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2025 Update: Amazon’s Supply Chain Keeps Rewriting the Playbook

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2025 Update: Amazon’s Supply Chain Keeps Rewriting The Playbook

Seven years ago, we published a widely read piece on Amazon’s supply chain. At the time, the story was about bold bets on fulfillment centers, early robotics, and a push toward speed that most competitors couldn’t match. That article struck a nerve because it captured a turning point in logistics. Today, it deserves a fresh look—because Amazon hasn’t stood still.

Here’s the state of play:

From national to regional. Amazon has re-architected its U.S. network into regional clusters. This shift cut miles, cut air, and allowed seven billion packages to move same- or next-day in 2023. The kicker: it lowered cost-to-serve by nearly fifty cents per unit, proving that speed and efficiency can scale together.

Robotics at scale. The old Kiva bots were the spark. Today, Amazon runs more than a million robots, with systems like Sequoia that cut order processing time by a quarter and put inventory away faster than any human team ever could. Robotics are no longer pilots—they are the backbone.

Logistics-as-a-service. With Supply Chain by Amazon, the company now sells end-to-end logistics—factory to front door—to brands of every size. Combined with Multi-Channel Fulfillment and Buy with Prime, Amazon has quietly become a competitor to the 3PLs and integrators that once fed off its volume.

Last mile, diversified. Over 3,500 Delivery Service Partners now employ 275,000 people. More than 25,000 Rivian electric vans are on the road in the U.S., and drones are moving from pilots to practical service in a handful of markets. The last mile is now an ecosystem—densely packed, electrified, and increasingly difficult for rivals to replicate.

Hard lessons and pivots. Not every bet has stuck. The “Just Walk Out” cashierless experiment is being pulled from most Fresh stores. Dash Carts and simpler in-aisle tools are proving more practical. Amazon innovates aggressively, but it also cuts its losses fast when the math doesn’t work.

Sustainability. Amazon matched 100% of its electricity use with renewable energy in 2023. But the heavier lift lies in logistics: reducing packaging, decarbonizing fleets, and nudging sellers toward greener inbound flows through fees and credits.

Seven years on, the takeaway hasn’t changed—it’s only become sharper. Amazon keeps rewriting the playbook, from how goods are stored and moved to how logistics itself is sold. For the rest of the industry, that means the bar is always rising.

And our perspective in 2018:

Amazon’s CEO Jeff BezosThe Amazon Supply Chain: The Most Innovative in the World?

Is the Amazon supply chain the most innovative in the world? A very strong argument can be made that they are despite some announcements that were pie in the sky – like the patent they won in January for floating warehouses that use drones for deliveries and replenishment. Or for that matter, Jeff Bezos’ drone prediction made five years ago on 60 Minutes. Drones for home delivery are still too dangerous, as opposed to using drones for inventory management.

But other events are both innovative and meaningful. Let’s just review some of their activities over just the past year.

Relay

Relay, quietly released in October, is Amazon’s first trucking app, and is designed to make trips to Amazon warehouses faster and more efficient. Drivers can enter cargo information into the app before they arrive. Once they have entered the information, they are given a QR code which they will use at the security gate. The idea is that by pre-checking in, they use the QR code to pass through security instead of the manual process of showing and scanning a badge at the gate. With the pre-check in process, it gives Amazon better visibility into the current location of its deliveries, and can better prepare for arrivals. Some of Amazon’s warehouses and fulfillment centers have built lanes that are dedicated solely for Relay users. Relay aims to speed up the process of making deliveries to warehouses. Additionally, it can help to reduce manual processes.

The actual application of Relay is narrow, as it is only used for deliveries to Amazon facilities. However, the vision may be bigger. It may be a way for Amazon to make inroads for a much larger future Uber-type freight matching service.

Whole Foods and Dash

Amazon’s acquired Whole Foods in June for $13.7 billion in cash. The move finally puts Amazon in the position that it has been working towards for years in the grocery space. Grocery has been one area that Amazon has not been able to crack, even with the launch of Amazon Fresh. By bringing the Whole Foods brand into the Amazon family, the company immediately gets a boost for its grocery business.

