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August 2025 U.S. Container Imports Remain Strong Amid Pullback in China Volumes and Trade Policy Turmoil
Published
2 semaines agoon
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In August 2025, U.S. container imports eased modestly from July but remained elevated in the 2.4M–2.6M twenty-foot equivalent unit (TEU) range, underscoring continued strong performance even as China-origin volumes declined. China’s pullback reflects a cooling after July’s rebound, but overall demand remained resilient in the face of ongoing tariff uncertainty and geopolitical risks. While the U.S.–China tariff truce continues to cap duties at 30% through mid-November 2025, reciprocal tariffs expanded to more than 60 countries on August 7, and key tariff measures are now under legal challenge and headed to the Supreme Court, leaving importers to weigh risks and plan mitigation efforts. In addition, the Red Sea crisis, stricter enforcement on China-linked transshipments, and uncertain economic signals continue to challenge global supply chains.
U.S. container imports remain elevated for a second consecutive month.
In August 2025, U.S. container imports reached 2,519,722 TEUs—the second-highest monthly total this year and only narrowly below the record level 2,622,465 TEUs set in May 2022 (see Figure 1). On a year-to-date basis, volumes through August are tracking 3.3% ahead of the same period in 2024, reinforcing the longer-term trend of resilient demand despite policy uncertainty.
Figure 1: U.S. Container Import Volume Year-over-Year Comparison
Source: Descartes Datamyne
August volumes were down 3.9% (102,188 TEUs) from July (see Figure 2), a slightly stronger decline than the 3.0% month-over-month drop recorded in August 2024. While consistent with seasonal levels that August has shown in four of the past five years, the elevated volume also underscores the probable sensitivity to tariff timing as importers continued to adjust shipment flows in response to policy deadlines, including U.S.–China tariff truce and the August 29 repeal of the U.S. de minimis exemption for all countries, which removed duty-free treatment for low-value parcels.
Figure 2: July to August U.S. Container Import Volume Comparison
Source: Descartes Datamyne
Port delays extend modestly in August despite a second month of elevated volumes.
Despite elevated August volumes, port transit time delays increased only modestly over July, indicating that top East and West Coast ports are absorbing the added pressure without major disruption (see Figure 3). In the East, Norfolk (1.1 days) and Charleston (0.2 days) experienced small increases in delays. On the West Coast, Long Beach (1.0 days), Seattle (0.3 days), and Tacoma (0.2 days) also experienced small increases. Los Angeles and New York/New Jersey showed modest decreases in delays, improving to 3.0 days and 6.0 days, respectively; Savannah eased to 4.8 days, and Houston improved to 3.7 days. Oakland held steady at 4.9 days, unchanged from July.
Figure 3: Monthly Average Transit Delays (in days) for the Top 10 Ports (Jun. 2025 – Aug. 2025)
Source: Descartes Datamyne
Note: Descartes’ definition of port transit delay is the difference as measured in days between the Estimated Arrival Date, which is initially declared on the bill of lading, and the date when Descartes receives the CBP-processed bill of lading data.
China-origin imports ease in August amid extended tariff truce.
August imports from China come against the backdrop of the 90-day extension of the U.S.–China tariff truce, which preserves the 30% tariff ceiling through mid-November. Volumes decreased to 869,523 TEUs, down 5.8% month-over-month, 10.8% year-over-year, and 15% compared to the record July 2024 level of 1,022,913 TEUs (see Figure 4). China’s share of total U.S. imports slipped modestly in August to 34.5% from July’s 35.2%.
Figure 4: August 2024–August 2025 Comparison of U.S. Total and Chinese TEU Container Volume Relative to Chinese Import Record
Source: Descartes Datamyne
A large number of China’s top import categories experienced double-digit year-over-year declines. Aluminum and products thereof (HS-76) saw the steepest drop, down 43.9%. Apparel (HS-61, HS-62) and footwear (HS-64) were also down—by more than 20% from August 2024. Additionally, furniture and bedding (HS-94) was down 14.3%, toys and sporting goods (HS-95) down 17.4%, electric machinery (HS-85) down 14.1%, vehicles (HS-87) down 13.4%, and articles of iron or steel (HS-73) down 18.2%. In contrast, plastics (HS-39) grew nearly 10% and expanded its share to over 13% of all China-origin TEUs.
Despite ongoing adjustments across sectors, trade volumes continue to highlight China’s central role in U.S. supply chains; however, with the November deadline looming amid ongoing negotiations, the outlook for China’s share of U.S. imports remains sensitive.
