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Mastering Disruption: A Smarter, More Connected Approach

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Mastering Disruption: A Smarter, More Connected Approach

Five years ago, we all thought the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in the most disrupted supply chain landscape we would ever see. We were wrong. Since then, supply chain disruptions and volatility have only increased.

Three months into 2025, we have seen a barrage of on-again, off-again tariffs that have supply chain and logistics teams reeling, as they must rethink everything from next week’s shipping route to their foundational network models. From wildfires and flooding to tornadoes and hurricanes, climate change contributes to more frequent and powerful disasters. The Ukraine-Russia conflict is ongoing. Tensions flare in the Middle East without warning.

A disruption at any point in the global logistics network — including the average of 12 touch points from shipment packaging to final delivery — can prove disastrous for profits, service levels, customer loyalty, and other key metrics. With the global e-commerce market predicted to reach $8.1 trillion next year, omnichannel revenues may be increasing — but so are the chances that something, somewhere, will go wrong on the journey of getting orders to the customer.

Today the question is not just “When is the next disruption coming?” but also “How well can we proactively avoid the damage it may cause?”

Most supply chain and logistics teams have recognized that the only way to combat today’s incredible level of uncertainty is by adopting and applying digital tools. The pace and scope of supply chain disruption are beyond human cognition, manual analysis, and consumer-grade spreadsheet tools. With its ability to monitor conditions across the supply chain — at every node and touch point — digitalization provides the only practical solution.

Kudos to the supply chain and logistics teams that have already adopted transportation management systems (TMS), warehouse management systems (WMS), and other digital solutions. They can ingest large volumes of functional data and leverage advanced intelligence to recognize broad trends and specific disruptive events. They are applying predictive analytics and data science to choose an optimal response quickly, driven by facts and pre-defined business outcomes.

It is not surprising that the TMS market will nearly double in size between 2024 and 2029, increasing from $11.75 billion to $23.07 billion. Similarly, the WMS market is expected to grow from $3.9 billion in 2023 to $13.3 billion by 2030, more than tripling in size.

As the Stakes Get Higher, Technology Is Growing in Reach and Capability

While having a TMS or a WMS is a great place to start, many supply chain and logistics teams may not realize that they are only scratching the surface of modern supply chain digitalization. The logistics domain’s and industry’s leading software providers recognize that supply chain disruptions and volatility are growing — and they have responded with some powerful innovations.

Supply chain and logistics teams owe it to themselves to learn about the new generation of advanced digital solutions— and associated best practices— that are changing the nature of logistics networks today. Generally, next-gen innovations fall into a few main categories, discussed below.

Enabling an immediate and synchronized response

Ideally, supply chain and logistics teams would respond to every disruptive event immediately — making the best, most informed decision and then orchestrating it across thousands of miles of supply chain. That may sound impossible, but new technology places this capability within the reach of every organization. There are two components involved here: making the right decision and executing it in a synchronized manner.

Artificial intelligence (AI) is not just a buzzword; it has become a critical competency for supply chain and logistics teams today. Its value is recognized by shippers as they choose logistics partners. In a recent study, almost three-quarters (74%) of shippers reported they would switch to 3PL providers based on their AI capabilities.

Why? Because only AI is capable of ingesting real-time data from across functions, facilities, fleets, trading partners and the outside world — then using data science and pattern recognition — see disruptions at the earliest moment. AI is also making it possible to define a response that balances multiple outcomes, such as cost, service, profitability, and sustainability, applying pre-defined rules and guardrails. It is no wonder that the AI in the supply chain market will grow more than 10x between 2024 and 2030, from $5 billion to $51 billion.

AI is only the beginning of generating the most effective response to disruptions. Leading supply chain and logistics teams can drive an automated, collaborative response to exceptions by uniting interoperable solutions — like WMS, TMS, planning, order management, and yard management systems — on a shared platform. Wherever the disruption occurs in the end-to-end supply chain, a platform approach and interoperable solutions guarantee shared awareness of the event and a broad, cross-functional response that intelligently balances all outcomes. The responses are more effective, and response time is much quicker, with fewer buffer stocks.

