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Navigating Global Trade: Insights from Gene Seroka, Executive Director Port of Los Angeles

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Navigating Global Trade: Insights From Gene Seroka, Executive Director Port Of Los Angeles

In recent weeks, the global trade landscape has experienced significant shifts, and Gene Seroka’s comments provide a comprehensive overview of the current situation and its potential impacts. As we navigate these turbulent times, it’s crucial to understand the broader implications of these changes in various sectors of the economy.

Late last month, the CEOs of Walmart, Target, and Home Depot met with President Donald Trump to deliver a stark warning: Store shelves could be noticeably emptier within a weeks, as inventories disappear and cannot be restocked. Because of the high tariffs on China, those imports will likely be the first to disappear from stores.

The 10 percent global tariff will likely increase prices for consumers but won’t shift or eliminate supply chains for products from other countries, writes Ed Gresser, a former assistant U.S. Trade Representative who is now a vice president at the Progressive Policy Institute. It’s a different story for goods from China, where the 145 percent tariff will be prohibitively expensive and may look more like an embargo. Gene Seroka, Executive Director Port of Los Angeles notes that these tariffs will have a significant impact on the availability of goods from China, making them prohibitively expensive and potentially leading to empty shelves.

A Decline in Import Volume

Seroka highlights a notable drop in import volume, with about a third of the import volume, equivalent to approximately 50,020-foot equivalent units, disappearing in recent weeks. This decline is not isolated to a single region but is a global phenomenon affecting trade routes from China, Mexico, and Canada. The situation has led CEOs to hit the pause button on imports due to fluctuating prices and an unclear future.

Economic Waves and Consumer Impact

The decline in import volume has far-reaching consequences. Seroka points out that the trucking industry will feel the immediate impact, with truckers hauling fewer containers and dock workers facing reduced shifts and job opportunities. This slowdown in trade is expected to ripple through the economy, leading to potential shortages on store shelves and a pause in hiring and capital investment. Retailers are already bracing for the impact, with some saying that they will need to pass on increased costs to consumers.

Global Trade at a Crossroads

The uncertainty in global trade is not just about China; it’s a worldwide issue. Seroka emphasizes that global trade will slow until there is greater certainty and lower tariff rates. The situation is reminiscent of the concerns about inflation back in November, but now the stakes are higher with significant import declines from Southeast Asia and China. The question remains: how long will this slowdown last, and what will be the long-term effects on the global economy?

The Path Forward

Looking ahead, Seroka outlines a potential path forward if a deal is reached. It would take about a month to reposition ships around major ports, load containers, and transport them across the Pacific. This timeline is critical as it aligns with the spring and summer fashion seasons and the back-to-school period, which are vital for retailers and the economy. However, the uncertainty persists, and the need for a quick resolution is urgent.

Gene Seroka’s insights provide an insider’s look at the current state of global trade and its potential impacts. As we navigate these uncertain times, it’s essential to stay informed and prepared for the challenges ahead. The global economy is at a crossroads, and the decisions made in the coming weeks will shape the future of trade and economic stability.

The post Navigating Global Trade: Insights from Gene Seroka, Executive Director Port of Los Angeles appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

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Trump, Xi, and the Strategic Repricing of Supply Chain Risk

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Trump, Xi, And The Strategic Repricing Of Supply Chain Risk

Taiwan, Hormuz, AI infrastructure, and trade policy are no longer separate geopolitical issues. They are now operating variables in global supply chain strategy.

The upcoming summit between President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping should be viewed less as a diplomatic event than as a marker of how global supply chain risk is being repriced.

The core issue is not a single tariff, statement, or concession. It is the growing recognition that the physical and digital infrastructure of global commerce has become a domain of strategic competition.

For senior supply chain leaders, this changes the planning frame.

For three decades, multinational supply chains were built around efficiency: low-cost production, lean inventories, global sourcing, and relatively stable trade flows. That model assumed that major chokepoints would remain open, energy flows would remain dependable, and geopolitical disputes would rarely interrupt the core operating model.