Month-over-month imports from top 10 CoOs ease as China pullback drives overall decline.
August U.S. import volumes from the top 10 countries of origin (CoO) fell 4.4% month-over-month—a combined decline of 83,296 TEUs (see Figure 5). The decrease was led by China, down 53,552 TEUs (5.8%), with notable declines from South Korea (11.8%), Japan (14.5%), and Taiwan (12.9%). Smaller drops from Vietnam (0.5%), Hong Kong (1.4%), Thailand (0.6%), and Germany (1.3%) added to the softening of volumes. Offsetting gains were limited to Indonesia (5.3%) and India (1.7%).
Figure 5: July 2025 to August 2025 Comparison of U.S. Import Volumes from Top 10 Countries of Origin
Source: Descartes Datamyne
Modest year-over-year CoO growth driven by Vietnam, India, and Thailand.
Compared to August 2024, August 2025 volumes from the top 10 CoOs rose by a slight 0.7%—a net gain of 11,818 TEUs (see Figure 6). The increase was driven by strong growth from Vietnam (25.2%), India (34.0%), Thailand (35.6%), and Indonesia (45.6%), with additional gains from Japan (4.3%) and Hong Kong (2.1%). These advances more than offset declines from China (10.8%), South Korea (11.0%), Germany (9.8%), and Taiwan (9.4%). The pattern underscores ongoing diversification toward South and Southeast Asia even as China remains the largest, but most volatile, source of U.S. imports.
Figure 6: August 2024 to August 2025 Comparison of U.S. Import Volumes from Top 10 Countries of Origin
Source: Descartes Datamyne
Managing supply chain risk through the remainder of 2025.
While U.S. container import volumes showed continued strong performance in August, global supply chains continue to grapple with volatility. In the face of ongoing tariff uncertainty and geopolitical risks, U.S. importers need to continue to evaluate strategies and tactics to mitigate risk, build greater supply chain resiliency, and adapt their operations in a rapidly shifting trade landscape.
By Jackson Wood, Director of Industry Strategy at Descartes
Notes:
1. U.S. tariff rates cited in this report were current as of 4pm ET on September 5, 2025.
2. This report uses the initial compiled release of publicly available U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) Bill of Lading (BOL) data for all U.S. ports, which provides a standard, official source of data for reporting on maritime trade. This data can be subject to modification later by CBP. The modified data can be seen in Descartes Datamyne where U.S. maritime records are processed daily. Descartes Datamyne is ISO 9001 certified.
3. In Descartes Datamyne, twenty-foot equivalent units (TEU) are calculated using a combination of container size and weight as declared on Bills of Lading filed with U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP).
The post August 2025 U.S. Container Imports Remain Strong Amid Pullback in China Volumes and Trade Policy Turmoil appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.
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Federal Industrial Partnerships and Supply Chain Realignment Under the Trump Administration: Pharmaceuticals, Semiconductors, Critical Minerals, and Energy
Published
2 jours agoon
3 octobre 2025By

In the months leading up to the 2026 midterm elections, the Trump administration has launched a broad initiative to negotiate agreements with companies across as many as thirty industries. According to reporting from Reuters and other outlets, these deals involve a range of mechanisms, including tariff relief, equity stakes, revenue guarantees, and regulatory adjustments.
The purpose of the initiative, according to administration officials, is to strengthen U.S. national and economic security by encouraging companies to expand production domestically, reduce reliance on China, and ensure the availability of critical products.
For logistics and supply chain leaders, this represents a significant change in the relationship between government and industry. Federal agencies are no longer simply regulators or supporters of infrastructure. They are becoming active participants in corporate strategy, investment, and supply chain design.
Structure of the Deals
The administration’s approach is not uniform. Each agreement varies depending on the sector and company involved. Examples include:
Pharmaceuticals: Eli Lilly was asked to expand insulin production, Pfizer was pressed to increase output of its cancer and cholesterol drugs, and AstraZeneca was encouraged to establish a new U.S. headquarters. In exchange, companies have been offered tariff relief or regulatory flexibility.
Semiconductors: A portion of grants provided under the CHIPS Act has been converted into equity stakes, including a reported 10 percent stake in Intel.
Critical Minerals: The Department of Defense took a 15 percent stake in MP Materials, secured a floor price for future government purchases, and facilitated a $500 million supply agreement between MP Materials and Apple for rare earth magnets.
Energy: The Department of Energy has asked companies such as Lithium Americas for equity stakes in exchange for federal loans supporting domestic mining and battery production.