Just as a single solution, like a TMS, can autonomously reroute a shipment when a port closes, the end-to-end supply chain can act immediately, in synchronization, with little to no human intervention. More broadly, AI can be deployed across functions to shift inventory, switch transportation modes, find new carriers, communicate across functions and regions with customers and partners, and otherwise deliver a smart, collaborative response. That is the beauty of a platform enabled by AI.

Adopting a platform-based approach can be a game-changer for today’s embattled supply chain and logistics teams — creating a seamless and effective way to recognize a disruption and pull a single execution lever in response.

Redefining the concept of a logistics network

The capabilities of AI in recognizing disruptions and changes and fueling synchronized planning and execution are limitless. For most supply chain and logistics teams, their execution options are not limitless. Teams are constrained by their physical resources, like trucks, inventory, and labor capacities, as they seek to resolve a disruption. They are also limited by their supplier, carrier, and trading partner networks.

One of the most exciting innovations happening in logistics today is eliminating these constraints via digitalization of the supply chain ecosystem. Real-time connectivity empowers the existing logistics network and opens the door to limitless opportunities for collaboration and partnership beyond the existing supply chain footprint.

By partnering with the right solutions provider, supply chain and logistics teams can connect with as many as 150,000 trading partners that can instantly and seamlessly extend the logistics network on demand. Whether supply chain and logistics teams are looking for new sources of inventory, transportation or warehousing, a full-service logistics software partner can seamlessly connect them with the right partners.

Even as the logistics network expands, digitalization guarantees all collaborators share the same data and awareness. They have real-time visibility into inventory levels, movements and purchase orders across all trading partners in the multi-tier network — from raw materials to warehouse to retail shelf or consumer doorstep.

The shift from a traditional, linear, constrained supply chain to a dynamic, interactive network has emerged as one of the smartest and most effective ways of managing logistics disruptions. After all, who does not want more options and greater agility when the unexpected happens?

Executing flawlessly at the task level

While the first two innovations described here focus on optimized end-to-end execution, enabled by AI and digitalization, today’s next-gen technology is changing how users complete every task and handle every item. In a recent interview published by Logistics Viewpoints, Blue Yonder CEO Duncan Angove highlighted the groundbreaking developments in agentic AI that are transforming the supply chain at a granular level.

The power of agentic AI lies in creating a new digital workforce that interacts directly with human associates. A team of interactive, AI-enabled optimization engines, or agents, are trained in specific logistics tasks like order prioritization, warehouse picking or load-building.

Supply chain and logistics teams can complement their human workforce with these specialized agents, each complete with their numeric algorithms, to accelerate and optimize key tasks. Human workers at the warehouse, for example, are guided by these AI agents, or co-pilots, as they complete their daily work via a user-friendly interface. Text and voice interactions are

possible, and these agents generate summaries and reports that allow associates to see both macro and micro-level performance results. Not only can agentic AI reduce warehouse labor costs by 25% and improve productivity by 15%, but it also increases employee satisfaction and retention.

Agentic AI is an easily learned and accessible way for many companies to derive quick returns from next-gen technologies. Blue Yonder has seen 5x growth in agentic AI applications year-over-year, and this emerging technology area is just getting started.

It is Clear: Supply Chains Must Exert Greater Control Over Disruptions

Industry statistics demonstrate clearly that the world’s supply chain and logistics teams are embracing the power of advanced technology and digitalization. As supply chain disruptions increase in frequency and scale, software providers are doing their part by investing in even more impactful technology innovations every day.

That is why supply chain and logistics teams need to see technology adoption not as a one-time event but as an ongoing journey. Companies that continuously explore and apply the newest innovations, like AI agents, will realize a significant edge over competitors who still rely on older technologies and highly manual work processes.