That assumption is no longer sufficient.

Taiwan is a semiconductor and advanced manufacturing risk. Hormuz is an energy, freight, inflation, and industrial input risk. China is a manufacturing, rare earths, components, and market-access risk. The United States remains a maritime, aerospace, agricultural, financial, energy, and advanced technology control point.

The Beijing summit matters because each of these domains can now affect the others.

Taiwan Risk Is Semiconductor Risk

Taiwan will be one of the most sensitive subjects in the Trump-Xi discussions. For supply chain leaders, the issue is not only military escalation. It is concentration risk.

Taiwan’s role in advanced semiconductor production links the island directly to automotive electronics, cloud infrastructure, AI accelerators, industrial automation, aerospace systems, telecommunications, and consumer electronics.

A disruption around Taiwan would not remain confined to one industry. It would force rapid reassessment of supplier continuity, inventory policy, product allocation, customer commitments, and manufacturing geography.

This is now a board-level exposure category.

The practical question for executives is not whether a Taiwan crisis occurs this year. It is whether the enterprise understands its dependency on Taiwan-linked supply, how quickly that dependency can be reduced, and what service, margin, and capital tradeoffs would be required under stress.

Hormuz Shows That Energy Risk Still Drives Logistics Risk

The Strait of Hormuz remains one of the most important energy chokepoints in the world. Any sustained disruption would move quickly through supply chain cost structures.

The impact would extend beyond crude oil prices. Ocean freight, diesel, air cargo, petrochemicals, plastics, fertilizer, industrial production, packaging, and consumer inflation would all be affected.

Many companies have improved supplier risk management. Fewer have integrated energy corridor risk, maritime insurance exposure, and geopolitical routing constraints into planning models with the same rigor.

That gap is becoming more consequential.

Energy security is not only a procurement issue. It is a transportation, manufacturing, pricing, and working-capital issue.

For a deeper look at how energy volatility, infrastructure constraints, and geopolitical chokepoints are reshaping logistics strategy, readers can download Logistics Viewpoints’ Energy in The Supply Chain, our energy-focused supply chain white paper. It provides a more detailed framework for evaluating fuel exposure, transportation cost risk, energy-intensive operations, and the resilience implications of a less stable global energy system.

Trade Policy Is Now Supply Chain Policy

The summit is expected to include tariffs, investment channels, commercial purchases, export controls, and broader trade arrangements. These are no longer peripheral legal or government affairs topics.

They directly shape landed cost, sourcing decisions, supplier qualification, capital deployment, and manufacturing footprint strategy.

For industries with material China exposure including electronics, industrial equipment, automotive, medical devices, chemicals, aerospace, and consumer goods, policy volatility now belongs inside the core supply chain planning process.

The old operating model treated trade disruption as an external shock. The new model requires trade policy to be embedded in scenario planning, supplier scorecards, network design, and executive risk governance.

AI Infrastructure Adds a New Strategic Dependency

AI is also becoming a supply chain issue.

Advanced AI systems depend on semiconductors, power availability, data centers, cooling systems, high-speed networks, rare earth inputs, and specialized manufacturing capacity. These are not abstract technology dependencies. They are physical infrastructure requirements.

As companies adopt AI for forecasting, logistics optimization, warehouse automation, supplier risk analysis, and decision support, they also become more exposed to the infrastructure stack beneath AI.

That includes chip availability, cloud dependency, data residency, export controls, cybersecurity, and energy capacity.

ARC’s white paper, AI in the Supply Chain: Architecting the Future of Logistics with A2A, MCP, and Graph-Enhanced Reasoning, frames this shift as the move toward connected intelligence: AI systems that support real-time awareness, coordination, and decision-making across supply chain networks.

For readers focused specifically on AI-enabled operating models, Logistics Viewpoints’ second AI white paper, AI in the Supply Chain: From Architecture to Execution, examines how enterprises can move from isolated AI pilots toward governed, execution-ready supply chain intelligence.

Connected intelligence will create material performance advantages. It will also require more disciplined governance of technology, infrastructure, and geopolitical exposure.

