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The AI Wars: Battlefronts, Breakthroughs, and the New Era of the Industrial AI (R)Evolution

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The Ai Wars: Battlefronts, Breakthroughs, And The New Era Of The Industrial Ai (r)evolution

Collin Masson, Director of Research at ARC Advisory Group. Colin heads up ARC’s research into Industrial AI.

All supply chain vendors seek to position themselves as leaders in supply chain AI. But there is a larger AI ecosystem. Emerging leaders understand the AI ecosystem and have the right partnerships. The current AI landscape can be viewed as a series of “wars,” where companies and organizations are battling for dominance across various technological and market “battlefronts”.

This analogy is not just a matter of abstract concepts; it is about real-world investments, strategic partnerships, and the tangible products being developed that are shaping the future of industrial AI. Let’s revisit the key battlefronts I identified in the AI Wars and examine the flurry of AI announcements in 2024 for proof that this analogy is useful for contextualizing the chaos and the real dynamics at play in the industrial AI arena.

Datacenter Hardware: The demand for powerful computing to train ever larger and more accurate AI models is insatiable. The battle here is to develop hardware that can handle this massive computational load efficiently and cost-effectively.

The competition in this space is intense, as evidenced by the recent announcements from multiple major players. Nvidia continues to dominate with its high-performance GPUs, but companies like AMD and Intel are rapidly developing their own competitive offerings.
AMD unveiled an expanded roadmap for its Instinct accelerators, with the MI325X slated for late 2024 and the MI350 series promising a 35x increase in AI inference performance by 2025.
Intel has introduced its Xeon 6 processors for servers, aiming to offer competitive performance for AI workloads.
AWS, Google, and Microsoft are also investing heavily in custom AI chips to reduce their dependence on NVIDIA and optimize performance and cost.
AWS has custom AI chips—Trainium and Inferentia, for training and running large AI models. AWS has also embraced Nvidia’s H100 GPUs as part of Amazon’s EC2 P5 instances for deep learning and high-performance computing. AWS also announced new Amazon EC2 P5en instances with Nvidia H200 Tensor Core GPUs and EFAv3 networking.
Microsoft is leveraging its Azure Maia AI Accelerator optimized for AI and generative AI, as well as its Azure Cobalt CPU, an Arm-based processor designed to run general-purpose compute workloads on the Microsoft Cloud. Microsoft has also integrated NVIDIA’s new Blackwell (H200) chip and AMD’s ND MI300X V5 into its Azure supercomputing infrastructure.
Google has developed multiple generations of its Tensor Processing Units (TPUs), which are custom-built ASICs optimized for TensorFlow and used by Google Cloud for machine learning workloads. Google is also reportedly working on its own Arm-based chips. Additionally, Google has announced the general availability of its sixth-generation Trillium TPU, which they used to train Gemini 2.0.

These moves highlight the fierce competition to provide the infrastructure necessary for continued AI innovation and scale adoption, in the very active datacenter hardware battlefront.

Edge Hardware: The battle for edge hardware also intensified in 2024, as companies sought to deploy AI capabilities closer to the source of data. The focus is on creating AI-optimized chips and hardware for edge devices, making AI more accessible and practical for a wider range of applications.

Google’s Edge TPU is a purpose-built ASIC designed to run AI at the edge with high performance in a small and energy-efficient footprint. In addition, Google’s Pixel phones are equipped with a Tensor G3 chip, an AI powerhouse capable of 38 TOPS.
Apple Intelligence demonstrates a clear push for on-device AI processing, with new AI-driven tools enhancing productivity across their operating systems, with a heavy emphasis on privacy and Edge AI. This puts pressure on other device manufacturers to follow suit.
Microsoft’s Copilot+PCs represent a big bet on edge AI, with new silicon capable of 40+ TOPS and prioritizing power efficiency. This initiative is bringing powerful AI capabilities directly to user devices, with the first wave of Copilot+ PCs coming from Microsoft Surface and OEM partners such as Acer, ASUS, Dell, HP, Lenovo, and Samsung.
Qualcomm announced its latest Edge AI Box solutions, further demonstrating the expansion of AI capabilities at the edge. Qualcomm’s Edge AI solutions use Snapdragon X Elite chips, which are capable of 45 TOPS.
Nvidia’s Jetson Orin Nano Super Developer Kit is a new compact generative AI supercomputer that is designed to provide increased performance at a lower price. By providing a powerful yet accessible platform, the Jetson Orin Nano enables developers and researchers to innovate in edge AI. The ability to run AI models directly on devices without a constant cloud connection is crucial for applications requiring real-time responses, such as industrial automation, robotics, and autonomous vehicles.

These developments underline the importance of edge computing as a perhaps the most important battleground for the industrial sector in the AI Wars, where companies are competing to bring AI capabilities closer to the source of data, their factories, distribution networks and grids, and their customers.

General Purpose AI Software Platforms: Modernizing the Technology Stack for AI

The competition to deliver comprehensive AI software platforms escalated considerably in 2024. The goal of these platforms is to provide a versatile set of tools for training, validating, and deploying AI models across a wide range of use cases. The battle for general purpose AI software platforms is intense with all major cloud providers offering a variety of tools and platforms.

In late 2022, OpenAI arguably ignited the “AI Wars” with the release of ChatGPT 3.5, which brought a new level of accessibility and capability to generative AI. This event marked a turning point, moving AI from a primarily research-focused area into the mainstream consciousness, triggering a “mass scramble among businesses trying to implement the latest advances in generative artificial intelligence”. This also caused a surge in investments into AI startups, as evidenced by the fact that the companies on the 2024 AI 50 list have raised a total of $34.7 billion in funding.