Of course, Walmart is the goliath in this space. But Amazon seeks to use convenient deliveries and technology to begin to make up the difference. Amazon’s Dash buttons, introduced before the acquisition, are a great complement to the acquisition. The Dash Button is a small wireless device about the size of a pack of gum. When a customer presses the button, the device uses Wi-Fi to order items the customer has pre-selected from Amazon. Amazon’s vision is that people will mount their buttons in their kitchen, pantry, laundry room, and bathroom using the attached adhesive strip on the back of the device. Then, for example, when they run out of Tide laundry detergent, the consumer pushes the button and Tide is automatically ordered. A consumer would purchase a Dash Button for $4.99 on Amazon.com for each of their favorite brands. With each purchase comes a $4.99 instant credit after the first purchase.

Amazon brought its supply chain expertise as well. Whole Foods was notorious for holding too much inventory at their stores. When a client asked for something, a helpful associate would go to the backroom and search for it, and perhaps in ten minutes would return with the item, or perhaps not. Now they have gone to a lean, JIT grocery supply chain with virtually no inventory in the back. But the store shelves are as full, or fuller, than they were previously.

But much work remains to be done to build out a profitable home delivery network. In theory, the Whole Food stores could be used as forward warehouses, in addition or instead of being stores. But even after decluttering the back rooms, most of the Whole Foods locations do not offer the right layout to switch over to a delivery warehouse, as they do not have the required docks or quite enough back room space.

Amazon, the Carrier

In February, Amazon announced plans to build its first air cargo hub at Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky Airport. This is based on sound economics. When the 2-million-square-foot facility opens, it will reduce the company’s dependence on UPS and FedEx. But Amazon was already moving away from reliance on the parcel giants by giving an increasing share of its parcel business to lower cost regional providers. And many e-commerce shoppers have seen their orders delivered by the company’s fleet of private trucks.

Amazon had already moved into the ocean freight business for similar reasons. But this year, Amazon began taking greater control over shipments from China. Specifically, Amazon has started handling the shipment of goods from Chinese retailers that sell on its platform. For this line of business Amazon is acting as its own freight forwarder by reserving space on ships and clearing customs itself. This also reduced the fees it pays to outside logistics providers.

The company plans to use this new air hub to house its current and future fleet of planes. It’s expected to cost Amazon over $1.5 billion which means this will be a highly automated facility, just as UPS’s and FedEx’s are. It is reported the company will initially employ 2,000 people, which means this hub will work at scale.

It is speculated that Amazon’s end goal is to deliver packages for itself and other retailers. Large retailer competitors are very unlikely to ever use Amazon in this way; those companies see Amazon as their toughest competitor and will do nothing to help them achieve additional logistics scale. But small retailers could find this an interesting service. Many smaller retailers already sell through the Amazon marketplace. There could be bundled deal for marketing and logistics.

Amazon, the Warehousing Giant

In January it was reported that Amazon had 45,000 robots across 20 distribution centers. Today, they have roughly 100,000 robots in use across the world. Amazon has made huge investments in automation. The company spent $775 million to acquire Kiva Robots in 2012, now called Amazon Robotics. According to one report, worldwide Amazon has 493 warehouses covering about 180 square million feet. Their investment in autonomous mobile robots has certainly paid for itself in increased productivity with many more warehouses still ripe for the deployment of autonomous mobile robots.

But it looks smart for a second reason, warehouse workers are getting increasingly hard to find. We (ARC Advisory Group) had the CEO of a large North American logistics service provider in to visit us recently. He told us that a few years ago they had ten applicants for every open warehouse job they had; today it is just one. “If an ex-con with a burglary record shows up, we say ‘We know you will steal from us, but we can really use the help. You’re hired!’”

There is a greater need for warehouse workers because of ecommerce. Historically, consumers went to stores and picked their goods off the shelves. Now warehouse workers are increasingly doing the labor consumers use to do for themselves. Not surprisingly, this CEO also believes warehouse wages are poised to rise significantly.

In conclusion, while Amazon runs the most innovative supply chain, that doesn’t mean it is the best. Amazon is a much smaller and less profitable company than Walmart. Last mile deliveries are expensive, which kills profits. Amazon remains lucky that Wall Street values high growth so much more than profitability.