The Strategic Shift: From Lowest Cost to Resilient Advantage

The broader signal from the Beijing summit is that supply chain strategy is moving from lowest-cost optimization toward resilient advantage.

That does not mean globalization is ending. It means globalization is becoming more conditional, more regionalized, and more politically constrained.

The executive agenda should now include:

Geographic concentration risk

Semiconductor and component dependency

Energy corridor exposure

Supplier country-of-origin analysis

Strategic inventory positioning

Maritime routing optionality

Export-control and sanctions exposure

AI infrastructure dependency

Capital requirements for redundancy

Governance models for geopolitical risk

These are not tactical issues. They influence margin resilience, revenue continuity, customer commitments, and long-term competitiveness.

What Senior Leaders Should Do Now

The appropriate response is disciplined exposure mapping.

Companies should identify where the operating model depends on concentrated geopolitical chokepoints: Taiwan-linked semiconductors, China-dependent components, Gulf energy flows, restricted technologies, sanctioned entities, single-source suppliers, and fragile logistics lanes.

That exposure should then be translated into management action.

This includes alternate sourcing, inventory buffers, supplier qualification, logistics optionality, contract flexibility, and clear escalation triggers for executive decision-making.

More mature organizations will go further. They will incorporate geopolitical signals into integrated business planning, supplier risk scoring, transportation modeling, procurement strategy, and board-level risk reporting.

This is where supply chain leadership is heading.

The Beijing summit may produce stabilization, commercial announcements, or diplomatic language. But the structural issue will remain: global supply chains now operate inside a world where infrastructure, technology, energy, and geopolitics are tightly linked.

The companies that perform best will not simply be those with the lowest-cost networks. They will be those that understand where they are exposed, where they have options, and where resilience deserves capital.

That is the new supply chain mandate.

The post Trump, Xi, and the Strategic Repricing of Supply Chain Risk appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

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The Digital Backbone of the Warehouse: Trends Shaping the 2026 WMS Market

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The Digital Backbone Of The Warehouse: Trends Shaping The 2026 Wms Market

The Warehouse Management Systems (WMS) market continues to grow, driven by e-commerce growth, increasing fulfillment complexity, faster delivery expectations, and the need for real-time operational visibility. Organizations are investing in WMS to improve inventory accuracy, throughput, and responsiveness to customer demand. Suppliers are driving WMS progress by implementing capabilities that allow customers to see their warehouse operations digitally, respond to disruptions more quickly, and address labor shortages before they arise.

WMS is shifting from a transactional system of record to a coordination layer across warehouse execution, orchestrating workflows across people, automation, and digital systems. This reflects broader changes in supply chain execution, where integration with robotics, AI, and adjacent systems is now a baseline expectation. ARC research reinforces this view: WMS providers are increasingly expected to manage both manual and automated processes holistically, rather than operate in isolation from material handling systems or automation layers.

Key Trends Redefining the WMS Landscape

Automation as a Core Requirement: Warehouse automation is no longer an add-on; it is a central requirement shaping WMS development. Systems must integrate with robotics, autonomous mobile robots (AMRs), and material handling equipment while balancing human and machine workflows. Learning from past decisions, recommending new ones, and looking into the future to identify anticipated disruptions before they occur.
AI-Driven Execution and Decision Support: AI is increasingly embedded into WMS platforms to support predictive analytics, dynamic slotting, and operational decision-making. In many cases, this includes agent-based tools that help diagnose issues and simulate potential outcomes. Chatbots and agents allow warehouse operators to access information and data faster, reducing the time spent making decisions. Increasingly, companies are releasing solutions on a low-code platform that can be easily customized to an organization’s specific needs.
Convergence Across Supply Chain Execution, WMS is increasingly part of a broader execution ecosystem that includes transportation, yard, labor, and order management. Vendors are positioning their solutions as part of integrated platforms rather than standalone applications. AI is playing a role in the de-siloing of systems. When systems are unified and data is accessible, AI can perform traditional processes, such as stock-out scenarios, which require the ability to see into multiple systems, such as inventory, shipping, and warehousing, much faster than a supply chain planner.