OpenAI’s “12 Days of OpenAI” event showcased its continued efforts to enhance its competitive position in the AI market. The announcements demonstrate that OpenAI is actively refining its offerings to gain a larger share of the broader AI market, which is experiencing rapid growth across industries. Key announcements from the event include:

Introduction of ChatGPT Pro: This broadened the usage of frontier AI.
Updated OpenAI o1 System Card: This highlighted safety improvements, robustness evaluations, and red teaming insights.
Realtime API Improvements and a New Fine-tuning Method: These enhancements will assist developers in building more effective and efficient AI applications.
New Tools for Developers and OpenAI o1: These appear to be aimed at helping developers create and deploy AI solutions more easily.
ChatGPT Search: This feature gives users a way to get answers from relevant web sources.

By focusing on developer tools, improving model safety and performance, and expanding the functionality of ChatGPT, OpenAI is taking significant steps to maintain its position and compete with new LLMs.

Microsoft is significantly expanding its Azure AI capabilities with new tools such as the Azure AI Foundry SDK and portal, enabling developers to customize, test, deploy, and manage AI apps and agents with enterprise-grade control. The company is also introducing the Azure AI Agent Service to enable professional developers to orchestrate, deploy, and scale enterprise-ready agents. Also, a strategic alliance between C3 AI and Microsoft will make C3 AI’s enterprise AI software available on the Microsoft Commercial Cloud portal. For additional ARC insights read “Microsoft Ignite 2024: Key AI Announcements for Industrial Organizations”.
AWS continues to expand the capabilities of Amazon Bedrock, offering new features to help businesses build faster, more cost-efficient, and highly accurate models. AWS is also expanding its range of AI services and making them easier to use. For additional ARC insights read “AWS re:Invent 2024 Prepares Developers for AI at Scale in 2025”.
Google’s latest AI announcements include the release of Gemini 2.0, its most capable multimodal AI model, and new state-of-the-art video and image generation models, Veo 2 and Imagen 3, available on Vertex AI. Google is also introducing Agent Workspaces, bringing AI agents and AI-powered search to enterprises. These advancements are aimed at improving productivity, automating processes, and modernizing customer experiences through the use of AI agents.

These announcements demonstrate a clear battle for mind and market share, with each company striving to provide the most comprehensive and user-friendly AI platform for startups, ISVs, and enterprise developers.

Edge AI Software

For many industries, and AI use cases, it is a hybrid world that needs some training and lots of inference to happen on edge devices. Therefore, for scale adoption of AI, many of those leading AI research and development are focusing on reducing the complexity and cost of deploying AI models to edge devices.

NVIDIA is advancing physical AI with accelerated robotics simulation on AWS, showcasing its focus on edge AI in robotics. Field AI is building robot brains that allow robots to autonomously manage industrial processes, and Vention creates pretrained skills to ease development of robotic tasks, both showcasing NVIDIA and AWS platforms. NVIDIA’s 2024 edge AI software announcements focus on making AI more accessible and practical for robotics and industrial applications. By developing platforms such as Isaac Sim and Jetson, providing pre-trained skills for robots, and introducing microservices for multilingual AI, NVIDIA is facilitating the deployment of AI at the edge. These developments help enable real-time data processing, reduce the reliance on cloud connectivity, and democratize access to advanced AI technologies in industrial and robotic contexts.
Microsoft is also focusing on edge devices with the Windows Copilot Runtime APIs, which brings on-device machine learning to enterprise apps. The company’s acquisition of Fungible, a company that develops data processing units (DPUs) optimized for AI workloads, is another key aspect of its edge AI hardware strategy. Microsoft plans to use Fungible’s DPUs to accelerate the performance of Azure IoT Edge and other edge AI solutions.
Qualcomm announced its latest Edge AI Box solutions, which represent the cutting edge in security and surveillance space. Qualcomm’s Edge AI Box solutions help upgrade existing camera and security assets into smart IoT- and 5G-supported networks. The company’s solutions are designed to modernize older systems, bringing them up to date with the latest AI and networking technologies.

These developments highlight the push for edge AI in a variety of applications, from robotics to security, with companies working to make AI more accessible and practical on edge devices.

Data and AI Model Marketplaces and Exchanges

These platforms are becoming critical battlegrounds where companies compete for data and pre-trained AI models.

The emergence of Data and AI Model Marketplaces and Exchanges is a significant battlefront in the AI Wars, as companies are realizing the importance of data for training AI models.
The Microsoft Azure AI model catalog is where various industry-specific AI models are made available by companies like Bayer, Cerence, Rockwell Automation, Saifr, Siemens, and Sight Machine. These models are pre-trained with industry-specific data to address a customer’s top use cases.
Amazon Bedrock Marketplace allows access to various AI models and tools, providing a venue for companies to find the right resources to build their AI capabilities.
Microsoft Fabric is designed to allow any app or data provider to bring data into OneLake. This is where data providers can directly write change data into a Mirrored Database in Fabric, which demonstrates the battle for data control and dominance.

These marketplaces are not just about selling AI models, but also about the control of training data and data sovereignty, with companies and nations vying for control over their data.

AI Startups: The Guerilla Innovators in the AI Wars

At the forefront of the competition are innovative AI startups reshaping established markets with groundbreaking solutions. These startups serve as “guerrilla innovators,” propelling advancements in industrial automation, software, and processes through AI, computer vision, and robotics. Unconstrained by legacy systems, they can swiftly adapt and deliver transformative technologies to the market.