Looking back at the COVID-19 pandemic, who could have predicted that the world’s supply chains would only become more disrupted and challenged? Fortunately, from tariffs to extreme weather, today’s advanced technology allows supply chain and logistics teams to be far better prepared for the future — no matter what that future looks like.

About the Author

Terence Leung is Global Senior Director of Solution and Industry Marketing at Blue Yonder. With a keen interest in AI and digitalization and the benefits they generate, Terence is passionate about Blue Yonder’s industry-leading supply chain platform, which spans warehouse management, warehouse execution, yard management, transportation management, planning, and commerce solutions. He works closely with Blue Yonder customers to understand their challenges and requirements, helping them adopt best practices in their digital journeys.

Prior to joining Blue Yonder, Terence was the leader in product marketing and value engineering at One Network. He held previous leadership positions in industry management at Savi Technology and solution management and management consulting at i2 and Deloitte Consulting, respectively. Terence earned an MBA from the University of Texas, Austin, and an Electrical Engineering degree from MIT.

The post Mastering Disruption: A Smarter, More Connected Approach appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

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What a Return to the Red Sea Could Mean for the Container Market

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What a Return to the Red Sea Could Mean for the Container Market

November 26, 2025

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As the fragile but still-in-place Israel-Hamas ceasefire nears the two-month mark, and with the Houthis declaring an end to attacks on passing vessels, there is more and more anticipation that the long-awaited return of container traffic to the Red Sea may be coming soon.

Though Maersk maintains it has not set a date, the Suez Canal Authority stated that Maersk will resume transits in early December. ZIM’s CEO recently stated that a return in the near future is increasingly likely, and CMA CGM is reportedly preparing for a full return in December.

Operational Impact

The shift of most of the 30% of global container volumes that normally transit the Suez Canal away from the Red Sea and around the Cape of Good Hope almost exactly two years ago added seven to ten days and thousands of nautical miles to Asia – Europe journeys and to some Asia – N. America sailings as well.

The return of container traffic to the shorter Suez route will result in the sudden early arrival of these ships, which will mean significant vessel bunching and congestion at already persistently congested European hubs. This congestion will cause delays and absorb capacity which could push container rates up on the affected lanes, and possibly beyond.

The shift back through the Suez Canal may initially keep some of the typically lower volume ports in Europe that have become transhipment centers during the Red Sea crisis, like Barcelona, busy while carriers may omit port calls at some of the congested major hubs. But after the unwind, these ports, as well as African ports that have been used as refuelling stops during the last two years, will see port calls decline.

Carriers have plans for a gradual phase in of the transition back to the Red Sea, with smaller vessels starting to transit first. This approach would still cause vessel bunching, but would be aimed at minimizing the impact of the reset as much as possible.

But some carriers are skeptical that an orderly phase-in will happen, as they expect pressure from customers who will want a return to the shorter route as quickly as possible. Analysis from Sea Intelligence suggests that the more gradual the transition, the less disruptive it will be, while the faster the return the more disruptive it will be during the up to two months it will take for schedules to return to normal.

Ocean expert Lars Jensen also notes that a return during the lead up to Lunar New Year would coincide with an increase in demand, and would put more pressure on ports and rates than if the transition takes place post-LNY when demand is typically weak. With carriers signalling the shift will begin in December and pre-LNY demand probably picking up in mid-January next year, it seems likely the two will coincide.

Implications for Capacity – and Rates

Red Sea diversions were estimated to have absorbed about 9% of global container capacity by keeping ships at sea for longer and – with longer journeys meaning vessels would arrive back at origins days behind schedule – via carriers adding extra vessels to services in order to maintain planned weekly departures.

This drain on capacity caused Asia – Europe rates to more than triple and transpacific rates to more than double in the two months from the time the diversions began to just before Lunar New Year of 2024. And though rates moved up and down along with seasonal changes in demand, the capacity drain pushed East-West rates up to 2024 highs of $8,000 – $10,000/FEU and set a highly elevated floor of $3,000 – $5,000/FEU during low demand periods that year.

