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Terrified of Tariffs? Three Key Strategies to Implement Tariff Optimization and Create Adaptive Supply Chains
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1 an agoon
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Global trade is riddled with uncertainties. Trade agreements have long existed to try to reduce some of that uncertainty, create a more even playing field, or to create mutually advantageous trade conditions between specific countries. The significant increase in tariffs proposed by the upcoming Trump administration adds to the challenge of businesses working to safeguard profitability. Tariffs hit hard on the bottom line by hiking up costs across supply chains, thereby affecting sourcing, manufacturing, and distribution decisions. However, if organizations adopt proactive tariff optimization strategies and build adaptive supply chains, these challenges can be turned into opportunities. Here’s how.
Understanding Tariff Dynamics
Optimization for tariffs requires that organizations understand how tariffs play into their supply chains and that they model their impact. Having a supply chain digital twin set up makes the process of understanding the impact of tariffs much easier. However, understanding tariffs in detail is only the first step, especially when they are constantly evolving. Below are some of key areas businesses need to familiarize themselves with to understand tariff dynamics:
A) Tariff Points in the Supply Chain
Tariffs can be imposed at any of the following levels: raw material, manufactured or semi-finished goods, or finished products. Knowing the product tariff points is crucial to enable enterprises to identify specific areas where costs are likely to be affected and create effective strategies for dealing with such impacts. The following are the stages of a product in its journey from raw material to the final consumer and where impact can occur:
1. Raw Material Stage:
Impact: Tariffs on raw materials, like metals, minerals, or agricultural products, directly increase input costs to the manufacturers.
Strategy: Diversification of raw materials sources, exploration of alternative materials, or investment in domestic production are some of the ways to limit exposure to the tariff.
2. Intermediate Goods Stage:
Impact: Tariffs on intermediate goods, like components or semi-finished products, will increase the manufacturing cost.
Strategy: Reshoring production, regionalizing supply chains, or finding alternative suppliers are among the strategies available to mitigate the impact of tariffs on intermediate goods.
3. Finished Goods Stage:
Impact: Finished goods tariffs can be so high that it increases the cost of goods sold, therefore impacting pricing and competitiveness in the marketplace.
Strategy: Product redesign, value-added manufacturing, and duty drawback are a few of the numerous potential strategies to implement to lower the tariff burden.
B) Rules of Origin
“Rules of origin” refers to regulations that identify the country of origin of a product and the tariff rates on that product. These are often complicated rules that differ for each commodity, state, or country.
Key considerations for rules of origin regulations:
Substantial transformation:
The product is substantially transformed in a country so it can be said to have originated from that country thereby avoiding a tariff.
Example: Aluminum ingots are imported from China into the U.S. and then fabricated into aluminum car parts. The fabrication process in the U.S. is considered a substantial transformation because the aluminum ingots are converted into an entirely new product with a different name, character, and use.
Regional value content:
A minimum percentage value of the product added within the specific region or economic block.
Example: A pickup truck assembled in Mexico using parts from the U.S. and Canada must meet the USMCA rule requiring 75% regional value content. If the truck’s total value is $30,000, at least $22,500 of the value must come from the USMCA region (U.S., Mexico, and Canada) to receive tariff-free treatment under USMCA.
Change in tariff classification:
There should be sufficient change in the tariff classification of the merchandise for the item to get preferential treatment.
Example: Imported raw cocoa beans (HS code: 1801) from Ghana are processed in the U.S. into chocolate bars (HS code: 1806). The significant processing alters the HS classification from raw cocoa beans to finished chocolate bars, qualifying the chocolate bars as a U.S.-origin product for preferential trade treatment under trade agreements that require a change in tariff classification.Understanding such rules helps companies to streamline their supply chains in order to reduce the tariff costs effectively.
C) Effect of Value Addition
Value addition is enhancing the value of a product by transforming raw materials or semi-finished goods into a more finished or marketable form, thereby increasing its worth. The more value addition, the higher the tariff rate. The implication of this on strategy:
Domestic Value Addition:
Companies can bring about value addition within their home countries in order to reduce the impact of tariffs on the imported components.
Example: A company imports semiconductors but designs and assembles final electronic products in the U.S. By adding domestic innovation and assembly, it minimizes tariff impact and qualifies as a U.S.-origin product under certain rules.
Strategic Sourcing:
This would involve sourcing components from countries that have lower value-added requirements, hence reducing tariff costs.