Focus on Specific Industrial Needs: While many AI startups are focused on general-purpose AI solutions, others are targeting specific niches within the industrial sector, demonstrating the versatility and broad applicability of AI technology. A small sample of startups in the industrial sector include:

Anduril Industries: Develops advanced defense technologies integrating AI and autonomous systems to enhance national security. Its Lattice platform powers a family of systems that provide real-time, 3D command and control by processing thousands of data streams, enabling capabilities such as counter-unmanned aircraft systems (CUAS) and force protection across land, sea, and air.
Avathon: Provides an industrial AI platform designed to optimize operations in heavy industries, enhancing efficiency and resilience. Its solutions aim to extend the life of critical infrastructure and advance the journey toward autonomy.
BCD iLabs: Develops AI-driven R&D platforms tailored for the food and beverage industry, aiming to accelerate product development cycles and reduce the number of experiments required. Its Innov8 OSplatform enhances product velocity by streamlining formulation and processing.
BrainBox AI: Develops AI-driven HVAC optimization solutions for building management, aiming to reduce energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. Its technology leverages deep learning algorithms to predict building energy needs and automate HVAC systems.
causaLens: Specializes in Causal AI, offering a platform that goes beyond traditional machine learning by understanding cause-and-effect relationships. This approach enhances decision-making processes across various industries.
Chemical.AI: Focuses on AI solutions for the chemical industry, providing tools that assist in chemical synthesis planning, reaction prediction, and process optimization to accelerate research and development.
Composabl: Offers a no-code platform for creating industrial-strength autonomous AI agents capable of making high-impact decisions in real-world scenarios. Its technology integrates perception, reasoning, and intuition, enabling AI agents to perform complex tasks alongside human operators.
Edge Impulse: Offers a development platform for machine learning on edge devices, enabling industries to create intelligent solutions that operate directly on hardware with limited resources, enhancing real-time decision-making.
Figure: Specializes in AI-driven solutions for industrial applications, focusing on predictive maintenance, quality control, and process optimization to improve operational efficiency and reduce downtime.
Kelvin : Provides an industrial AI platform that integrates human expertise with machine intelligence to optimize complex industrial operations, aiming to improve efficiency, safety, and sustainability.
ketteQ: Delivers supply chain planning and execution solutions powered by AI, focusing on providing real-time visibility, scenario planning, and optimization to enhance supply chain resilience and efficiency.
Leela AI: Develops AI solutions tailored for industrial applications, focusing on predictive maintenance, quality control, and process optimization to improve operational efficiency and reduce downtime.
Luffy AI: Specializes in AI-driven robotics solutions, providing adaptive control systems that enable robots to learn and adapt to complex tasks in industrial settings, enhancing automation capabilities.
minds.ai: Offers AI solutions for complex system optimization, including applications in automotive design and industrial processes, utilizing deep reinforcement learning to improve performance and efficiency.
parabole.ai: Provides AI-driven solutions for unstructured data processing, enabling industries to extract actionable insights from large volumes of text and documents, enhancing decision-making and operational efficiency.
Physical Intelligence: Aims to bring general-purpose AI into the physical world by developing adaptable AI software for robots. Its mission is to create foundation models capable of controlling any robot to perform any task, enhancing the versatility and applicability of robotics across various industries.
Retrocausal: Develops AI-powered solutions for manufacturing, focusing on real-time error detection and process optimization to improve quality control and reduce operational costs.
SKAIVISION: Offers AI-based computer vision solutions for industrial applications, enabling real-time monitoring, defect detection, and process automation to enhance productivity and quality.
Salus Technical: Provides software solutions that combine AI with engineering expertise to improve process safety and risk management in industrial operations, aiming to prevent accidents and ensure compliance.
Sight Machine: Delivers a Manufacturing Data Platform that utilizes AI to convert unstructured plant data into a standardized data foundation. Its platform continuously analyzes all assets, data sources, and processes to improve production efficiency and enable data-driven transformation in manufacturing.
Traction Ag: Specializes in AI-driven solutions for the agricultural sector, offering tools for crop monitoring, yield prediction, and farm management to enhance productivity and sustainability.
TwinThread: Delivers an AI-powered platform for industrial operations, focusing on predictive operations and performance optimization to improve efficiency, reduce downtime, and enhance decision-making.
Vention: Provides a cloud-based platform that leverages AI to enable the design and deployment of automated equipment, simplifying the automation process for manufacturing industries.

Significant Investment: AI startups have attracted substantial investments, highlighting their importance in the tech landscape. The companies on the Forbes AI 50 list have raised a total of $34.7 billion in funding. This influx of capital enables startups to innovate and scale their operations quickly.

Large Investments in AI Research Firms: Significant funding has gone to AI research firms. For example, OpenAI has received $11.3 billion in funding, and Anthropic has raised $7.7 billion.

Rapid Market Growth: The AI sector is witnessing rapid expansion, evidenced by the increasing number of submissions for awards like the Forbes AI 50 list, which nearly doubled in a single year. This growth underscores the dynamism and competitiveness of the AI market. For the Forbes AI 50 list, approximately 1,900 submissions were received, with a rigorous process that combined quantitative analysis with qualitative evaluations by judges.

AI startups are pivotal in driving the Industrial AI Revolution, acting as agile and innovative forces that bring cutting-edge solutions to the market. Their focused approach, coupled with the significant investments they attract, is fostering the rapid growth of a new tech economy. Their efforts are not only disrupting established markets but also pushing the boundaries of what is possible in industrial automation and setting the stage for a future where AI is seamlessly integrated into various industrial processes.

Industrial-grade AI Battlefronts: Where the Rubber Meets the Road

Within the larger “AI Wars”, specific industrial needs are creating their own battlefronts, and alliances.