The unifying theme is the use of federal leverage, such as tariffs, financing programs, or regulatory approvals, to secure commitments from private companies that align with stated national security objectives.
Agencies as Dealmakers
What distinguishes this initiative is the scale of inter-agency involvement. The White House has described the approach as “whole of government.”
The Department of Health and Human Services is leading negotiations in pharmaceuticals.
The Department of Commerce, under Secretary Howard Lutnick, has overseen transactions in steel, semiconductors, and industrial manufacturing.
The Department of Energy is linking financing programs to equity arrangements in energy and mining.
The Pentagon has led negotiations with defense contractors and suppliers of critical minerals.
Senior officials, including White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles and supply chain coordinator David Copley, are directly involved in negotiations. The presence of Wall Street dealmakers, such as Michael Grimes (formerly of Morgan Stanley) and David Shapiro (formerly of Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz), illustrates the administration’s transactional orientation.
Financing Mechanisms
The administration is using multiple sources of capital to finance these arrangements:
International Development Finance Corporation (DFC): Originally designed to support development projects abroad, the DFC has proposed expanding its budget authority from $60 billion to $250 billion. If approved by Congress, it would fund projects in infrastructure, energy, and critical supply chains within the U.S.
Investment Accelerator (Commerce Department): Seeded by $550 billion pledged by Japan as part of a bilateral trade agreement, this entity will direct capital into U.S. strategic sectors, serving as a replacement for an earlier proposal to establish a sovereign wealth fund.
Existing Programs: Agencies are repurposing funds from programs such as the CHIPS Act and Department of Energy loan guarantees, often converting grants into equity holdings.
Together, these mechanisms represent one of the largest coordinated federal interventions in U.S. industrial and supply chain development in recent decades.
Implications for Supply Chains
The administration’s policies carry several direct consequences for logistics and supply chain management.
1. Reshoring of Manufacturing
Many of the deals include explicit requirements for expanded U.S. production. This will increase demand for domestic transportation, warehousing, and distribution capacity. It also implies higher utilization of U.S. ports and intermodal corridors, as inputs shift from finished imports to raw materials and intermediate goods requiring processing inside the United States.
2. Critical Minerals and Energy Security
The focus on rare earths, lithium, and other inputs for advanced manufacturing indicates a restructuring of upstream supply chains. Logistics providers should expect increased flows from domestic mining regions, such as Nevada’s Thacker Pass lithium project, to processing and manufacturing centers. This represents a shift away from reliance on Asian supply hubs, particularly China.
3. Government as Stakeholder
Equity stakes and long-term purchase agreements create a different operating environment. Logistics providers serving these industries may find demand more stable due to government-backed contracts. However, these arrangements may also impose compliance requirements and reduce flexibility in adjusting supply networks.
4. Public-Private Coordination
Federal involvement in freight and industrial infrastructure financing could accelerate long-delayed projects. Rail expansion, port upgrades, and domestic warehouse capacity may benefit from this investment. Companies positioned to partner on these projects may see long-term opportunities.
Risks and Concerns
Several risks accompany this shift:
Policy Reversal: Executives have expressed concern that a future administration could unwind or renegotiate these deals. Supply chains built around government-backed agreements may face uncertainty if political priorities shift.
Equity Demands: Some companies are wary of ceding ownership stakes to the federal government. This creates hesitation in sectors where ownership control and investor confidence are sensitive.
Market Distortions: Critics argue that selecting which companies receive government support could disadvantage firms excluded from the arrangements, altering competitive dynamics within industries.
Implementation Capacity: The scale of proposed financing, particularly the expansion of the DFC, requires congressional approval and capable management. Delays or political opposition could slow execution.