Example: A U.S. clothing brand sources fabric from Vietnam, which has a trade agreement with the U.S. requiring lower value addition thresholds for tariff reductions.By strategically sourcing from Vietnam instead of China, the company reduces overall tariff liability.
D) Dependent and Independent Variables:
Tariffs as a Double-Edged Sword
Whether tariffs are dependent or independent variables has a significant impact on how they impact companies.
Dependent Variable:
Tariffs are often dependent on trade agreements, geopolitical factors, and economic conditions. For instance, a country can negotiate preferential trade agreements with its trading partners, thus enjoying lower tariffs.
Independent Variable:
Tariffs can also be independently imposed regardless of the state and conditions of the trade agreements. This builds uncertainty for companies and makes consumers nervous about cost increases.
Tariffs could have positive or negative impacts depending on the scenario
Now that we have seen the factors that impact tariffs, the following examples illustrate three real-life scenarios of tariffs (both positive and negative):
Solar Industry:
● Section 201 Tariffs: In 2018, the Trump administration imposed tariffs on imported solar cells and modules under Section 201 of the Trade Act of 1974. This significantly increased the cost of solar energy projects, slowing the growth of the U.S. solar industry and leading to job losses.
Automotive Industry:
● Section 232 Tariffs: The Trump administration also imposed Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, which are crucial components in automobile manufacturing. These tariffs increased the cost of producing vehicles in the U.S., making them less competitive in the global market.
Residential Appliances Industry:
● Section 201 Tariffs: The Trump administration imposed 20% Section 201 tariffs on imported large residential washing machines.Companies like Whirlpool expanded U.S. operations, creating more jobs and boosting local economies. After initial price increases, competition among domestic manufacturers drove prices down, leading to affordable options for consumers.
Key Strategies to Optimize Tariffs and Build Adaptive Supply Chains
In our opinion, tariffs are a constraint that must be modeled within the end-end supply chain model in addition to all other constraints such as production, logistics, consumer demand, interest rates, taxes, etc. Objectives such as costs, margins, resiliency, and sustainability must simultaneously be optimized to meet these goals.
In real-life it is not possible to optimize all objectives equally and hence the corporate and societal goals drives the priorities. For instance, is the goal to maximize corporate profits while not taking into consideration the goals of the society of improving employment or sustainability vs trying to balance profits with societal goals such as increased employment. In other words, it is important to have a clear idea of the objective and constraints. There are three strategies that companies can adopt in order to optimize around the constraints imposed by tariffs and build adaptive supply chains.
A) Integrated Scenario Planning
Integrated scenario planning lets companies model the effect of potential tariffs on their supply chain. Building adaptive supply chains equips organizations with the ability to react faster and more positively toward these changes. This includes:
Modeling Different Scenarios:
Quantify how tariffs change with regard to variables such as supply chain geography and the level of value addition.
Manufacturing Footprint Optimization:
Evaluate the cost-benefit tradeoffs of moving production to locations closer to key markets as a means of minimizing tariff exposure.
Sustainability improvements are often a byproduct of manufacturing footprint optimization.
Ensure that sustainability is one of the objectives modeled.
Export-Import Offsets:
Identify cases where exports can be used to offset import tariffs while maintaining balanced and strategic trade flows.
Antifragility:
Developing a highly adaptive supply chain – one that can move fast in response to disruptions, such as unexpected tariff increases. An antifragile supply chain improves supplier diversification, reduces capability redundancy, and can deploy advanced technologies quickly.
B) Optimizing Sourcing and Diversification
Being dependent on one country or one supplier greatly increases the risk to business due to tariffs. Diversification can be achieved in several ways:
Regional Sourcing:
Lessen the impact of tariffs by sourcing supplies from countries that have favorable trade pacts with the consuming countries.
Nearshoring and Onshoring:
Improve supply chain resilience and potentially avoid tariffs by moving production closer to home markets.
Optimize Supplier Mix:
Adopt a diverse mix of suppliers, irrespective of whether companies are nearshoring or offshoring, can help ensure that ESG goals are met.
Optimize Product – Production Type Mix:
Minimize the impact of tariffs by identifying opportunities for semi-finished goods import and final assembly versus importing finished goods. CKD (completely knocked down) kits for automotive is an example of countries performing final assembly to avoid tariffs.