Industrial-grade Data Scientists: The demand for AI experts who also understand the nuances of manufacturing and industrial processes is growing. This is a recognized need, as evidenced by the focus on building in-house expertise with Industrial AI Centers of Excellence (CoE). ARC found evidence in 2024 that Leaders are “widening the digital divide” by building in-house expertise with an Industrial AI CoE, to attract, train and retain “industrial grade” data scientists.
Domain Expertise and Neutrality: Industrial organizations prefer to partner with companies that can bring domain expertise to AI. This was demonstrated by Microsoft’s partnerships with Bayer, Cerence, Rockwell Automation, Saifr, Siemens, and Sight Machine. These companies provide industry-specific models in the Azure AI model catalog.
Industrial-grade Data Fabrics are another battlefront. ARC recommends that mainstream and laggards close the gap with industrial AI leaders by prioritizing investments in the Industrial Data Fabric foundations needed for all AI use cases.
Digital Twins are a low priority for many industrial organizations, despite their potential value. ARC believes that creating the underlying Industrial Data Fabric needed for industrial AI, and the benefits Generative AI will bring to interacting with complex systems will lay necessary foundations that have held back meaningful progress on industrial metaverses.
Partnerships are Key: Industrial organizations are partnering with automation and software vendors, as well as cloud hyperscalers as the new ecosystem for the Industrial AI (R)Evolution takes shape with intense competition for the aforementioned data scientists and industrial domain experts needed to advance industrial AI use cases at scale. The flurry of partnership announcements will likely intensify in 2025.
Chief AI Officers (CAIOs) are becoming more prominent, driving the vision and strategy for AI implementation within organizations. Listen to my conversation with Philippe Rambach, CAIO for Schneider Electric, explaining his role: “SPARC: The Emergence of the Chief AI Officer”.

AI Lobbyist Campaigns: Shaping the Market Through Influence and Policy

The battle for influence and policy shaping is an ongoing part of the AI landscape, with companies actively seeking to shape the development and deployment of AI. This includes efforts to drive adoption by emphasizing data security and privacy, while also attempting to fend off potentially restrictive government legislation.

Microsoft is actively addressing ethical AI adoption and data security through several initiatives:

Updates to Azure AI assist with governance, risk, and compliance workflows, underscoring the need to manage ethical AI adoption.
The Copilot Control System provides data protection, management controls, and reporting to help IT departments adopt and measure the business value of AI and agents.
Microsoft Purview offers tools for data loss prevention and insider risk management, highlighting the importance of data security and privacy in the age of AI. These tools help organizations prevent data oversharing, detect risky AI usage, and ensure that sensitive data is not processed inappropriately.

These actions reflect a broader industry trend toward establishing formal procedures for reviewing and approving AI investments, as noted in ARC Advisory Group Research.

AWS, Google, and OpenAI are also engaged in shaping the AI market through various efforts:

AWS emphasizes the security and privacy of its AI services and offers tools and services that help customers maintain control over their data.
Google is committed to developing AI responsibly, with a focus on safety, security, and privacy. Google’s commitment to developing AI responsibly is highlighted in its AI Principles, which also address the societal impacts of AI. Google’s Cloud AI services are designed with enterprise-grade governance, security, and data privacy built-in.
OpenAI has been promoting AI safety and responsible AI development, updating its OpenAI o1 system card to highlight safety improvements and red teaming insights.

These tech companies also engage with governments and regulatory bodies to influence policy decisions related to AI. This includes participating in public consultations, offering recommendations, and advocating for policies that encourage AI innovation while also addressing ethical concerns.

ARC Advisory Group analysts emphasize the need for a Governance Council for ethical and inclusive AI, with global, multi-disciplinary teams that include IT, OT, ET, Workforce, and ESG stakeholder representation. This is a recommendation that all companies should adopt.

Government Legislation in the AI Space

Governments worldwide are actively legislating to ensure that they get a share of the AI action, and that AI development and deployment align with their national priorities. This reflects a growing recognition of the strategic importance of AI and the need to regulate its use.

Regulatory Frameworks: Governments are implementing stringent regulations to ensure the ethical and responsible use of AI. These regulations address issues such as data privacy, algorithmic bias, and the potential impact of AI on employment and society.

Focus on AI Safety and Security: There is a growing emphasis on AI safety and security, with governments focusing on ensuring AI systems are robust and resilient to cyber threats.

The National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) has released the NIST AI Risk Management Framework, underscoring the importance of managing risks associated with AI technologies.
Governments are also targeting testing and validation of “Frontier” AI models whose massive cost and scale adoption could be disruptive if not ethically trained, accurate, and explainable before market deployment.

Data Sovereignty: Governments and organizations are competing for control over their data, recognizing its strategic value in powering AI systems. This has led to discussions and policies around data localization, ensuring that data generated within a country remains within its borders, and a focus on the use of local models trained on local data.

Investment and Incentives: Governments are also investing in AI research and development and offering incentives to companies that develop AI technologies. Many governments see AI as critical for economic growth and national security.

International Cooperation: There is ongoing dialogue and collaboration between countries to harmonize AI regulations and address global challenges. These efforts aim to create a more consistent and predictable regulatory environment for AI development and deployment.

The interplay between industry and government is a dynamic and critical aspect of the AI landscape. While companies like Microsoft, AWS, Google, and OpenAI seek to drive adoption through ethical and secure practices, governments are actively shaping the legal and regulatory environment to balance innovation with societal needs. This continuous dialogue will shape how AI is developed, deployed, and utilized in the years to come.

The AI Wars are Just Getting Started

The AI Wars are still in their infancy, and the events of 2024 have set the stage for further advancements and intense competition in the years to come. Here are some ARC Advisory Group predictions for the near future:

From PoCs to Scale: We expect to see a major shift from proof-of-concept AI projects to scaled deployments as the accuracy of foundation models increases, distillation techniques improve, and smaller, more specialized models become more prevalent.
Edge AI will be Key: The value of Edge AI will continue to increase as smaller, more capable inference hardware becomes available.
Data & AI Tech Stack Productivity: We will see continued investments in more productive data and AI technology stacks with multi-agent collaboration and orchestration capabilities.
Business Outcomes: As the range of industrial AI use cases that can deliver positive business outcomes broadens, we will see continued deployments at both the industrial edge and the enterprise cloud.