The Challenge: Evaluating a Blurred Market

As these trends converge, the WMS market is becoming more difficult to define and evaluate:

Functional overlap between WMS, WES, robotics platforms, and planning systems
Increasing variation in how vendors describe similar capabilities
Expansion of WMS into adjacent execution domains

This creates a disconnect between traditional market analysis and how buyers actually evaluate solutions. From ARC’s perspective, many of the legacy ways of analyzing the market, such as segmentation by tier or deployment type, do not fully explain how solutions differ in real-world performance or how they are evolving. In response, ARC is shifting its research methodology to better reflect how buyers evaluate technology today. Rather than focusing primarily on market size, segmentation, and historical growth, the approach is placing greater emphasis on:

Functional capabilities (e.g., receiving, picking, optimization, labor management)
Technical architecture (modularity, scalability, cloud readiness, interoperability)
Integration with automation and execution systems
AI capabilities and data utilization
Execution quality and measurable performance impact

This approach aligns with ARC’s internal research scope for WMS, which includes both core execution processes (receiving, put-away, picking, shipping) and add-on modules such as labor management, analytics, and optimization. The shift reflects a broader goal: moving beyond describing the market to understanding solution performance and differentiation at a deeper level.

The Role of the ARC Market Map

To support this shift, ARC has introduced the Market Map as a core analytical framework. The Market Map provides a structured, visual representation of supplier positioning in the WMS market, enabling more consistent and transparent evaluation across vendors.

Evaluation Framework

Suppliers are assessed across two primary dimensions:

Solution Capabilities (Execution Today)
Includes:

Functional capabilities across warehouse processes
Technical architecture (cloud, scalability, interoperability)
Integration with automation and adjacent systems
Execution quality and support services

Strategic Vision (Future Positioning)
Includes:

Product roadmap and innovation strategy
Corporate direction and ecosystem alignment
Customer base and growth trajectory

These dimensions are equally weighted and supported by a structured scoring model that incorporates multiple sub-criteria across both capability and strategy dimensions. The Market Map reflects ARC’s view that the WMS market is no longer defined solely by functionality; it is defined by how well solutions integrate across the warehouse ecosystem. WMS solutions are being compared on their ability to support automation and AI-driven execution, and how well the vendors are prepared for future supply chain demands. As markets grow and technology progresses, we also need to develop new ways to analyze and understand market dynamics. By combining both current capabilities and long-term strategy, the framework provides a more complete view of vendor positioning than traditional market rankings.

Vendor Outreach

ARC has been conducting market research for over 30 years, and we, too, have changed and adapted with the times and technology. From pen and paper to an online market analysis platform that allows for dynamic visualizations. We have adapted and progressed alongside the clients we serve, which is why we are looking forward to delivering our first batch of Market Maps this summer.

We are currently speaking with Vendors in the Warehouse Management System market. Learning about each solution’s differentiators, functional capabilities, and much more. If you’d like to be added to our vendor list and included in our WMS Market Map research, please reach out to (gsimon@arcweb.com).

Manhattan Associates
Blue Yonder
Oracle
SAP

Körber (HighJump / Infios)
Infor
Microsoft (Dynamics 365)
NetSuite

Epicor
Acumatica
Tecsys
Made4net

Mecalux
Generix Group
Deposco
Logiwa

ShipHero
3PL Central (Extensiv)
Infoplus
Cadre Technologies

The post The Digital Backbone of the Warehouse: Trends Shaping the 2026 WMS Market appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

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Help Shape the Supply Chain Decision Intelligence Market Map

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Help Shape The Supply Chain Decision Intelligence Market Map

As AI, visibility, planning, risk, and orchestration platforms converge, Logistics Viewpoints is developing an analyst-defined Market Map to clarify where decision-making value is emerging — and supplier participation is now welcome.