But even with Red Sea diversions continuing to absorb capacity in 2025, continued fleet growth through newly built vessels entering the market has meant that the container trade has already become significantly oversupplied.

As such, rates on these lanes – even before the capacity absorbed by diversions has re-entered the market – have consistently been significantly lower than in 2024 even during months when volumes have been stronger, with prices on some lanes reaching 2023 levels for a span in early October. Recent carrier struggles maintaining transpacific GRIs point to this challenge already.

Even with Red Sea diversions continuing and even during months in 2025 with stronger year on year volumes, capacity growth has meant rates in 2025 have been lower than in 2024.

Yes, the initial congestion and delays caused by the transition back to the Suez Canal will at first put upward pressure on rates for Asia-Europe containers and probably to a lesser degree on the transatlantic lanes as well. If the congestion ties up enough capacity or impacts operations at Far East origins, the rate impact could spread to the transpacific as well. As noted above, if the return coincides with the lead-up to LNY, it will have a stronger impact on rates as there will be pressure from the demand side as well.

But once the congestion unwinds and container flows and schedules stabilize the shift will ultimately release more than two million TEU of container capacity back into the market. This surge will put even more downward pressure on rates and increase the challenge of effectively managing capacity for carriers seeking to keep vessels full and rates profitable in 2026.

Judah Levine

Head of Research, Freightos Group

Judah is an experienced market research manager, using data-driven analytics to deliver market-based insights. Judah produces the Freightos Group’s FBX Weekly Freight Update and other research on what’s happening in the industry from shipper behaviors to the latest in logistics technology and digitization.

Put the Data in Data-Backed Decision Making

Freightos Terminal helps tens of thousands of freight pros stay informed across all their ports and lanes

The post What a Return to the Red Sea Could Mean for the Container Market appeared first on Freightos.

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Transpac ocean rates fizzle; Red Sea return coming soon? – November 25, 2025 Update

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Transpac ocean rates fizzle; Red Sea return coming soon? – November 25, 2025 Update

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November 25, 2025

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Weekly highlights

Ocean rates – Freightos Baltic Index

Asia-US West Coast prices (FBX01 Weekly) decreased 32% to $1,903/FEU.

Asia-US East Coast prices (FBX03 Weekly) decreased 8% to $3,443/FEU.

Asia-N. Europe prices (FBX11 Weekly) decreased 1% to $2,457/FEU.

Asia-Mediterranean prices (FBX13 Weekly) increased 6% to $2,998/FEU.

Air rates – Freightos Air index

China – N. America weekly prices decreased 2% to $6.50/kg.

China – N. Europe weekly prices decreased 1% to $3.97/kg.

N. Europe – N. America weekly prices increased 1% to $2.33/kg.

Analysis

Despite higher tariffs since early this year, US retail sales have proved resilient and are expected to grow through the holiday season. The solidifying tariff landscape is nonetheless facing destabilizing forces like recent China-Japan tensions, and the US Supreme Court’s pending decision on the legality of Trump’s IEEPA-based tariffs.

But the White House is signalling it is already taking steps to ensure that a SCOTUS loss will not open a low tariff window. So, if consumer spending remains strong, and the status quo of the trade war holds up, the US could enter a restocking cycle in 2026 as frontloaded inventories wind down. This restocking could mean stronger freight demand than some have anticipated for next year.

On the freight supply side though, there is more and more discussion of container traffic’s coming return to the Red Sea as the fragile Israel-Hamas ceasefire remains in effect. And while most carriers are not offering a timeline, ZIM’s CEO recently stated that a return in the near future is increasingly likely.

The shift of most of the 30% of global container volumes that normally transit the Suez Canal away from the Red Sea and around the Cape of Good Hope almost exactly two years ago added seven to ten days and thousands of miles to Asia – Europe journeys and to some Asia – N. America sailings as well.