The post 2025 Update: Amazon’s Supply Chain Keeps Rewriting the Playbook appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

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India–U.S. Trade Announcement Creates Strategic Options, Not Executable Change

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India–u.s. Trade Announcement Creates Strategic Options, Not Executable Change

The announcement by Donald Trump and Narendra Modi of an India–U.S. “trade deal” has drawn immediate attention from global markets. From a supply chain and logistics perspective, however, the more important observation is not the scale of the claims, but the lack of formal detail required for execution.

At this stage, what exists is a political statement rather than a completed trade agreement. For companies managing sourcing, manufacturing, transportation, and compliance across India–U.S. trade lanes, uncertainty remains the defining condition.

What Has Been Announced So Far

Based on public statements from the U.S. administration and reporting by CNBC and Al Jazeera, several points have been asserted:

U.S. tariffs on Indian goods would be reduced from an effective 50 percent to 18 percent

India would reduce tariffs and non tariff barriers on U.S. goods, potentially to zero

India would stop purchasing Russian oil and increase energy purchases from the United States

India would significantly increase purchases of U.S. goods across energy, agriculture, technology, and industrial sectors

Statements from the Indian government have been more limited. New Delhi confirmed that U.S. tariffs on Indian exports would be reduced to 18 percent, but it did not publicly confirm commitments related to Russian oil, agricultural market access, or large scale procurement from U.S. suppliers.

This divergence matters. In supply chain planning, commitments only become relevant when they are documented, scoped, and enforceable.

Why This Is Not Yet a Trade Agreement

From an operational standpoint, the announcement lacks several elements required to support planning and execution:

No published tariff schedules by HS code

No clarification on rules of origin

No definition of non tariff barrier reductions

No implementation timelines

No enforcement or dispute resolution mechanisms

Without these components, companies cannot reliably model landed cost, supplier risk, or network design changes.

By comparison, India’s recently announced trade agreement with the European Union includes detailed provisions covering market access, regulatory alignment, and investment protections. Those provisions are what allow supply chain leaders to translate trade policy into operational decisions. The U.S. announcement does not yet meet that threshold.

Implications for Supply Chains

Tariff Reduction Could Be Material if Formalized

An 18 percent tariff rate would improve India’s competitive position relative to regional peers such as Vietnam, Bangladesh, and Pakistan. If implemented and sustained, this could support incremental sourcing from India in sectors such as textiles, pharmaceuticals, and light manufacturing.

For now, however, this remains a scenario rather than a planning assumption.

Energy Commitments Are the Largest Unknown

The claim that India would halt purchases of Russian oil has significant implications across energy, chemical, and manufacturing supply chains. Russian crude has been a key input for Indian refineries and downstream industrial production.

A shift away from that supply would affect energy input costs, tanker routing, port utilization, and U.S.–India crude and LNG trade volumes. None of these impacts can be assessed with confidence without confirmation from Indian regulators and implementing agencies.

Agriculture Remains Politically and Operationally Sensitive

U.S. officials have suggested expanded access for American agricultural exports. Historically, agriculture has been one of the most protected and politically sensitive sectors in India.

Any meaningful liberalization would raise questions around cold chain capacity, port infrastructure, domestic political resistance, and regulatory compliance. These factors introduce execution risk that supply chain leaders should consider carefully.

Compliance and Digital Trade Issues Are Unresolved

Several areas remain undefined:

Whether India will adjust pharmaceutical patent protections

Whether U.S. technology firms will receive exemptions from digital services taxes

Whether labor and environmental standards will be linked to market access

Each of these issues influences sourcing strategies, contract terms, and long term cost structures.

Practical Guidance for Supply Chain Leaders

Until formal documentation is released, a measured approach is warranted:

Avoid making structural network changes based on political announcements

Model tariff exposure using multiple scenarios rather than a single assumed outcome

Monitor customs and regulatory guidance rather than headline statements

Assess exposure to potential energy cost changes in Indian operations

Track implementation of the India–EU agreement as a near term reference point

Bottom Line

This announcement suggests a potential shift in the direction of India–U.S. trade relations, but it does not yet provide the clarity required for operational decision making.

For now, it creates strategic optionality rather than executable change.

