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No Balloons Needed: Practical Moves to Navigate Tariff Volatility
Published
7 mois agoon
By

The manufacturing sector is facing unprecedented volatility in global trade, with tariffs becoming the latest in a series of uncertainty drivers that are impacting virtually all industries. Trade policies are constantly evolving, forcing companies to assess how these changes impact customer demand, supply networks, fulfillment strategies, and cost to serve. Supply chains need to be more agile than ever, yet much of the advice circulating in the industry remains high-level or less than ideal.
There’s no shortage of commentary on how companies should respond — move production, shift suppliers, and reconfigure operations are just a few common recommendations. But are these truly actionable in the short term?
The reality is, you can’t just uproot a manufacturing facility and move it overnight, as if it were the floating house in the movie Up, carried away by a bunch of balloons. Manufacturing plants are deeply entrenched; tied to infrastructure, suppliers, skilled labor, and regulatory requirements. Moving them may be an option, but it’s neither a quick fix nor the most practical first step in responding to tariff volatility.
So, what can supply chain leaders do right now? Instead of broad, theoretical solutions, we need to go deeper and identify the tangible levers companies can pull to adapt. There are actions within a supply chain’s control that can make a real impact without requiring an overnight transformation, and that provide agility, flexibility, and resilience in the face of uncertainty.
Companies must take a pragmatic approach — leveraging supply chain planning technology and strategic decision-making to effectively navigate tariff volatility and uncertainty.
A Lesson in Tariff-Induced Disruption
Consider a North American textile manufacturer that was caught off guard by a 25% tariff on Canadian goods imported into the U.S. This increase, combined with existing duties, made it unviable financially to serve American customers which made up 80% of revenue. The company, heavily invested in Canadian manufacturing, faced a crisis because its raw materials were sourced from outside North America, disqualifying it from USMCA tariff exemptions.
As a result, the company had to lay off workers and reevaluate its entire strategy – even as tariffs are paused – due to a lack of supply chain flexibility. To mitigate such risks, manufacturers need to learn from others and look at how they can:
Diversify sourcing strategies to include (in this case) North American suppliers.
Diversify customer base outside of United States to avoid tariffs on broader sales base.
Establish inventory reserves in key markets to avoid supply chain disruptions.
Develop financial flexibility by securing capital and implementing cost-cutting measures.
Design product flexibility to include materials sourced for US and non-US markets or quickly adapt to different sources of materials.
Strengthening the Supply Chain
Supply chains must embrace agility, where companies proactively adjust and optimize their customer, product and network strategies to maximize opportunity – as opposed to fragility – where uncertainty leads to disruptions and chaos. This shift goes hand-in-hand with the need to build tighter orchestration, collaboration & automation to enhance decision-making to quickly respond to changes.
A key approach is to deploy options-based plans as certainty or conditions fluctuate. These plans are created by:
Predicting a range of uncertainty across demand, supply and disruptions, and then create range-based policies to quickly respond to these changes.
Stress-testing, evaluating scenario outcomes to identify and assess options to address different ranges of conditions.
Leveraging probabilistic plans to identify and assess options, and generate range-based policies, rules & thresholds.
Practical Strategies for Managing Tariff Volatility
1. Evaluate Nearshoring / Onshoring and Multisourcing
Relying on a single country or supplier exposes manufacturers to tariff risks. Companies should explore nearshoring strategies to relocate production, or dual/multisourcing initiatives, working with multiple suppliers across different regions.
However, shifting suppliers requires careful ROI evaluation of cost, quality, and lead time considerations to avoid redundancy, especially where it does not add adaptability.
2. Leverage Foreign Trade Zones (FTZs) and Pre-Buying Strategies
Manufacturers can mitigate tariff impacts by strategically managing inventory.
Foreign Trade Zones (FTZs) represent a viable option for companies to store goods without incurring tariffs until they are moved into domestic markets. This allows for more strategic duty payments and improved cash flow opportunities.
Pre-Buying Inventory is another option, allowing companies to purchase additional stock before tariff hikes take effect to minimize short-term cost increases.
Advanced supply chain planning software enables organizations to optimize the entire network holistically (MEIO) as well as model FTZ (within an existing facility or separate location), balancing stock levels and moving inventory based on demand fluctuations and tariff schedules.
3. Take Control of Purchase Prices
Hedging strategies which may include mid to long-term price arrangements help provide financial stability amid tariff fluctuations. These may include:
Long-term supplier agreements to lock in favorable pricing.