Policy-to-Supply-Chain Impact Table
Policy Mechanism
Industry Example
Government Action
Supply Chain Impact
Tariff Relief
Pharmaceuticals (Pfizer, Eli Lilly)
Tariff exemptions in exchange for expanded U.S. production
Increases demand for domestic warehousing, distribution, and cold-chain logistics for added output
Equity Stakes
Intel (10% stake), MP Materials (15% stake)
Federal ownership through converted grants or Defense Production Act
Creates long-term stability in supply flows, but may add compliance requirements for logistics providers
Purchase Guarantees
MP Materials with Apple
Pentagon set floor prices, Apple committed to $500M supply contract
Locks in demand for rare earth shipments, increasing domestic transport flows from mining to manufacturing
Federal Loans Linked to Equity
Lithium Americas (DOE loan, 5–10% stake requested)
Loan support tied to partial government ownership
Supports new mining and battery projects, creating future logistics demand for raw materials and finished batteries
Investment Accelerator Funding
Commerce Department
$550B in financing, partly funded by Japan, allocated to U.S. manufacturing and freight infrastructure
Potential expansion of ports, intermodal rail, and distribution centers, reducing bottlenecks in supply chains
Expanded DFC Financing
Multiple critical industries
Proposed budget growth from $60B to $250B for U.S. supply chains and infrastructure
Large-scale capital for freight corridors, warehouses, and strategic materials, enabling reshoring of production
Case Examples
MP Materials
The rare earth mining company received federal backing through a 15 percent Pentagon stake, floor pricing commitments, and a supply agreement with Apple. This illustrates the administration’s template: equity participation, purchase guarantees, and private-sector co-investment.
Intel
The conversion of CHIPS Act funding into a 10 percent federal equity stake in Intel highlights the new approach to semiconductor supply chain security. By tying financial support to ownership, the government ensures both accountability and a direct role in strategic sectors.
Lithium Americas
A Department of Energy loan of $2.26 billion, paired with negotiations for a 5 to 10 percent federal equity stake, demonstrates how energy supply chains, particularly those tied to electric vehicles and batteries, are being secured through mixed financing and ownership arrangements.
Long-Term Outlook
The administration’s strategy marks a departure from the traditional U.S. model of private-sector–led industrial development. Instead, it resembles coordinated industrial policies pursued in other economies, though with American characteristics.
For supply chain professionals, this means that:
Government will play a larger role in shaping sourcing, production, and distribution decisions.
Access to federal financing and contracts will become a key factor in strategic planning.
Logistics infrastructure may receive substantial investment, creating new opportunities for providers.
Companies must assess political as well as market risks when designing long-term supply chains.
The Trump administration’s pre-midterm industrial deals reflect a significant realignment of government and industry roles in the United States. By leveraging tariffs, financing programs, and direct equity stakes, the federal government is reshaping supply chains across pharmaceuticals, energy, critical minerals, and freight.
The initiative is intended to secure domestic production, reduce reliance on China, and ensure access to strategic inputs. For logistics leaders, the result will be increased reshoring activity, new demand for domestic infrastructure, and closer integration of supply chains with federal priorities.
At the same time, risks remain. The durability of these arrangements depends on political continuity, effective implementation, and the willingness of companies to partner with government under new terms.
In this evolving environment, logistics and supply chain professionals will need to monitor policy developments as closely as they do market trends. Supply chains are no longer shaped solely by efficiency and cost considerations. They are now integral to the nation’s industrial strategy.
The post Federal Industrial Partnerships and Supply Chain Realignment Under the Trump Administration: Pharmaceuticals, Semiconductors, Critical Minerals, and Energy appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.
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Supply Chain and Logistics News Sept 29 – Oct 2nd 2025
Published
2 jours agoon
3 octobre 2025By

This week in supply chain news, major companies are demonstrating a mix of strategic adaptations and responses to global pressures. ExxonMobil and Kinaxis are collaborating to develop a next-generation supply chain management solution specifically for the complex oil and gas industry, aiming to increase resilience and provide comprehensive visibility. In a push for network efficiency, FedEx has launched a new direct cargo flight between Dublin, Ireland, and Indianapolis, Indiana, bypassing congested coastal hubs to reduce transit times. The pharmaceutical sector is also focused on resilience, with Eli Lilly and Amgen announcing significant U.S. manufacturing investments to bring critical drug production back to North America. Conversely, General Mills is restructuring its supply chain by closing three manufacturing plants in Missouri as a cost-saving measure in response to changing consumer spending habits. Finally, the U.S. government is imposing new tariffs on imported wood products and furniture, effective October 14, 2025, in a move to address what it identifies as a threat to the domestic industry and supply chain security.
The News of the Week:
The oil and gas industry supply chain is one of the most complex in the world. It involves myriad complex production assets both onshore and offshore, transporting highly volatile products around the globe through pipelines, tank farms, ports, ships, rail, and truck. The end product could be gasoline, petrochemicals, natural gas, hydrogen, or any of hundreds of products from asphalt to motor oil. Disruptions to the oil and gas supply chain can have serious consequences for end users. The industry needs more comprehensive supply chain solutions that increase resilience, provide complete visibility across all aspects of the supply chain, and enable swift responses to business challenges and opportunities. Kinaxis and Exxon are collaborating to digitalize various sectors of Exxon’s business. They aim to leverage Kinaxis’s Maestro software to enhance planning and decision-making processes. Through this collaboration, the two companies aim to share solutions tailored to the oil and gas industry, which currently lacks supply chain management solutions that cater to their specific needs.