The AI Wars analogy is a useful tool for making sense of a complex and fast-moving landscape. As we move into 2025, the battle lines are drawn, and the race to capture the benefits of AI is well underway. It is not just a race for technology supremacy—it is also a race to ensure that AI serves humanity with ethical and sustainable outcomes.

The post The AI Wars: Battlefronts, Breakthroughs, and the New Era of the Industrial AI (R)Evolution appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

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From Systems of Record to Systems of Decision: How AI Is Changing Supply Chain Technology

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ERP, WMS, TMS, OMS, and planning systems remain essential. But AI is introducing a new layer in supply chain technology: systems that evaluate conditions continuously, incorporate context, weigh tradeoffs, and support or initiate action.

From Systems of Record to Systems of Decision

Supply chain technology has evolved in layers.

The first layer was built around transaction integrity. Orders had to be captured. Inventory had to be recorded. Shipments had to be tendered. Labor had to be scheduled. Invoices had to be matched. Financial and operational records had to reconcile.

This was the era of systems of record.

ERP, warehouse management, transportation management, order management, procurement, and related enterprise systems gave supply chains a durable transactional backbone. They remain essential. No AI architecture can replace the need for accurate orders, inventory positions, receipts, shipments, invoices, and master data.

The second layer extended this foundation into planning. Demand planning, supply planning, inventory optimization, network design, transportation planning, and scenario modeling helped companies move beyond recording what happened toward preparing for what might happen.

Those capabilities also remain essential.

But a third layer is now emerging.

AI is introducing systems of decision.

This new layer does not replace systems of record or systems of planning. It operates across them. It evaluates changing conditions, incorporates context, weighs tradeoffs, and supports or initiates action. It is less concerned with storing transactions than with improving decisions that affect cost, service, inventory, capacity, and execution.

For a deeper look at how AI is moving from architecture to operational execution, download the full ARC Advisory Group white paper: AI in the Supply Chain: From Architecture to Execution.

Systems of Record Still Matter

There is a temptation in AI discussions to talk as if legacy systems are obsolete. That is wrong.

Systems of record remain the foundation of supply chain execution. A warehouse cannot operate on probabilistic inventory. A transportation team cannot tender loads against uncertain shipment records. A finance organization cannot settle invoices against ambiguous transactions. A customer service team cannot make reliable commitments if order status is not accurate.

The core enterprise systems preserve operational truth.

But they were not designed to resolve every decision problem. They are very good at capturing and executing structured transactions. They are less effective at deciding what should happen when conditions change across multiple functions at once.

A supplier misses a commitment. A vessel is delayed. A key SKU is running below safety stock. A customer places an unexpected order. A transportation lane tightens. A facility loses capacity.

The record may show the event.

The decision is something else.

Planning Helps, But the Plan Keeps Changing

Planning systems were designed to help companies make better forward-looking decisions. They improved forecasting, inventory policy, capacity planning, allocation, network modeling, and supply-demand balancing.

But planning has historically been periodic. Monthly. Weekly. Sometimes daily. Even when planning systems use sophisticated optimization, the plan often becomes stale as execution begins.

That is not a failure of planning. It is a function of the operating environment.

Demand shifts faster than planning cycles. Carrier capacity changes faster than procurement processes. Supplier reliability changes faster than static lead-time assumptions. Disruptions can invalidate a plan before it is fully executed.

The supply chain does not need planning less. It needs planning to become more connected to execution.

This is where systems of decision become important.

What a System of Decision Does

A system of decision does not merely report what happened. It helps determine what should happen next.

It may consume data from ERP, TMS, WMS, OMS, planning systems, supplier portals, visibility platforms, risk feeds, and customer systems. It may use machine learning, optimization, business rules, retrieval-augmented generation, graph reasoning, or agentic workflows. But its purpose is not technology for its own sake.

Its purpose is to improve decisions.

A system of decision may support questions such as:

Which late shipments create real customer or production risk?

Which supplier disruption requires action versus monitoring?

Which orders should receive constrained inventory?

Which loads should be expedited, consolidated, delayed, or rerouted?

Which alternate suppliers are operationally feasible, not merely theoretically available?

Which customer commitments should be revised?

Which exception should be escalated to a planner, and which can be resolved automatically?

These are not simple reporting questions. They require context, judgment, constraints, and execution linkage.

The Decision Layer Cuts Across Functions

The reason systems of decision matter is that many important supply chain decisions are cross-functional.

A transportation delay is not only a transportation issue. It may affect inventory, customer service, warehouse scheduling, production sequencing, procurement, and finance.

A supplier disruption is not only a procurement issue. It may affect manufacturing, fulfillment, substitution rules, customer commitments, working capital, and risk exposure.

A demand spike is not only a planning issue. It may affect allocation, replenishment, labor, freight capacity, production capacity, and customer prioritization.

Traditional systems tend to see the problem through functional lenses. A decision system must evaluate the broader operating consequence.

This is one reason AI has strategic relevance. AI can help connect signals across systems, identify relationships, evaluate tradeoffs, and surface recommended actions faster than manual coordination can typically support.

The goal is not to remove human judgment. The goal is to reduce decision latency.

Decision Latency Is the Real Constraint

Most large supply chains already have more data than they can use effectively.

They have orders, shipments, inventory positions, forecasts, carrier events, supplier records, risk alerts, customer commitments, and exception reports. The problem is not always lack of visibility. Increasingly, the problem is the time required to convert visibility into coordinated action.

A shipment delay is detected. Transportation sees the issue. Inventory planning checks exposure. Procurement considers alternatives. Customer service updates expectations. Finance evaluates cost. Operations weighs feasibility.