Spot-buying strategies to capitalize on market softening.
Many companies take advantage of vertical integration of the value chain, to have more direct control of their supply chain and reduce dependency on external suppliers.
These strategies include taking advantage of scenario planning, allowing teams to select certain suppliers or quantities based on current market conditions.
4. Flexible Production and Product Redesign
Tariff-driven cost increases may force companies to reevaluate production strategies:
Redesign products using alternative materials sourced from lower-tariff regions.
Add product flexibility to sell with differently sourced material based on sales region.
Retire non-competitive products that are no longer viable under new trade conditions.
Additionally, leading companies orchestrate and collaborate on production needs with suppliers to reduce lead-times and minimize inventory levels to mitigate impact of higher costs across partners.
5. Platform Revisions to Material Sourcing
Re-evaluating Bills of Materials (BOMs) and redesigning sourcing strategies can help reduce reliance on high-tariff regions. Instead of simply stockpiling materials or accepting increased costs, manufacturers should explore ways to substitute materials, adjust sourcing locations, and optimize product designs to create more tariff-resilient supply chains.
Standardizing materials across multiple products can enable greater flexibility in supplier selection and procurement.
Companies should aim to build flexibility into their recipes and product designs, allowing them to adapt sourcing based on shifting trade policies without compromising quality or compliance.
Key Takeaways
The uncertainty surrounding tariffs is a microcosm of the broader unpredictability in global supply chains. But the increasing complexity presents opportunities for companies to drive innovation and resilience. It’s paramount to take proactive measures to shape your supply chain using strategic foresight and advanced planning technology.
To navigate tariff uncertainty, companies must embrace agility by leveraging scenario planning, to drive decision-making and gain a competitive edge.
About the author
Matt Hoffman is the Vice President of Product and Industry Solutions at John Galt Solutions. Matt specializes in delivering transformational from analysis through execution across a diverse range of clients in manufacturing, distribution, and retail. Matt is committed to ensuring that processes drive solution adoption, resulting in measurable outcomes. Throughout his career, Matt has successfully led software implementations utilizing best-in-class supply chain planning systems, execution systems, and merchandising planning systems.
The post No Balloons Needed: Practical Moves to Navigate Tariff Volatility appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.
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Federal Industrial Partnerships and Supply Chain Realignment Under the Trump Administration: Pharmaceuticals, Semiconductors, Critical Minerals, and Energy
Published
2 jours agoon
3 octobre 2025By

In the months leading up to the 2026 midterm elections, the Trump administration has launched a broad initiative to negotiate agreements with companies across as many as thirty industries. According to reporting from Reuters and other outlets, these deals involve a range of mechanisms, including tariff relief, equity stakes, revenue guarantees, and regulatory adjustments.
The purpose of the initiative, according to administration officials, is to strengthen U.S. national and economic security by encouraging companies to expand production domestically, reduce reliance on China, and ensure the availability of critical products.
For logistics and supply chain leaders, this represents a significant change in the relationship between government and industry. Federal agencies are no longer simply regulators or supporters of infrastructure. They are becoming active participants in corporate strategy, investment, and supply chain design.
Structure of the Deals
The administration’s approach is not uniform. Each agreement varies depending on the sector and company involved. Examples include:
Pharmaceuticals: Eli Lilly was asked to expand insulin production, Pfizer was pressed to increase output of its cancer and cholesterol drugs, and AstraZeneca was encouraged to establish a new U.S. headquarters. In exchange, companies have been offered tariff relief or regulatory flexibility.
Semiconductors: A portion of grants provided under the CHIPS Act has been converted into equity stakes, including a reported 10 percent stake in Intel.
Critical Minerals: The Department of Defense took a 15 percent stake in MP Materials, secured a floor price for future government purchases, and facilitated a $500 million supply agreement between MP Materials and Apple for rare earth magnets.
Energy: The Department of Energy has asked companies such as Lithium Americas for equity stakes in exchange for federal loans supporting domestic mining and battery production.
The unifying theme is the use of federal leverage, such as tariffs, financing programs, or regulatory approvals, to secure commitments from private companies that align with stated national security objectives.
Agencies as Dealmakers
What distinguishes this initiative is the scale of inter-agency involvement. The White House has described the approach as “whole of government.”
The Department of Health and Human Services is leading negotiations in pharmaceuticals.