C) Cost-to-Serve Models
Adopting the cost-to-serve model enables companies to adopt real-time measures to offset tariff effects. This will include:
Transport Node, Flow, and Mode Optimization:
Cost-to-serve models allow the consideration of different nodes of warehouses, cross-docks, and production facilities. Flows indicate the transportation of materials from one node to another using a transportation method such as air, rail, or truck. Tariffs will be an input factor to decide on the nodes, flow, and modes of the supply chain network.
Cost-Revenue Analysis:
Know how the tariff will impact the profitability of every product at various touchpoints in the supply chain.
Incremental Costing:
Understand how the imposition of the tariff impacts production and distribution costs and make decisions on cost absorption, offsetting, or passing on.
AI-Driven Insights:
Leverage AI and machine learning to get ongoing analyses of the tariff scenarios for next-best responses.
Companies can stay ahead of all the complexities of the global trade landscape and come out more robust by embracing scenario-based decision-making and building adaptive supply chains. Download the white paper, 6 Strategies for Building an Adaptive Supply Chain, to understand how institutionalized scenario-based decision-making helps you handle all types of disruptions with peace of mind.
Nari Viswanathan
Sr. Director, Product Segment Marketing, Coupa
Nari is currently Sr. Director of Product Segment Marketing at Coupa, where he brings products to markets in the areas of Direct Material Procurement and Supply Chain Design and Planning. Over the past 20 years, Nari has held VP and Director of Product Management, Research and Marketing roles at Aberdeen Group, River Logic, Steelwedge and E2open. He has significant experience building products from the ground up and managing the P&L for a product suite. He is a proven B2B marketer with expertise in content marketing, competitive intelligence, and positioning. He has published numerous thought leadership articles, whitepapers, blogs and delivered dozens of webinars during his career. Nari Viswanathan is a six times SDCExec Supply Chain Pro to Know award winner. Nari holds a master’s degree in Manufacturing Systems Engineering at the University of Wisconsin-Madison and a bachelor’s degree in Mechanical Engineering at the Indian Institute of Technology, Chennai.
The post Terrified of Tariffs? Three Key Strategies to Implement Tariff Optimization and Create Adaptive Supply Chains appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.
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Warehouse Orchestration: Solving the Daily Breakdown Between Plan and Execution
Published
23 heures agoon
14 mai 2026By
In most warehouses today, the problem is not whether work gets done; it is how much effort it takes to keep everything aligned and on track. Every day, there is a breakdown between the plan and executing the plan. Labor plans, inbound schedules, picking priorities, and automation all operate from valid assumptions, but not always the same ones. The gaps between them are filled in real time by supervisors and teams, making constant adjustments. That is what keeps operations running, but it is also what makes them fragile.
It is a challenge many operations recognize. Even with modern systems in place, execution still depends heavily on human coordination. Warehouse orchestration is the shift from managing tasks independently to coordinating the entire operation and ensuring decisions across the system stay aligned as conditions change. The best way to understand what that means in practice is not through a system diagram, but through the lens and experience of the people running the floor.
Consider Maria, a warehouse supervisor responsible for keeping a high-volume operation on track. She is experienced, practical, and steady under pressure, but what she is really managing is not just work; it is complexity.
At any given moment, she balances labor availability, work queues, inbound variability, equipment status, and shifting order priorities. Those inputs are not wrong. They are just not aligned. It is her job to bridge that gap in real time.
A shift that starts “normal” … until it does not
Maria arrives before the floor fully wakes up. Her first stop is not the dock or the pick module; it is yesterday’s reality. What shipped? What did not? Where did the backlog form? Which waves did not behave as the plan assumed? She is not looking for blame; she is looking for drift. Drift is what turns into firefighting later.
Demand shifted over the weekend, but the pick face still reflects last week’s reality. One area is short-staffed; another has idle labor. When the team built the labor plan, it made sense, but the day had already moved on. The team scheduled inbound; however, it is not predictable. Every ETA is a best guess, and how trailers show up rarely matches how they appear on a screen.
Individually, nothing here is catastrophic, but warehouses do not fail all at once. They gradually lose alignment between plan and execution. The team compensates in real time by moving people, reprioritizing work, working around automation delays, and making judgment calls. And the shift “works,” but there is a cost:
Overtime, which did not need to happen.
Detention fees, which show up later.
Service misses, driven by wrong priorities rather than a lack of effort.
Leaders who spend more time reacting than improving.
These challenges are the reality across many operations. Execution is strong, but coordination is fragile.