Each function may respond rationally from its own position. But the response is often sequential, fragmented, and slow.

That is decision latency.

AI’s value is not simply faster analysis. Its higher value is reducing the time between signal, judgment, and execution.

A system of decision is useful only if it shortens that gap.

Not Every AI System Belongs in the Decision Layer

As AI moves closer to execution, the stakes change.

A chatbot that summarizes policy documents is one thing. A system that changes a transportation route, reallocates inventory, recommends a supplier switch, or revises a customer commitment is something else.

The closer AI operates to financial or physical consequence, the greater the requirement for determinism, context, governance, and auditability.

A planning recommendation can be reviewed and adjusted. A warehouse movement, routing change, purchase order, supplier substitution, or customer commitment carries immediate consequence. In those environments, probabilistic output must be constrained by rules, thresholds, approval paths, and domain-specific validation.

This is why supply chain AI should not be treated as a single category.

Different decision environments require different levels of autonomy, oversight, explainability, and control. A low-risk recommendation may be suitable for automation. A high-impact decision may require human approval. A regulated or customer-sensitive decision may require audit trails, access controls, and documented rationale.

The suitability of AI depends on domain, consequence, and governance.

What Changes for Technology Buyers

The emergence of systems of decision changes how buyers should evaluate supply chain technology.

The traditional questions remain useful: what function the system supports, what workflows it automates, what integrations it offers, what data it manages, and what reports it produces.

But those questions are no longer sufficient.

Buyers need to ask a second set of questions:

What decisions does the system improve?

Which roles are involved in those decisions?

What data and context are required?

How does the system evaluate tradeoffs?

Does it recommend action, initiate action, or simply report conditions?

What execution systems does it connect to?

What approval thresholds are configurable?

How are outcomes measured?

How are overrides captured?

Can the decision logic be audited?

This shifts evaluation from software functionality to operational impact.

A system that improves a dashboard may be useful. A system that improves a decision that affects service, inventory, capacity, or cost is more valuable.

What Changes for Vendors

This shift also changes the market structure for supply chain software vendors.

Planning vendors, transportation platforms, warehouse systems, visibility providers, procurement platforms, risk intelligence firms, and enterprise software companies are all embedding AI into their offerings. Their starting points differ, but the direction is similar.

They are moving toward decision support, decision automation, or decision orchestration.

This creates overlap between software categories that were once more distinct. A visibility provider may move into exception resolution. A planning vendor may move closer to execution. A TMS vendor may embed real-time decision support. A procurement platform may incorporate supplier risk intelligence and autonomous sourcing recommendations. An ERP vendor may position its AI layer as the enterprise decision fabric.

The market will not be defined only by functional labels. It will increasingly be defined by decision environments: procurement and commercial orchestration, network planning and resilience, logistics and fulfillment execution, exception management, inventory allocation, supplier risk response, customer commitment management, and planning-execution synchronization.

These are not merely software categories. They are operating problems.

Why AI Programs Stall

Many AI programs stall not because the technology is weak, but because the organization is not prepared to absorb it.

Common failure modes include AI insights that are not connected to execution systems, data that is available but not decision-ready, recommendations that are not trusted, unclear decision ownership, governance introduced too late, and workflows that remain manual after the AI output is generated.

In these cases, the enterprise may have AI capability without operational change.

That distinction matters.

The value is not in producing a better recommendation in isolation. The value is in changing the decision process in a way that improves cost, service, resilience, inventory, or speed.

The most successful organizations will not be those that deploy the most AI features. They will be those that redesign decision workflows around AI-supported execution.

Conclusion: The New Layer of Supply Chain Technology

Supply chain technology is not moving away from systems of record. It is building on them.

ERP, WMS, TMS, OMS, procurement, planning, and visibility systems remain essential. They provide the transactional and operational foundation that supply chains require.

But AI is creating a new layer above and across these systems.

That layer is focused on decisions.

It connects signals, context, reasoning, governance, and execution. It helps organizations move from knowing what happened to deciding what should happen next. It reduces decision latency. It supports coordination across functions. It creates the possibility of more adaptive, resilient, and responsive supply chains.

The next competitive advantage in supply chain technology will not come from better dashboards alone.

It will come from better decisions, connected to execution.

That is the shift from systems of record to systems of decision.

The post From Systems of Record to Systems of Decision: How AI Is Changing Supply Chain Technology appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

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Why Undersea Internet Cables Matter to Global Supply Chains

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Why Undersea Internet Cables Matter To Global Supply Chains

Global supply chains do not run only on ships, ports, warehouses, and trucks. They also run on data. Undersea cables are becoming part of the same infrastructure risk conversation as canals, straits, pipelines, power grids, cloud platforms, and payment networks.

Undersea Cables Are Supply Chain Infrastructure

For most of modern logistics history, the word “chokepoint” meant a physical place.

The Strait of Hormuz. The Suez Canal. The Panama Canal. The Strait of Malacca. A congested port. A rail corridor. A border crossing. A bridge.

That definition is now too narrow.

Global trade also depends on digital chokepoints. These are less visible than ports and canals, but they are increasingly central to the movement of goods, money, documents, instructions, and commitments. Beneath the ocean floor, submarine fiber-optic cables carry the data layer of the global economy. They support financial transactions, cloud computing, customs documentation, logistics visibility, port systems, carrier communications, manufacturing coordination, and the routine exchange of commercial information that allows supply chains to function.

The recent discussion by Iranian-linked media about fees, permits, and potential control over undersea internet cables passing through the Strait of Hormuz is a useful reminder of this shift. The Strait of Hormuz has long been understood as an energy and maritime chokepoint. The newer concern is that the same geography may also become a digital pressure point.