The Department of Commerce, under Secretary Howard Lutnick, has overseen transactions in steel, semiconductors, and industrial manufacturing.
The Department of Energy is linking financing programs to equity arrangements in energy and mining.
The Pentagon has led negotiations with defense contractors and suppliers of critical minerals.
Senior officials, including White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles and supply chain coordinator David Copley, are directly involved in negotiations. The presence of Wall Street dealmakers, such as Michael Grimes (formerly of Morgan Stanley) and David Shapiro (formerly of Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz), illustrates the administration’s transactional orientation.
Financing Mechanisms
The administration is using multiple sources of capital to finance these arrangements:
International Development Finance Corporation (DFC): Originally designed to support development projects abroad, the DFC has proposed expanding its budget authority from $60 billion to $250 billion. If approved by Congress, it would fund projects in infrastructure, energy, and critical supply chains within the U.S.
Investment Accelerator (Commerce Department): Seeded by $550 billion pledged by Japan as part of a bilateral trade agreement, this entity will direct capital into U.S. strategic sectors, serving as a replacement for an earlier proposal to establish a sovereign wealth fund.
Existing Programs: Agencies are repurposing funds from programs such as the CHIPS Act and Department of Energy loan guarantees, often converting grants into equity holdings.
Together, these mechanisms represent one of the largest coordinated federal interventions in U.S. industrial and supply chain development in recent decades.
Implications for Supply Chains
The administration’s policies carry several direct consequences for logistics and supply chain management.
1. Reshoring of Manufacturing
Many of the deals include explicit requirements for expanded U.S. production. This will increase demand for domestic transportation, warehousing, and distribution capacity. It also implies higher utilization of U.S. ports and intermodal corridors, as inputs shift from finished imports to raw materials and intermediate goods requiring processing inside the United States.
2. Critical Minerals and Energy Security
The focus on rare earths, lithium, and other inputs for advanced manufacturing indicates a restructuring of upstream supply chains. Logistics providers should expect increased flows from domestic mining regions, such as Nevada’s Thacker Pass lithium project, to processing and manufacturing centers. This represents a shift away from reliance on Asian supply hubs, particularly China.
3. Government as Stakeholder
Equity stakes and long-term purchase agreements create a different operating environment. Logistics providers serving these industries may find demand more stable due to government-backed contracts. However, these arrangements may also impose compliance requirements and reduce flexibility in adjusting supply networks.
4. Public-Private Coordination
Federal involvement in freight and industrial infrastructure financing could accelerate long-delayed projects. Rail expansion, port upgrades, and domestic warehouse capacity may benefit from this investment. Companies positioned to partner on these projects may see long-term opportunities.
Risks and Concerns
Several risks accompany this shift:
Policy Reversal: Executives have expressed concern that a future administration could unwind or renegotiate these deals. Supply chains built around government-backed agreements may face uncertainty if political priorities shift.
Equity Demands: Some companies are wary of ceding ownership stakes to the federal government. This creates hesitation in sectors where ownership control and investor confidence are sensitive.
Market Distortions: Critics argue that selecting which companies receive government support could disadvantage firms excluded from the arrangements, altering competitive dynamics within industries.
Implementation Capacity: The scale of proposed financing, particularly the expansion of the DFC, requires congressional approval and capable management. Delays or political opposition could slow execution.
Policy-to-Supply-Chain Impact Table
Policy Mechanism
Industry Example
Government Action
Supply Chain Impact
Tariff Relief
Pharmaceuticals (Pfizer, Eli Lilly)
Tariff exemptions in exchange for expanded U.S. production
Increases demand for domestic warehousing, distribution, and cold-chain logistics for added output
Equity Stakes
Intel (10% stake), MP Materials (15% stake)
Federal ownership through converted grants or Defense Production Act
Creates long-term stability in supply flows, but may add compliance requirements for logistics providers
Purchase Guarantees
MP Materials with Apple
Pentagon set floor prices, Apple committed to $500M supply contract
Locks in demand for rare earth shipments, increasing domestic transport flows from mining to manufacturing
Federal Loans Linked to Equity
Lithium Americas (DOE loan, 5–10% stake requested)
Loan support tied to partial government ownership
Supports new mining and battery projects, creating future logistics demand for raw materials and finished batteries
Investment Accelerator Funding
Commerce Department
$550B in financing, partly funded by Japan, allocated to U.S. manufacturing and freight infrastructure
Potential expansion of ports, intermodal rail, and distribution centers, reducing bottlenecks in supply chains
Expanded DFC Financing
Multiple critical industries
Proposed budget growth from $60B to $250B for U.S. supply chains and infrastructure
Large-scale capital for freight corridors, warehouses, and strategic materials, enabling reshoring of production
Case Examples
MP Materials
The rare earth mining company received federal backing through a 15 percent Pentagon stake, floor pricing commitments, and a supply agreement with Apple. This illustrates the administration’s template: equity participation, purchase guarantees, and private-sector co-investment.