Supply chain technology markets are becoming harder to evaluate. Established software categories still matter, but they no longer explain where much of the new differentiation is emerging. Planning systems are adding orchestration. Visibility platforms are moving into exception management and recommendation engines. Risk platforms are becoming operating signal layers. Enterprise application vendors are embedding AI across broader suites. Specialized providers are using external data, event intelligence, and analytics to help companies respond faster to disruption.

For buyers, the result is a more complicated evaluation environment. For suppliers, the challenge is positioning. Many companies now use similar language — AI, orchestration, control tower, resilience, visibility, automation, intelligence — while solving different problems at different layers of the operating model.

That is why Logistics Viewpoints is developing the Supply Chain Decision Intelligence Market Map, an analyst-defined view of one of the most important emerging layers in supply chain technology.

Supplier participation is now welcome. If your company is listed below, or if your company is active in supply chain decision intelligence, AI-enabled decision support, orchestration, event intelligence, risk, resilience, control towers, visibility, planning intelligence, or related areas, this is the time to engage. Participation helps ensure that your capabilities are understood accurately before the Market Map is finalized.

The Market Map is designed to clarify the layer above and across core supply chain systems where data is interpreted, signals are connected, tradeoffs are evaluated, and better operating decisions are made. This is not intended to be another logo landscape. The purpose is to define the market, establish boundaries, organize the provider landscape, and create a more disciplined basis for buyer and supplier conversations.

Why Decision Intelligence Matters

For decades, supply chain technology was organized around familiar application categories: ERP, WMS, TMS, planning, procurement, order management, visibility, and execution platforms. Those systems remain essential. But they do not fully explain where value is moving.

The most important shift is the emergence of an intelligence layer that helps companies understand what is changing, why it matters, what options are available, and what action should be taken. That is the practical meaning of Supply Chain Decision Intelligence.

The category includes technologies that materially improve how supply chain decisions are made across planning, execution, coordination, disruption response, risk management, logistics, sourcing, fulfillment, and multi-enterprise operations. It is broader than a single application category, but it is not a catch-all for every vendor using AI language.

The governing test is straightforward: does the technology improve decision quality in a meaningful supply chain operating context?

A dashboard is not decision intelligence. A transactional execution system is not decision intelligence simply because it stores operational data. A generic AI platform is not automatically part of the category unless it is materially tied to supply chain decision-making. The Market Map is intended to hold that boundary.

Providers Currently Under Review

The Supply Chain Decision Intelligence Market Map is being developed around a curated set of providers whose capabilities appear to intersect with this emerging intelligence layer. Providers currently under review include:

Altana
Blue Yonder
Coupa
e2open
Everstream
FourKites
Interos
Kinaxis
Manhattan
o9
Oracle
Overhaul
project44
SAP

These companies do not all compete in the same way. That is precisely why the market needs structure.

Some are associated with planning, scenario analysis, and decision optimization. Some are stronger in logistics visibility, event data, transportation intelligence, or control tower capabilities. Some focus on supplier risk, trade intelligence, resilience, or multi-enterprise network coordination. Some are broad enterprise application providers extending intelligence across large installed bases. Others are more specialized providers focused on risk signals, shipment intelligence, orchestration, or external operating context.

The analytical value of the Market Map comes from making those differences visible. A buyer evaluating supply chain decision intelligence should not treat all of these providers as interchangeable. Nor should suppliers be forced into legacy categories that obscure their actual role in decision support.

Why Suppliers Should Participate

Supplier participation matters because this market is still being defined.

Many providers have capabilities that cross legacy category lines. A company may be known for visibility but now offer decision automation. A planning vendor may increasingly support cross-functional orchestration. A risk platform may function as an operating intelligence layer. A network provider may support decision-making across parties, geographies, and systems.

If those distinctions are not understood clearly, suppliers risk being positioned too narrowly, grouped with adjacent providers that solve different problems, or evaluated only through outdated category labels.