The return of container traffic to the shorter Suez route will result in the sudden early arrival of these ships, which will mean significant vessel bunching and congestion at already persistently congested European hubs. This congestion will cause delays and absorb capacity which could push container rates up on the affected lanes, and possibly beyond.

Carriers have plans for a gradual phase in of the transition back to the Red Sea, with smaller vessels starting to transit first. This approach would still cause vessel bunching, but would be aimed at minimizing the impact of the reset as much as possible.

But some carriers are skeptical that an orderly phase-in will happen, as they expect pressure from customers who will want a return to the shorter route as quickly as possible. Analysis from Sea Intelligence suggests that the more gradual the transition, the less disruptive it will be, while the faster it is the more disruptive it will be, and the more pressure it will put on freight rates during the up to two months it will take for schedules to return to normal.

Ocean expert Lars Jensen also notes that a return during the lead up to Lunar New Year would coincide with an increase in demand, and would put more pressure on ports and rates than if the transition takes place post-LNY when demand is typically weak.

The capacity absorbed through Red Sea diversions pushed East-West rates up to highs of $8,000 – $10,000/FEU in 2024 and set a highly elevated floor of $3,000 – $5,000/FEU during low demand periods that year. But even with Red Sea diversions still in place this year, rates on these lanes have consistently been significantly lower than last year, with prices on some lanes reaching 2023 levels for a span in early October.

The transition back to the Suez Canal – be it more or less chaotic – will ultimately release more than two million TEU of container capacity back into the market. This surge will put even more downward pressure on rates and increase the challenge of effectively managing capacity for carriers seeking to keep vessels full and rates profitable.

The current overcapacity on the East-West lanes is the main reason that carriers’ November transpacific GRIs which had pushed West Coast rates up by $1,000/FEU this month to about $3,000/FEU have now fizzled.

Asia – N. America West Coast prices fell 32% last week to $1,900/FEU with daily rates this week down another $100 so far, but prices remain above the $1,400/FEU low for the year hit in early October. Last week’s vessel fire at the Port of LA does not seem to have had an impact on prices as operations have quickly recovered. Rates to the East Coast fell 8% to $3,400/FEU last week but are at $3,000/FEU so far this week, about even with levels in early October before these set of GRI introductions.

Meanwhile, October and November’s GRIs on Asia-Europe lanes have stuck, with rates to Europe and the Mediterranean both 40% higher than in early October at $2,500/FEU and $3,000/FEU respectively. These rate gains may be surviving on aggressive blanked sailings on these lanes.

Carriers are planning additional GRIs for December aiming for the $3k-$4k/FEU level as they continue to reduce capacity – with an announced labor strike in Belgium likely to help absorb some supply – but there are signs that these increases may not take.

In air cargo, peak season demand is driving rates up and should keep doing so for the next couple weeks. Freightos Air Index data show ex-China rates remaining strong at about $6.50/kg to N. America and $4.00/kg to Europe last week. Demand out of S. East Asia has grown significantly during this year’s trade war, with rates also elevated on these lanes at $5.40/kg to the US and $3.50/kg to Europe.

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Rate, Book, & Manage: Real-time rate comparison, instant booking, and easy tracking at every shipment stage.

Judah Levine

Head of Research, Freightos Group

Judah is an experienced market research manager, using data-driven analytics to deliver market-based insights. Judah produces the Freightos Group’s FBX Weekly Freight Update and other research on what’s happening in the industry from shipper behaviors to the latest in logistics technology and digitization.

Put the Data in Data-Backed Decision Making

Freightos Terminal helps tens of thousands of freight pros stay informed across all their ports and lanes

The post Transpac ocean rates fizzle; Red Sea return coming soon? – November 25, 2025 Update appeared first on Freightos.

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How AI Is Driving the Future of Industrial Operations and the Supply Chain

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How Ai Is Driving The Future Of Industrial Operations And The Supply Chain

ARC Industry Leadership Forum • Orlando, Florida
February 9–12, 2026 • Renaissance Orlando at SeaWorld

Artificial intelligence is reshaping how industrial organizations run their operations and supply chains. The shift is real. The early experiments are gone. Today, companies are redesigning their planning, logistics, reliability, sourcing, and production workflows around systems that can think, react, and coordinate.

