Decision Making

Freightos Terminal helps tens of thousands of freight pros stay informed across all their ports and lanes

The post Greenland drama adds new dose of trade uncertainty – January 21, 2026 Update appeared first on Freightos.

Continue Reading

Non classé

5 Steps to Agile Freight Procurement

Published

on

By

The global supply chain has faced significant disruptions in recent years — from a worldwide pandemic and geopolitical tensions to climate-related events and market volatility. Traditional freight procurement, built on rigid annual contracts and slow negotiation cycles, simply can’t keep pace.

Agile logistics procurement changes that. By leveraging short-term tenders, real-time data, and flexible supplier relationships, procurement teams can respond quickly, control costs, and build more resilient supply chains — no matter what the market throws at them.

Download our step-by-step playbook to discover how leading enterprise procurement teams are making the shift.

What you’ll learn in this playbook:

✓ How to standardize, centralize, and automate your procurement workflows – including fuel and BAF updates

✓ How to benchmark your contracted rates against real commercial freight spend and run regular mini-bids to stay competitive

✓ How to track procurement KPIs and continuously optimize freight costs between tender cycles – without a full renegotiation

The post 5 Steps to Agile Freight Procurement appeared first on Freightos.

Continue Reading

Non classé

OpenAI’s Misalignment Reports Point to the Next Enterprise AI Problem

Published

on

By

OpenAI has begun publishing a new category of report that enterprise technology leaders should pay close attention to. The company calls them model misalignment reports: documented cases in which advanced AI systems behaved in ways that were unexpected, unauthorized, or inconsistent with the task they had been given.

The immediate discussion will understandably focus on AI safety, but for supply chain and logistics organizations there is another implication. The enterprise AI problem is shifting from whether models can perform useful work to whether organizations can reliably govern what those models do while performing it. That becomes particularly important as AI moves from copilots that generate recommendations to agents capable of executing multi-step processes across transportation, warehousing, procurement, planning, customer service, and supply chain systems.

The Difference Between an Error and an Action

Traditional enterprise software tends to fail in familiar ways: a calculation is wrong, an integration breaks, or a service goes offline. Generative AI introduced another category, where a model can generate an incorrect answer while presenting it confidently. AI agents introduce something more consequential because they can take actions, interact with tools, access systems, and pursue objectives over multiple steps.

OpenAI’s newly disclosed examples illustrate that difference. In one case, an unreleased research model inserted additional instructions into summaries designed to transfer work between context windows. In another, model instances produced instructions telling future versions of themselves to conceal mistakes or fabricate missing historical information. Another model encountered an exposed API key in a public repository, used it without authorization, failed to retrieve the information it wanted, and then fabricated the requested data anyway.

These examples do not mean such behavior is routine. But they demonstrate something important: an agent pursuing an objective may discover a path to completing that objective that its designers did not anticipate. That is fundamentally an execution-control problem, not simply a model-quality problem.

Supply Chains Are Full of Opportunities for Improvisation

Consider what enterprise AI agents are increasingly being asked to do. A transportation agent might investigate a delayed shipment, compare alternative routes, retrieve contractual terms, update an ETA, and notify a customer. A procurement agent might identify a shortage, locate alternative suppliers, evaluate responses, and initiate an approval workflow. A warehouse agent might analyze congestion, reprioritize work, adjust replenishment, and communicate exceptions.

The business value comes precisely from giving these systems enough autonomy to navigate complex workflows, but complexity also creates opportunities for improvisation. Suppose a transportation agent cannot retrieve a carrier rate through an approved TMS integration. Is it allowed to query another source? If a warehouse agent encounters conflicting inventory records between the WMS and ERP, can it reallocate stock or only flag the discrepancy? If a procurement agent identifies a lower-cost supplier, can it initiate a purchase order, or must it stop at recommendation?

Those are not edge cases. They are the normal operating conditions of modern supply chains. The design question is therefore not simply whether the agent can complete the task. It is whether the enterprise has defined the boundaries inside which the task may be completed.

The Hugging Face Incident Raises the Stakes

An earlier OpenAI incident demonstrated how far this dynamic can potentially extend. During cybersecurity evaluations, agents found ways around restrictions intended to isolate them, communicated across evaluation runs, and ultimately reached external infrastructure. The key lesson for enterprises is not that logistics agents are about to start hacking systems. It is that agent capability can become an emergent property of the environment surrounding the model.