Participation gives suppliers an opportunity to clarify:

How their platform improves supply chain decision-making
Where their capabilities sit relative to planning, execution, visibility, risk, and orchestration
What data, AI, analytics, workflow, or network capabilities support decision quality
Which use cases best demonstrate enterprise value
How their solution differs from adjacent providers that may sound similar in the market

This is especially important in a category where language has become crowded. “AI,” “control tower,” “visibility,” “orchestration,” “resilience,” and “decision intelligence” can mean very different things depending on the provider. The Market Map process is intended to separate substance from terminology.

For suppliers, the benefit is not promotional placement. It is accurate market understanding. A well-informed Market Map helps buyers better understand the provider landscape — and helps suppliers avoid being misread by the market.

Inclusion and Exclusion Logic

The Market Map will focus on technologies that contribute directly to better supply chain decisions.

Relevant capabilities include decision-support layers, orchestration and coordination tools, AI and advanced analytics tied to operating decisions, control towers with real decision depth, context and event intelligence, scenario modeling, cross-functional intelligence environments, and selected enabling infrastructure where the connection to decision quality is explicit.

This includes technologies that help enterprises interpret signals from internal systems and external operating environments. Shipment delays, supplier risk, demand shifts, geopolitical events, inventory constraints, transportation disruption, port congestion, regulatory exposure, and weather events become more useful when they are connected to decisions.

Clear exclusions are equally important. Core systems of record are not included simply because they are important. ERP, WMS, TMS, planning, procurement, and asset management systems belong in the discussion only when they demonstrate a meaningful intelligence layer above the transactional core.

Pure execution tools without decision depth also remain outside the center of the category. The same applies to horizontal BI tools, generic enterprise AI platforms, and narrow point solutions with limited strategic relevance.

These technologies may be useful. Some may even enable decision intelligence. But enablement is not the same as category membership. The objective is not to reward every AI message in the market. The objective is to identify where real decision-making value is emerging.

Why This Is Commercially Important

Decision intelligence is becoming one of the more important ways to understand the next stage of supply chain technology. The market is not moving simply toward more software. It is moving toward more interpretation, more coordination, more contextual awareness, and more decision support across fragmented operating environments.

That shift has implications for both buyers and suppliers. Buyers need a better way to compare providers whose capabilities cut across traditional categories. Suppliers need a more disciplined way to explain where they fit and why they matter. Analysts need a framework that can separate category substance from marketing language.

The Supply Chain Decision Intelligence Market Map is designed to provide that structure.

It will not answer every selection question. No market map can. But it can help buyers ask better questions, compare providers more intelligently, and understand which capabilities are truly central to decision improvement. It can also help suppliers understand how their market position may be perceived within a broader, analyst-defined framework.

Participation Is Welcome

Logistics Viewpoints welcomes supplier participation in the Supply Chain Decision Intelligence Market Map process.

If your company is listed above, participation can help ensure that Logistics Viewpoints has the most accurate understanding of your capabilities, positioning, and role in the market. If your company is not listed but is active in supply chain decision intelligence, AI-enabled supply chain decision support, orchestration, event intelligence, resilience, control tower capabilities, planning intelligence, visibility, supplier risk, trade intelligence, or related areas, we welcome the opportunity to understand where you fit.

Participation does not mean guaranteed positioning, endorsement, or favorable treatment. The value of the Market Map depends on analytical discipline. But supplier input can materially improve the quality of the research, sharpen category boundaries, and ensure that relevant capabilities are understood before the map is finalized.

For suppliers active in this market, non-participation carries a practical risk: your company may still be evaluated based on available information, but without the benefit of your most current explanation of strategy, capability depth, roadmap direction, and customer value proposition.

Next Step

Logistics Viewpoints is developing the Supply Chain Decision Intelligence Market Map as part of a broader Market Maps portfolio for supply chain technology buyers and providers.

To request the Executive Summary, discuss the Supplier Selection Guide, or explore participation in a Supplier Spotlight, contact Logistics Viewpoints.

If you are one of the suppliers listed above, or if your company is active in this market, we welcome your participation in the process.

The post Help Shape the Supply Chain Decision Intelligence Market Map appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

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