Until tariff schedules, regulatory commitments, and enforcement mechanisms are formally published, supply chain and logistics leaders should treat this development as informational rather than actionable. In trade, execution begins only when the documentation exists.

The post India–U.S. Trade Announcement Creates Strategic Options, Not Executable Change appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

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Winter weather challenges, trade deals and more tariff threats – February 3, 2026 Update

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Winter weather challenges, trade deals and more tariff threats – February 3, 2026 Update

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Published: February 3, 2026

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Weekly highlights

Ocean rates – Freightos Baltic Index

Asia-US West Coast prices (FBX01 Weekly) decreased 10% to $2,418/FEU.

Asia-US East Coast prices (FBX03 Weekly) decreased 2% to $3,859/FEU.

Asia-N. Europe prices (FBX11 Weekly) decreased 5% to $2,779/FEU.

Asia-Mediterranean prices(FBX13 Weekly) decreased 5% to $4,179/FEU.

Air rates – Freightos Air Index

China – N. America weekly prices increased 8% to $6.74/kg.

China – N. Europe weekly prices decreased 4% to $3.44/kg.

N. Europe – N. America weekly prices increased 10% to $2.53/kg.

Analysis

Winter weather is complicating logistics on both sides of the Atlantic. Affected areas in the US, especially the southeast and southern midwest are still recovering from last week’s major storm and cold.

Storms in the North Atlantic slowed vessel traffic and disrupted or shutdown operations at several container ports across Western Europe and into the Mediterranean late last week. Transits resumed and West Med ports restarted operations earlier this week, but the disruptions have already caused significant delays, and weather is expected to worsen again mid-week.

The resulting delays and disruptions could increase congestion levels at N. Europe ports, but ocean rates from Asia to both N. Europe and the Mediterranean nonetheless dipped 5% last week as the pre-Lunar New Year rush comes to an end. Daily rates this week are sliding further with prices to N. Europe now down to about $2,600/FEU and $3,800/FEU to the Mediterranean – from respective highs of $3,000/FEU and $4,900/FEU in January.

Transpacific rates likewise slipped last week as LNY nears, with West Coast prices easing 10% to about $2,400/FEU and East Coast rates down 5% to $3,850/FEU. West Coast daily prices have continued to slide so far this week, with rates dropping to almost $1,900/FEU as of Monday, a level last seen in mid-December.

Prices across these lanes are significantly lower than this time last year due partly to fleet growth. ONE identified overcapacity as one driver of Q3 losses last year, with lower volumes due to trade war frontloading the other culprit.

And trade war uncertainty has persisted into 2026.

India – US container volumes have slumped since August when the US introduced 50% tariffs on many Indian exports. Just this week though, the US and India announced a breakthrough in negotiations that will lower tariffs to 18% in exchange for a reduction in India’s Russian oil purchases among other commitments. President Trump has yet to sign an executive order lowering tariffs, and the sides have not released details of the agreement, but once implemented, container demand is expected to rebound on this lane.

Recent steps in the other direction include Trump issuing an executive order that enables the US to impose tariffs on countries that sell oil to Cuba, and threatening tariffs and other punitive steps targeting Canada’s aviation manufacturing.

The recent volatility of and increasing barriers to trade with the US since Trump took office last year are major drivers of the warmer relations and increased and diversified trade developing between other major economies. The EU signed a major free trade agreement with India last week just after finalizing a deal with a group of South American countries, and other countries like the UK are exploring improved ties with China as well.

In a final recent geopolitical development, Panama’s Supreme Court nullified Hutchinson Port rights to operate its terminals at either end of the Panama Canal. The Hong Kong company was in stalled negotiations to sell those ports following Trump’s objection to a China-related presence in the canal. Maersk’s APMTP was appointed to take over operations in the interim.

In air cargo, pre-LNY demand may be one factor in China-US rates continuing to rebound to $6.74/kg last week from about $5.50/kg in early January. Post the new year slump, South East Asia – US prices are climbing as well, up to almost $5.00/kg last week from $4.00/kg just a few weeks ago.

China – Europe rates dipped 4% to $3.44/kg last week, with SEA – Europe prices up 7% to more than $3.20/kg, and transatlantic rates up 10% to more than $2.50/kg, a level 25% higher than early this year.