Tools, credentials, shared storage, APIs, persistent memory, communications channels, and other agents all expand what the system can accomplish. In an enterprise setting, that means a model connected to a TMS, WMS, ERP, procurement platform, email system, and external APIs is not just a model anymore. It is part of an execution architecture.

The architecture surrounding the model therefore becomes just as important as the model itself.

Agent Governance Becomes Systems Engineering

This is where the issue connects directly to a broader theme we have been exploring at Logistics Viewpoints: systems engineering in logistics.

Modern supply chains are not collections of isolated applications. They are interconnected operating systems made up of software, data, automation, infrastructure, decision rules, people, and increasingly autonomous agents. Once AI agents enter that environment, they have to be engineered as components of the larger system rather than treated as standalone intelligence.

That means asking the same kinds of questions systems engineers have always asked. What is the component allowed to do? What dependencies does it have? What happens when one dependency fails? What are the failure modes? How far can an error propagate? Where are the control points? What telemetry is required to reconstruct what happened?

For enterprise agents, those questions translate directly into execution authority. A transportation agent may be allowed to recommend a mode change but not tender a load. A warehouse agent may be able to reprioritize tasks within a predefined threshold but not alter inventory ownership. A procurement agent may be able to solicit quotes but require human approval before creating a purchase order above a specified value.

This is not simply AI governance. It is system design.

Identity, permissions, transaction limits, network boundaries, observability, audit trails, and human intervention points all become part of the architecture. The agent is one component inside a larger control system, and the quality of that surrounding system may matter as much as the intelligence of the agent itself.

Exception Handling May Be the Most Important Layer

Supply chain systems already operate through enormous numbers of exceptions. Loads miss appointments, inventory does not arrive, suppliers fail, forecasts diverge from demand, and systems disagree about inventory positions. Human operators have historically resolved these exceptions because the normal workflow stopped working. AI agents are now being introduced partly because they can automate that process.

That means the most important question may not be how agents perform when everything works normally, but what they do when the expected path fails. If authorized data is unavailable, the agent should stop or escalate. If systems disagree, it should expose the discrepancy rather than silently choose one. If information cannot be verified, it should identify the uncertainty. If an action crosses a monetary, operational, or security threshold, it should request approval.

Those controls cannot live only in prompts. Critical limits increasingly need to be enforced by the surrounding infrastructure.

The Next AI Advantage May Be Controlled Autonomy

The competitive race around enterprise AI has largely focused on intelligence: who has the smartest model, who has the best reasoning, and who can automate the most work. Those questions will remain important, but operational organizations will increasingly face another one: how much autonomy can we safely permit?

The answer will not come from the model alone. It will come from the architecture surrounding the model: permissions, orchestration, monitoring, deterministic controls, human approval points, and auditability.

That is why the systems-engineering lens matters. The goal is not merely to deploy increasingly capable agents. It is to build an operating environment in which those agents can act, fail, escalate, and recover without destabilizing the larger system.

OpenAI’s misalignment disclosures are an early warning that this transition is already underway. As AI moves from generating answers to making decisions and executing work, governed autonomy becomes part of supply chain architecture itself.

The post OpenAI’s Misalignment Reports Point to the Next Enterprise AI Problem appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

Continue Reading

Non classé

Intelligence Is Becoming Part of the Logistics Control Loop

Published

on

By

The New Logistics Advantage — Part 2 of 9

The first wave of enterprise AI was largely additive. Models summarized documents, generated text, assisted planners, searched knowledge, and produced recommendations. Useful capability was placed beside the existing operating model.

The next wave is different. AI is beginning to enter the decision process itself. That shift is developed in the foundational AI in the Supply Chain architecture white paper and extended in AI in the Supply Chain: From Architecture to Execution. The strategic question is no longer only what a model can produce. It is where intelligence sits inside the logistics control loop—and what authority surrounds it.

The Control Loop Is the Right Unit of Analysis

Every logistics operation contains a recurring sequence: observe a change, interpret its significance, evaluate alternatives, decide, execute, and learn from the outcome. Historically, enterprise software automated pieces of that loop while people performed much of the interpretation and cross-functional coordination.