The real bottleneck: decisions are fragmented
Most warehouses are not short on tools. They have WMS, robotics systems, labor tools, and planning solutions. Each one does its job well, but they do not make decisions together. Each system optimizes its scope based on different priorities or timings. The gaps between them are filled manually by people like Maria. In an environment with less variability, that might work, but in most cases:
Demand changes faster and more frequently.
Labor is less predictable.
Automation introduces new dependencies.
Customer expectations continue to rise.
Under these conditions, static plans, especially labor plans and wave structures, can drift out of sync before the shift is halfway through. That is when the operation starts relying on “manual heroics.” Experienced supervisors keep things running. It is hard to scale, and even harder to sustain.
AI-driven warehouse orchestration: keeping the operation aligned
Warehouse orchestration and the power of AI address this gap. Because it is not just about executing tasks, it is about coordinating decisions across the operation and using intelligence to see, analyze, and recommend actions with full visibility to all the variables. Instead of managing isolated activities, intelligent orchestration continuously aligns:
Labor to demand.
Inbound and outbound priorities.
Work sequencing across zones.
Automation with human workflows.
It does this in real time, as conditions change. Variability is constant, and it is not realistic to eliminate. The goal is to see the risk earlier, respond faster and more consistently, and prevent disruption.
Back to Maria: when the system helps carry the load
Now imagine Maria running that same Monday, but operations now behave like a connected ecosystem, not a collection of islands. Before the shift even starts, she is not just reviewing what happened yesterday. She is looking at a forward-facing view that is already adjusting based on incoming signals. She is getting visibility into risk early before it is a problem. Inbound appointments are not just a schedule; they are a ranked set of trade-offs that balance urgency, detention risk, inventory needs, and outbound commitments. Her decisions are clearer because the system prioritizes them, reflecting business impact. Slotting does not rely on disruptive, periodic re-slot projects that leave the pick face to decay. Instead, optimization and learning continuously shape placement, folding the highest value moves into natural replenishment windows and explaining the “why” in business language.
And during the shift, when one area starts falling behind, Maria does not have to guess the best move. She can see the impact of her options:
Shifting labor.
Reprioritizing tasks.
Adjusting sequencing.
Instead of relying on instinct and experience alone, she has visibility into how decisions affect the entire operation. She is still in control, but the system is helping her avoid problems instead of chasing them. And that changes how the shift feels. It is not static; it is dynamic, but stable.
The key ingredients: unified data, SaaS, AI & ML, connected systems
Behind the scenes, this comes down to unified data, SaaS, AI, ML, and systems that work together. When you connect your warehouse systems, add real-time operational signals and visibility to systems outside of the warehouse, and apply AI and ML for speed and precision, you are working from a single source of truth and an interconnected ecosystem of systems. As a result, users make decisions with a broader context. Then the operation starts to learn; outcomes inform future decisions, improving how the system responds over time. And now, humans are not the only thing holding the performance together.
Why this matters right now
For supply chain leaders, this is not only about efficiency. It is about operating in a world where volatility is constant. Across industries, the specifics vary, but the challenges are consistent:
Handling demand swings without inflating labor costs
Scaling operations without scaling complexity
Maintaining service levels under pressure
The operations that succeed are the ones that do not just react faster; they are the ones that operate in alignment.
The shift ahead
A single, modern technology will not define the future of warehouse management. It will be defined by how well operations coordinate across people, systems, and workflows in real time. That is what intelligent warehouse orchestration enables. It turns the warehouse from a collection of well-run processes into a connected system that can adjust continuously. Because in the end, the goal is not just to execute the plan. It is to keep the plan from breaking when the shift starts.
By Tammy Kulesa
Senior Director, Solution & Industry Marketing, Blue Yonder
Tammy is the Senior Director of Solution and Industry Marketing, leading go-to-market strategy and thought leadership for Blue Yonder Cognitive Solutions for Execution, and the LSP Industry. With over 20 years of experience in technology marketing and nearly a decade focused on retail, logistics, and supply chain, Tammy brings a deep understanding of the operational and strategic challenges facing today’s supply chain leaders. A passionate advocate for innovation and collaboration, Tammy has a proven track record of connecting market needs with transformative solutions.
The post Warehouse Orchestration: Solving the Daily Breakdown Between Plan and Execution appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.
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How Operational AI Turns Supply Chain Recommendations into Action
Published
1 jour agoon
14 mai 2026By
Supply chain AI cannot stop at better insight. To create operational value, AI recommendations must connect to workflows, execution systems, approval paths, and measurable outcomes.