At ARC Advisory Group, we’re seeing this change accelerate every quarter. AI is moving from a standalone project to the connective tissue between operational systems. It’s improving how energy is consumed, how materials flow, how assets behave, and how teams respond to uncertainty.

This February, leaders from across the world will gather in Orlando to break down where AI is creating value and what comes next.

Event Details
Renaissance Orlando at SeaWorld
6677 Sea Harbor Drive, Orlando, FL 32821
February 9–12, 2026
Event link: https://www.arcweb.com/events/arc-industry-leadership-forum-orlando

More than 200 colleagues are already registered, including Conrad Hanf and a broad mix of executives, operations leaders, and technologists.

Why AI Matters Right Now

AI gives industrial organizations three capabilities they’ve never had before.

Real-time awareness.
Factories, yards, pipelines, fleets, and distribution nodes are producing enormous amounts of data. AI helps cut through that noise. It identifies what matters, when it matters, and why. The result is faster decisions and fewer surprises.

Coordination across functions.
Production affects logistics. Maintenance affects throughput. Sourcing affects lead time. AI lets these domains share context and act together instead of waiting for a meeting or a spreadsheet adjustment. Decisions that once took a day now happen instantly.

Pattern recognition at scale.
AI sees the earliest signals of asset degradation, demand shifts, port delays, or supply risk. It doesn’t wait for a problem to become a crisis. It alerts teams early and recommends actions with enough lead time to matter.

What Leaders Are Focusing On

Across our research and briefings, the same themes keep rising to the surface.

AI-driven maintenance and reliability.
Predictive models are becoming the default. They diagnose root causes, calculate the impact of failure, and help schedule work when it makes operational sense.

Modern planning and scheduling.
Forecasts now incorporate external signals, real-time plant conditions, and multi-site interactions. Planners are starting to work with continuously updated recommendations instead of static plans.

Autonomous supply chain operations.
AI agents are beginning to negotiate with carriers, re-route shipments, rebalance inventory, and adjust sourcing strategies. This isn’t sci-fi. It’s quietly happening in live networks.

Graph intelligence.
Industrial networks are connected by thousands of relationships. Knowledge-graph models help organizations understand those connections and trace how one event cascades across an entire operation.

Data discipline.
AI’s performance depends on clean, harmonized data across ERP, MES, historians, WMS, TMS, and supplier systems. Many companies are now tackling this foundational work head-on.

Human and AI collaboration.
The most successful organizations aren’t automating people out. They’re giving operators, planners, and engineers AI tools that amplify experience and judgment.

Why Attend the ARC Industry Leadership Forum

The Forum is where these shifts come together. Attendees will see:

• Real-world case studies from global manufacturers, logistics leaders, and utilities
• Demonstrations of AI-enabled control towers and reliability platforms
• Deep-dive sessions on agent-based systems, context management, RAG assistants, and graph reasoning
• Roundtable conversations with peers facing the same operational pressures
• Practical discussions on governance, cybersecurity, workforce roles, and measurable ROI

This event is built for leaders who want clarity, validation, and a realistic roadmap for scaling AI across the industrial value chain.

A Turning Point for Industrial Operations

AI is changing the fundamentals of how materials move, how assets perform, how demand is met, and how decisions get made. The organizations that learn to use this intelligence well will operate with more resilience, more predictability, and less friction.

The ARC Industry Leadership Forum is the best place to understand what this looks like in practice and how to prepare your organization for it.

Join Us in Orlando

If your role touches operations, supply chain, engineering, logistics, maintenance, or industrial strategy, this gathering will be well worth your time.

Reserve your seat:
https://www.arcweb.com/events/arc-industry-leadership-forum-orlando

We hope to see you there.

The post How AI Is Driving the Future of Industrial Operations and the Supply Chain appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

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