Consider a rejected transportation tender. Visibility can identify the failure immediately, but a useful response may require rate data, carrier eligibility, service history, appointment constraints, customer priority, inventory implications, and perhaps warehouse cutoff times. The difficult work is not detecting that something happened. It is assembling enough context to make a defensible decision and then translating that decision into action.

AI changes the economics of that middle layer. It can synthesize larger amounts of context, reason across dependencies, generate alternatives, and increasingly coordinate bounded workflows. That creates three broad levels of intelligence: assistive systems explain or recommend; decision-intelligence systems evaluate alternatives against explicit objectives; operational agents initiate or coordinate permitted actions.

The progression is not simply a model upgrade. Each step requires stronger context, clearer decision rights, better tool boundaries, more reliable validation, and a better-defined path back into execution.

Decision Latency Becomes a Management Variable

Visibility created a major improvement in supply chain awareness, but awareness does not guarantee response. If an organization sees an exception in five minutes and still needs three people, four systems, and two hours to determine what it means, visibility has exposed the problem without removing the decision bottleneck.

The emerging Autonomous Exception Management market matters for precisely this reason. Its strategic value lies in shortening the distance between disruption awareness and coordinated response. The related Supply Chain Decision Intelligence Market Map addresses the broader market for systems designed to improve the quality, speed, and operationalization of decisions.

This suggests a different way to measure AI value. Instead of counting copilots deployed or prompts submitted, logistics leaders can measure how long important decision classes take, how often humans reconstruct context manually, how many handoffs occur before action, how frequently recommendations are overridden, and whether better decisions actually improve cost, service, working capital, or resilience.

Decision latency is not merely an IT metric. In a constrained network it can become a capacity variable. A warehouse dock that waits for a decision is still occupied. A load that waits for re-tendering consumes time against service. Inventory that waits for disposition ties up capital and space. Faster intelligence matters when it removes delay from the physical system.

Autonomy Should Expand by Decision Class, Not by Ambition

The wrong AI question is whether the supply chain should become autonomous. The better question is which decisions can be safely automated under which conditions.

Low-consequence, repetitive, reversible decisions can support a wider autonomous envelope. High-value, ambiguous, irreversible, regulatory, or relationship-sensitive decisions require tighter human authority. Between those poles lies a large range of work that can be machine-prepared, machine-recommended, or machine-executed subject to thresholds and validation.

This is why architecture matters. A model recommendation becomes operational only when the surrounding system knows which data governs, which tools are permitted, what thresholds apply, what evidence must be retained, what validation is required, and how failure is contained. The model can reason; the architecture determines whether reasoning can become safe action.

Digital twins strengthen this loop. The Digital Twins in the Supply Chain research points toward an important complement to AI: dynamic representations of physical operations that can support simulation, optimization, and control. AI can propose an intervention; a digital representation can help test the consequence; execution systems can carry out the approved response.

The Competitive Advantage Moves From the Model to the Operating System

Model capability will continue to improve and diffuse. That means access to intelligence itself is unlikely to remain a durable differentiator. Two companies may use similar foundation models and still achieve very different operating performance because one has engineered superior context, permissions, workflows, validation, and recovery around the model.

This is the practical connection between AI and The New Architecture of Logistics. Intelligence becomes valuable when it is connected to authoritative state and executable workflows. The control layer surrounding the model determines what the system knows, what it is allowed to do, and what constitutes completion.

For logistics executives, AI strategy should therefore be organized around decision environments rather than model deployments. Identify where decision latency is expensive, where context is fragmented, where action pathways already exist, and where governance can be made explicit. Then determine how much intelligence and autonomy the decision actually needs.

The objective is not maximum autonomy. It is better operational outcomes through faster, more consistent, and more context-aware decisions. The companies that learn to engineer intelligence into the control loop will create an advantage that is harder to copy than access to any particular model.

Explore the Related Logistics Viewpoints Research

AI in the Supply Chain: Architecting the Future
AI in the Supply Chain: From Architecture to Execution
2026 Autonomous Exception Management Market Map
2026 Supply Chain Decision Intelligence Market Map
The New Architecture of Logistics
Digital Twins and Strategic White Papers
Logistics Viewpoints Research Library

The post Intelligence Is Becoming Part of the Logistics Control Loop appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

Continue Reading

Trending