Artificial intelligence is quickly becoming part of the supply chain technology conversation. Vendors are adding copilots, recommendation engines, autonomous agents, and predictive analytics to planning, transportation, warehousing, procurement, and visibility applications. The promise is clear: better decisions, faster responses, and more adaptive operations.
But there is a critical distinction that supply chain leaders need to keep in view. An AI system that identifies a problem is not the same as an AI system that helps solve it.
A demand-planning model may identify a likely stockout. A transportation model may flag a lane disruption. A supplier-risk model may detect a deteriorating delivery pattern. Those are useful insights. But unless the system can connect that insight to an action pathway, the burden still falls on the planner, transportation manager, procurement team, or customer service group to decide what happens next.
That is where many AI deployments will either create real value or stall out.
For a deeper look at the architecture behind operational AI, including A2A, MCP, RAG, Graph RAG, and connected decision systems, download the full white paper: AI in the Supply Chain: From Architecture to Execution.
Insight Is Not Execution
Supply chains do not run on insight alone. They run on orders, shipments, purchase orders, inventory moves, carrier tenders, production schedules, warehouse labor plans, customer commitments, and exception workflows.
A recommendation that remains in a dashboard is not yet operational AI. It is decision support. Decision support can be valuable, but it does not fundamentally change the operating model unless it becomes part of the execution process.
The question is not simply, “Can the AI make a recommendation?” The better question is, “Can the organization act on that recommendation in a controlled, auditable, and timely way?”
For example, if an AI system predicts that a regional distribution center will run short of inventory, several action pathways may be available. The company might expedite inbound supply, rebalance inventory from another facility, substitute a product, modify customer allocation rules, or adjust promised delivery dates.
Each action has a cost, a service implication, and a governance requirement.
Operational AI must understand those pathways. It must also know which actions it can recommend, which it can execute automatically, and which require human approval.
The Execution Layer Matters
This is why integration with core execution systems is so important. AI cannot operate effectively if it sits outside the systems where work is actually performed.
For supply chain AI to become operational, it must connect to transportation management systems, warehouse management systems, order management systems, ERP, procurement platforms, supplier portals, customer service workflows, and control tower environments.
Without these connections, AI may diagnose problems faster, but it will not necessarily resolve them faster.
The difference is material. An AI assistant that says, “This shipment is likely to miss its delivery appointment,” is useful. An AI-enabled workflow that identifies the delay, calculates downstream service risk, recommends a carrier alternative, checks cost thresholds, initiates an approval workflow, and updates customer service is much more powerful.
That is the move from analytics to operational intelligence.
Human-in-the-Loop Still Matters
This does not mean every AI recommendation should become an automated action. Supply chain decisions often involve tradeoffs among cost, service, risk, inventory, and customer relationships. Many require judgment.
The more practical model is tiered autonomy.
Low-risk, high-frequency actions may be automated. Moderate-risk decisions may require planner approval. High-impact exceptions may require escalation to a manager or executive.
This is not a weakness. It is a design requirement.
A well-architected operational AI system should know when to act, when to recommend, and when to escalate. It should also capture the outcome so the system can learn whether the decision improved performance.
Closed-Loop Learning Is the Real Prize
The most important capability may not be the first recommendation. It may be the feedback loop that follows.
Did the expedited shipment prevent the stockout? Did the alternate supplier meet the delivery date? Did the inventory transfer protect service without creating a shortage elsewhere? Did the customer accept the revised promise date?
These outcomes should not disappear into operational noise. They should feed back into the intelligence layer.
That is how AI becomes more than a static recommendation tool. It becomes a learning system embedded in the daily operating rhythm of the supply chain.
What This Means for Buyers
Supply chain leaders evaluating AI-enabled software should press vendors on action pathways. The relevant questions are straightforward.
Can the system connect recommendations to execution workflows? Can it distinguish between automated, approved, and escalated actions? Can it operate across functions, not just inside one application? Can it create an audit trail? Can it learn from outcomes?
The vendors that answer these questions well will move beyond AI features. They will become part of the operating architecture.
The next phase of supply chain AI will not be won by the tool that produces the most impressive recommendation. It will be won by the systems that help companies act faster, with more control, better context, and measurable outcomes.
The post How Operational AI Turns Supply Chain Recommendations into Action appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.
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Warehouse Orchestration: Solving the Daily Breakdown Between Plan and Execution
How Operational AI Turns Supply Chain Recommendations into Action
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