Intel
The conversion of CHIPS Act funding into a 10 percent federal equity stake in Intel highlights the new approach to semiconductor supply chain security. By tying financial support to ownership, the government ensures both accountability and a direct role in strategic sectors.
Lithium Americas
A Department of Energy loan of $2.26 billion, paired with negotiations for a 5 to 10 percent federal equity stake, demonstrates how energy supply chains, particularly those tied to electric vehicles and batteries, are being secured through mixed financing and ownership arrangements.
Long-Term Outlook
The administration’s strategy marks a departure from the traditional U.S. model of private-sector–led industrial development. Instead, it resembles coordinated industrial policies pursued in other economies, though with American characteristics.
For supply chain professionals, this means that:
Government will play a larger role in shaping sourcing, production, and distribution decisions.
Access to federal financing and contracts will become a key factor in strategic planning.
Logistics infrastructure may receive substantial investment, creating new opportunities for providers.
Companies must assess political as well as market risks when designing long-term supply chains.
The Trump administration’s pre-midterm industrial deals reflect a significant realignment of government and industry roles in the United States. By leveraging tariffs, financing programs, and direct equity stakes, the federal government is reshaping supply chains across pharmaceuticals, energy, critical minerals, and freight.
The initiative is intended to secure domestic production, reduce reliance on China, and ensure access to strategic inputs. For logistics leaders, the result will be increased reshoring activity, new demand for domestic infrastructure, and closer integration of supply chains with federal priorities.
At the same time, risks remain. The durability of these arrangements depends on political continuity, effective implementation, and the willingness of companies to partner with government under new terms.
In this evolving environment, logistics and supply chain professionals will need to monitor policy developments as closely as they do market trends. Supply chains are no longer shaped solely by efficiency and cost considerations. They are now integral to the nation’s industrial strategy.
The post Federal Industrial Partnerships and Supply Chain Realignment Under the Trump Administration: Pharmaceuticals, Semiconductors, Critical Minerals, and Energy appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.
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Supply Chain and Logistics News Sept 29 – Oct 2nd 2025
Published
2 jours agoon
3 octobre 2025By

This week in supply chain news, major companies are demonstrating a mix of strategic adaptations and responses to global pressures. ExxonMobil and Kinaxis are collaborating to develop a next-generation supply chain management solution specifically for the complex oil and gas industry, aiming to increase resilience and provide comprehensive visibility. In a push for network efficiency, FedEx has launched a new direct cargo flight between Dublin, Ireland, and Indianapolis, Indiana, bypassing congested coastal hubs to reduce transit times. The pharmaceutical sector is also focused on resilience, with Eli Lilly and Amgen announcing significant U.S. manufacturing investments to bring critical drug production back to North America. Conversely, General Mills is restructuring its supply chain by closing three manufacturing plants in Missouri as a cost-saving measure in response to changing consumer spending habits. Finally, the U.S. government is imposing new tariffs on imported wood products and furniture, effective October 14, 2025, in a move to address what it identifies as a threat to the domestic industry and supply chain security.
The News of the Week:
The oil and gas industry supply chain is one of the most complex in the world. It involves myriad complex production assets both onshore and offshore, transporting highly volatile products around the globe through pipelines, tank farms, ports, ships, rail, and truck. The end product could be gasoline, petrochemicals, natural gas, hydrogen, or any of hundreds of products from asphalt to motor oil. Disruptions to the oil and gas supply chain can have serious consequences for end users. The industry needs more comprehensive supply chain solutions that increase resilience, provide complete visibility across all aspects of the supply chain, and enable swift responses to business challenges and opportunities. Kinaxis and Exxon are collaborating to digitalize various sectors of Exxon’s business. They aim to leverage Kinaxis’s Maestro software to enhance planning and decision-making processes. Through this collaboration, the two companies aim to share solutions tailored to the oil and gas industry, which currently lacks supply chain management solutions that cater to their specific needs.