That does not mean a disruption is imminent. It does mean supply chain leaders need to broaden how they think about infrastructure.

The supply chain is no longer only physical. It is physical, financial, digital, and computational at the same time.

The Digital Layer of Trade

Modern supply chains require continuous information flows.

A container move depends on booking data, customs filings, bills of lading, port community systems, carrier status updates, bank payments, purchase orders, warehouse instructions, customer notifications, and inventory commitments. A disruption in physical movement is obvious. A disruption in digital movement can be less visible at first but can rapidly affect execution.

If transportation management systems cannot receive status updates, visibility degrades. If customs platforms slow down, cargo can be delayed. If payment networks are disrupted, commercial settlement becomes uncertain. If cloud services or data routes become unstable, companies may lose access to systems that manage planning, fulfillment, sourcing, and customer communication.

This is why undersea cables should be understood as supply chain infrastructure.

They are not peripheral telecommunications assets. They are part of the operating environment for global logistics.

Hormuz as a Digital Chokepoint

The Strait of Hormuz is already central to global energy flows. Its role in oil and gas markets is well understood. What is receiving more attention now is the overlap between energy routes, maritime routes, and data routes.

The operating significance is not whether a particular proposal becomes formal policy. The significance is that undersea cables are being discussed in the same strategic vocabulary historically applied to oil tankers, naval transit, and regional trade.

That is the change.

Digital infrastructure is now part of geopolitical bargaining.

A country does not need to stop container vessels to create supply chain pressure. It can threaten energy flows, interfere with port systems, disrupt payment channels, target cloud infrastructure, or place legal and operational pressure on communications networks. The practical effect can be similar: greater uncertainty, higher risk premiums, slower execution, and reduced confidence in the reliability of trade lanes.

This matters because supply chains increasingly depend on near-real-time information. Visibility platforms, transportation management systems, supplier portals, customs systems, warehouse systems, and customer service applications all assume that the data layer will remain available.

That assumption deserves more scrutiny.

Why This Matters to Supply Chain Executives

Most supply chain risk programs are still built around familiar categories: supplier failure, port congestion, natural disasters, labor disruption, geopolitical conflict, cyberattack, inventory shortages, and transportation capacity.

Those categories remain valid. But they do not fully capture the infrastructure dependencies now embedded in supply chain operations.

The modern supply chain depends on several connected infrastructure layers:

Physical infrastructure: ports, roads, rail, warehouses, airports, canals, ships, and trucks

Energy infrastructure: fuel, electricity, LNG, refining, and grid stability

Digital communications infrastructure: undersea cables, terrestrial fiber, satellite backup, and telecom networks

Computational infrastructure: cloud platforms, data centers, AI systems, and enterprise applications

Financial infrastructure: payments, trade finance, insurance, credit, and settlement systems

A shock in one layer can cascade into others.

A maritime conflict may raise fuel prices and delay cargo. It may also affect cable security, cloud access, payment confidence, insurance pricing, and carrier risk calculations. A cyberattack may begin in software but interrupt physical operations. A data center disruption may affect inventory planning, customer service, and freight execution.

Supply chain resilience therefore cannot be limited to inventory buffers and alternate suppliers. It must include digital continuity.

Visibility Platforms Depend on Invisible Infrastructure

There is irony in the current technology environment. Supply chain visibility platforms are sold on the promise of knowing where everything is. But the platforms themselves depend on infrastructure that is mostly invisible to users.

Container tracking, predictive ETAs, supplier portals, warehouse dashboards, and transportation control towers all depend on the movement of data. That data often crosses national boundaries, cloud regions, telecom networks, and undersea routes before appearing as a dot on a screen.

When those communications pathways are stable, they disappear into the background. When they are threatened, the enterprise discovers that visibility is not simply a software capability. It is an infrastructure dependency.

This becomes more important as supply chains become more AI-enabled. AI systems need real-time signals, external context, transaction histories, exception data, and access to enterprise systems. The more supply chain decision-making depends on continuous data access, the more exposed it becomes to communications infrastructure risk.

AI does not reduce infrastructure dependency. In many cases, it increases it.

A supply chain that uses AI for demand sensing, dynamic routing, supplier risk monitoring, customs documentation, and customer service automation may be more responsive than a traditional supply chain. But it may also become more dependent on data availability, system interoperability, cloud access, and secure communications.

That does not argue against AI. It argues for a more complete resilience model.

The New Infrastructure Questions

For years, companies asked whether their suppliers were dual-sourced, whether their ports had alternatives, whether their carriers had capacity, and whether their inventory policies were resilient.

Those questions still matter.

But new questions are emerging:

What digital infrastructure supports our most critical supply chain workflows?

Which cloud, telecom, cable, and data exchange dependencies are embedded in our operations?

Do key logistics, planning, and visibility systems have regional redundancy?

Which workflows fail if real-time data is degraded?

Can we operate in a limited-connectivity mode?

Are escalation procedures defined for digital infrastructure disruption?

Do supplier portals, customer portals, and carrier integrations remain usable under degraded conditions?

These are not traditional supply chain questions. But they are becoming operationally relevant.

The executive issue is not whether a supply chain manager should become a telecom engineer. The issue is whether the organization understands the dependencies that support its ability to plan, execute, communicate, and recover.

Digital Chokepoints Behave Differently

Digital chokepoints are not identical to physical chokepoints.

A blocked canal is visible. A damaged bridge has a location. A closed port has a queue. A data route may degrade in more complex ways. Traffic may reroute. Latency may increase. Systems may remain partially available. Some applications may function while others fail. The business impact may depend on architecture, redundancy, vendor configuration, cloud region, access rights, cybersecurity posture, and contractual service levels.

This makes digital infrastructure risk harder to see and harder to assign.

It can sit between IT, supply chain, risk management, procurement, legal, and finance. Everyone may own part of it. No one may own the full operating consequence.