FedEx Expands Global Air Network with New Dublin- Indianapolis Route
In an effort to shorten transit times and strengthen its international network, FedEx has launched a new direct cargo flight between Dublin, Ireland, and Indianapolis, Indiana. The new four-day-a-week service bypasses traditional, more congested coastal gateways, which is expected to reduce shipping times by a full day for goods moving between Ireland and the U.S. Midwest. This strategic expansion is a response to the growing trade between the two regions and demonstrates how major carriers are adapting their networks to create more direct and efficient routes to meet evolving customer demands.
Eli Lily and Amgen Announce Massive U.S. Manufacturing Investments
In a major push for domestic drug production, pharmaceutical giants Eli Lilly and Amgen have announced huge investments in new U.S. manufacturing facilities. Eli Lilly is planning a new $6.5 billion factory in Houston, while Amgen is expanding its Puerto Rico plant with a $650 million investment. These moves are a direct response to the global supply chain vulnerabilities exposed in recent years and represent a significant effort to boost the resilience of the U.S. pharmaceutical supply chain. The investments aim to bring critical drug production back to North America, creating jobs and reducing reliance on overseas manufacturing.
General Mills is Closing Three Manufacturing Plants in Missouri
General Mills is closing three manufacturing plants in Missouri—a pizza crust facility in St. Charles and two pet food locations in Joplin—as part of a multiyear supply chain restructuring effort. The company expects to incur $82 million in restructuring charges, including asset write-offs and severance costs. This action is part of a broader trend among food and beverage companies to implement cost-saving measures in response to consumer spending pullbacks. The closures follow previous organizational actions by General Mills, such as job cuts and the closure of its innovation unit, and are intended to improve the company’s competitiveness.
US to Begin Furniture, Wood Import Tariffs on Oct. 14
New tariffs on imported wood products, including furniture, will take effect on October 14, 2025, following a Section 232 national security investigation. The initial duties will be 10% on softwood lumber and 25% on upholstered furniture, kitchen cabinets, and vanities. On January 1, the tariff rates are scheduled to increase to 30% for upholstered furniture and 50% for kitchen cabinets and vanities. The executive order provides for lower tariff caps for imports from specific trading partners, such as the U.K., Japan, and the European Union. These new tariffs are intended to address what the administration has identified as a threat to domestic industry and supply chain security.
Song of the week:
The post Supply Chain and Logistics News Sept 29 – Oct 2nd 2025 appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.
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Call for Speakers: Ready to Drive Real Change in Intelligent Operations and Resilient Supply Chains – ARC Industry Forum 2025
Published
2 jours agoon
2 octobre 2025By

Call for Speakers – ARC Industry Forum 2025
The ARC Industry Forum is the premier event where operations, supply chain, and technology leaders gather to shape the future of intelligent and resilient enterprises. In 2025, supply chains face unprecedented disruption, but also unmatched opportunity. We are seeking speakers—executives, practitioners, and innovators—who can share strategies, frameworks, and real-world experiences to inspire and guide their peers.
Sample Session Themes
To help illustrate the types of topics we feature, here are a few recent examples:
The New Frontier of Operations and Supply Chain: AI, Resilience, and Intelligence – Exploring how AI, analytics, automation, and connected intelligence converge to deliver agility and resilience.
Building Resilient Supply Chains in the Age of Shifting Geopolitics – Addressing the regulatory, tariff, and policy challenges facing global supply networks.
Unlocking the Power of Knowledge Transfer in Enterprise Systems – Showcasing best practices to fully leverage enterprise and knowledge management systems.
These examples are only a sample of the many tracks available. Additional sessions will cover digital transformation, sustainability, cybersecurity, workforce strategies, and other timely topics.
Submission Guidelines
We invite proposals that highlight real-world case studies, practical lessons, and strategic frameworks. Presentations should be vendor-neutral, educational, and tailored for an audience of senior executives and practitioners.
If you are interested in speaking, please submit:
A proposed session title and abstract (150–250 words)
Key takeaways for attendees
Speaker bio and organizational role
To submit a proposal, or simply for more information, contact us now
The post Call for Speakers: Ready to Drive Real Change in Intelligent Operations and Resilient Supply Chains – ARC Industry Forum 2025 appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.


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