FedEx Expands Global Air Network with New Dublin- Indianapolis Route
In an effort to shorten transit times and strengthen its international network, FedEx has launched a new direct cargo flight between Dublin, Ireland, and Indianapolis, Indiana. The new four-day-a-week service bypasses traditional, more congested coastal gateways, which is expected to reduce shipping times by a full day for goods moving between Ireland and the U.S. Midwest. This strategic expansion is a response to the growing trade between the two regions and demonstrates how major carriers are adapting their networks to create more direct and efficient routes to meet evolving customer demands.
Eli Lily and Amgen Announce Massive U.S. Manufacturing Investments
In a major push for domestic drug production, pharmaceutical giants Eli Lilly and Amgen have announced huge investments in new U.S. manufacturing facilities. Eli Lilly is planning a new $6.5 billion factory in Houston, while Amgen is expanding its Puerto Rico plant with a $650 million investment. These moves are a direct response to the global supply chain vulnerabilities exposed in recent years and represent a significant effort to boost the resilience of the U.S. pharmaceutical supply chain. The investments aim to bring critical drug production back to North America, creating jobs and reducing reliance on overseas manufacturing.
General Mills is Closing Three Manufacturing Plants in Missouri
General Mills is closing three manufacturing plants in Missouri—a pizza crust facility in St. Charles and two pet food locations in Joplin—as part of a multiyear supply chain restructuring effort. The company expects to incur $82 million in restructuring charges, including asset write-offs and severance costs. This action is part of a broader trend among food and beverage companies to implement cost-saving measures in response to consumer spending pullbacks. The closures follow previous organizational actions by General Mills, such as job cuts and the closure of its innovation unit, and are intended to improve the company’s competitiveness.
US to Begin Furniture, Wood Import Tariffs on Oct. 14
New tariffs on imported wood products, including furniture, will take effect on October 14, 2025, following a Section 232 national security investigation. The initial duties will be 10% on softwood lumber and 25% on upholstered furniture, kitchen cabinets, and vanities. On January 1, the tariff rates are scheduled to increase to 30% for upholstered furniture and 50% for kitchen cabinets and vanities. The executive order provides for lower tariff caps for imports from specific trading partners, such as the U.K., Japan, and the European Union. These new tariffs are intended to address what the administration has identified as a threat to domestic industry and supply chain security.
Song of the week:
The post Supply Chain and Logistics News Sept 29 – Oct 2nd 2025 appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.
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Call for Speakers: Ready to Drive Real Change in Intelligent Operations and Resilient Supply Chains – ARC Industry Forum 2025
Published
2 jours agoon
2 octobre 2025By

Call for Speakers – ARC Industry Forum 2025
The ARC Industry Forum is the premier event where operations, supply chain, and technology leaders gather to shape the future of intelligent and resilient enterprises. In 2025, supply chains face unprecedented disruption, but also unmatched opportunity. We are seeking speakers—executives, practitioners, and innovators—who can share strategies, frameworks, and real-world experiences to inspire and guide their peers.
Sample Session Themes
To help illustrate the types of topics we feature, here are a few recent examples:
The New Frontier of Operations and Supply Chain: AI, Resilience, and Intelligence – Exploring how AI, analytics, automation, and connected intelligence converge to deliver agility and resilience.
Building Resilient Supply Chains in the Age of Shifting Geopolitics – Addressing the regulatory, tariff, and policy challenges facing global supply networks.
Unlocking the Power of Knowledge Transfer in Enterprise Systems – Showcasing best practices to fully leverage enterprise and knowledge management systems.
These examples are only a sample of the many tracks available. Additional sessions will cover digital transformation, sustainability, cybersecurity, workforce strategies, and other timely topics.
Submission Guidelines
We invite proposals that highlight real-world case studies, practical lessons, and strategic frameworks. Presentations should be vendor-neutral, educational, and tailored for an audience of senior executives and practitioners.
If you are interested in speaking, please submit:
A proposed session title and abstract (150–250 words)
Key takeaways for attendees
Speaker bio and organizational role
To submit a proposal, or simply for more information, contact us now
The post Call for Speakers: Ready to Drive Real Change in Intelligent Operations and Resilient Supply Chains – ARC Industry Forum 2025 appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.


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