That is the governance gap.

A modern supply chain resilience program should identify which digital services are mission-critical, who owns their continuity, how disruptions are escalated, and which manual or alternate processes can sustain operations when systems degrade.

Resilience Under Degradation

The answer is not to build a fully redundant version of every system. That is unrealistic.

The better approach is to tier workflows by operational criticality.

Some workflows can tolerate delay. Some cannot. A weekly analytics report can wait. A customs filing, shipment release, carrier tender, customer commitment, or production signal may not.

Supply chain leaders should work with IT and enterprise risk teams to classify critical workflows, map system dependencies, and define continuity requirements. This includes not only core enterprise applications, but also third-party logistics platforms, visibility providers, supplier portals, carrier networks, payment systems, and external data sources.

The practical goal is resilience under degradation, not perfect immunity.

Can the enterprise still prioritize shipments? Can it still communicate with carriers? Can it still release orders? Can it still issue customer updates? Can it still make inventory allocation decisions? Can it still comply with regulatory requirements?

If not, the organization has a digital infrastructure exposure.

Conclusion: The Supply Chain Runs on Data

The supply chain has always depended on infrastructure. What has changed is the definition of infrastructure.

Ports and ships still matter. So do roads, railroads, warehouses, canals, and aircraft. But the supply chain also runs on fiber-optic cables, cloud platforms, data centers, payment networks, cybersecurity systems, and enterprise software.

Undersea cables are a reminder that the digital economy is not weightless. It has physical routes, landing points, repair constraints, ownership structures, jurisdictional exposure, and geopolitical risk.

For supply chain leaders, the lesson is clear.

Digital infrastructure is now supply chain infrastructure.

The companies that understand this will build more complete resilience programs. The companies that do not may discover, during the next disruption, that their physical network can still move goods, but their digital network cannot support the decisions required to move them wel

The post Why Undersea Internet Cables Matter to Global Supply Chains appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

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The Freight Forwarder Moat Is Getting Shallower

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The Freight Forwarder Moat Is Getting Shallower

Ocean freight forwarding is an $80+ billion market bogged down by the manual processes related to booking management, documentation services, and the coordination labor that holds it all together.

When working with a freight forwarder, you’re buying three things bundled together:

Carrier relationships — access to capacity, negotiated rates, allocation commitments.
Operational data — knowing which carrier fits a given lane, what documents a particular trade corridor requires, how to handle an exception when a booking gets rejected.
Coordination labor — the booking itself, the documents per container (industry estimates range from 9 to 18 depending on the corridor), the re-keying of data across disconnected systems, the email chains chasing confirmations and clearances.

Shippers have always paid for the bundle because you couldn’t get one piece without the others, but that’s changing.

Where the bundle comes apart

Travel agents used to bundle airline relationships, destination expertise, and the labor of putting trips together into a single fee. Aggregator platforms unbundled the pieces, and the booking layer went first because that’s where the volume was. Ocean freight forwarding is in the same position. More than digitizing booking, though, AI is automating it.

The bulk of the volume and labor cost for freight forwarders is tied up in rate comparisons across dozens of carriers, document preparation and routing by trade lane and commodity classification, booking execution against pre-negotiated contracts, and exception triage on rejected bookings.

But this is all high-volume, rule-governed, multi-system coordination where speed and consistency matter more than creativity. Exactly the type of work that AI agents are well-equipped to handle.

Platforms can now ingest a rate agreement, parse surcharges and FAK provisions into a digital rate profile, compare carriers on cost, transit time, and schedule reliability, and execute a booking based on pre-defined parameters, without a human in the loop.

Automating the entire order lifecycle

Every dollar of margin exposure in ocean freight traces back to a decision made without complete information. That means that every action must be rooted in live network data across shipment flows, carrier performance, and insight from inventory and order systems. A platform with that intelligence can automate and accelerate the full workflow from detecting a supply shortfall, selecting a carrier, booking the container, managing the documents, tracking the shipment, and handling exceptions.

A shipper stitching together a rate tool from one vendor, a booking portal from another, a document system from a third, and a visibility feed from a fourth gets digitization. They get a slightly faster version of the same manual process. The full picture still lives in a person’s head, and the handoffs between systems still require human coordination.

While freight forwarders and other intermediaries are also investing in AI, they’re primarily automating their own coordination labor before someone else absorbs it. But they can’t replicate the data advantage of a platform that sits across the entire supply chain.

A forwarder automating its booking desk draws on its own transaction history. A point solution built specifically for ocean booking draws on booking data. A platform processing millions of supply chain events daily across orders, inventory, carrier performance, and live shipment status, has a different signal base entirely. Carrier selection informed by real-time schedule reliability, live network disruption, and your actual inventory positions is structurally more accurate than carrier selection informed by historical rate tables.

The shrinking intermediary layer

The moats around freight forwarders’ profit margins are eroding, and the lines between legacy endpoint solutions are blurring. High-complexity corridors and specialized commodities still need human expertise, but the bread-and-butter containerized freight that makes up the bulk of forwarder revenue is the volume where automated workflows shine.

Meanwhile, software providers will have a hard time selling dashboards and chatbots to specific teams compared to AI-native platforms offering a single operating system across all supply chain operations, and serving downstream stakeholders.

The question for forwarders is how long they can keep patching automation onto a fragmented architecture with a booking tool here, a document system there, people bridging the handoffs in between. And how much revenue sits in structured, repeatable work that a connected platform absorbs?

For shippers, the choice is whether to invest in a platform that automates the order-to-delivery and exception lifecycle, or keep paying others to hold the pieces together. The second option is a decision to fund the intermediary layer sitting between them and their own data.

The post The Freight Forwarder Moat Is Getting Shallower appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

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