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Rate, Book, & Manage: Real-time rate comparison, instant booking, and easy tracking at every shipment stage.

Judah Levine

Head of Research, Freightos Group

Judah is an experienced market research manager, using data-driven analytics to deliver market-based insights. Judah produces the Freightos Group’s FBX Weekly Freight Update and other research on what’s happening in the industry from shipper behaviors to the latest in logistics technology and digitization.

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The post Winter weather challenges, trade deals and more tariff threats – February 3, 2026 Update appeared first on Freightos.

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Microsoft and the Operationalization of AI: Why Platform Strategy Is Colliding with Execution Reality

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Microsoft And The Operationalization Of Ai: Why Platform Strategy Is Colliding With Execution Reality

Microsoft has positioned itself as one of the central platforms for enterprise AI. Through Azure, Copilot, Fabric, and a rapidly expanding ecosystem of AI services, the company is not merely offering tools, it is proposing an operating model for how intelligence should be embedded across enterprise workflows.

For supply chain and logistics leaders, the significance of Microsoft’s strategy is less about individual features and more about how platform decisions increasingly shape where AI lives, how it is governed, and which decisions it ultimately influences.

From Cloud Infrastructure to Operating Layer

Historically, Microsoft’s role in supply chain technology centered on infrastructure and productivity software. Azure provided scalable compute and storage, while Office and collaboration tools supported planning and coordination. That boundary has shifted.

Microsoft is now positioning AI as a horizontal operating layer that spans data management, analytics, decision support, and execution. Azure AI services, Microsoft Fabric, and Copilot are designed to work together, reducing friction between data ingestion, model development, and business consumption.

The implication for operations leaders is subtle but important: AI is no longer something added to systems; it is increasingly embedded into the platforms those systems rely on.

Copilot and the Question of Decision Proximity

Copilot has become a focal point of Microsoft’s AI narrative. Positioned as an assistive layer across applications, Copilot aims to surface insights, generate recommendations, and automate routine tasks.

For supply chain use cases, the key question is not whether Copilot can generate answers, but where those answers appear in the decision chain. Insights delivered inside productivity tools can improve awareness and coordination, but operational value depends on whether recommendations are connected to execution systems.

This highlights a broader pattern: AI that remains advisory improves efficiency; AI that is embedded into workflows influences outcomes. Microsoft’s challenge is bridging that gap consistently across heterogeneous enterprise environments.

Microsoft Fabric and the Data Foundation Problem

Microsoft Fabric represents an attempt to simplify and unify the enterprise data landscape. By combining data engineering, analytics, and governance into a single platform, Microsoft is addressing one of the most persistent barriers to AI adoption: fragmented and inconsistent data.

For supply chain organizations, Fabric’s value lies in its potential to standardize event data across planning, execution, and visibility systems. However, unification does not eliminate the need for data discipline. Event quality, latency, and ownership remain operational issues, not platform features.

Fabric reduces friction, but it does not resolve governance by itself.

Integration with Existing Enterprise Systems

Microsoft’s AI strategy assumes coexistence with existing ERP, WMS, TMS, and planning platforms. Integration, rather than replacement, is the dominant pattern.

This creates both opportunity and risk. On one hand, Microsoft can act as a connective tissue across systems that were never designed to work together. On the other, loosely coupled integration increases dependence on interface stability and data consistency.

In execution-heavy environments, even small integration failures can cascade quickly. As AI becomes more embedded, integration reliability becomes a strategic concern.

Where AI Is Delivering Value, and Where It Isn’t

AI deployments tend to deliver value fastest in areas such as demand sensing, scenario analysis, reporting automation, and exception identification. These use cases align well with Microsoft’s strengths in analytics, collaboration, and scalable infrastructure.

Where value is harder to realize is in autonomous execution. Closed-loop decision-making that directly triggers operational action requires tighter coupling with execution systems and clearer decision ownership.

This reinforces a recurring theme: platform AI accelerates insight, but execution still depends on operating model design.

Constraints That Still Apply

Despite the breadth of Microsoft’s AI portfolio, familiar constraints remain. Data quality, security, compliance, and organizational readiness continue to limit outcomes. AI platforms do not eliminate the need for process clarity or decision accountability.

In some cases, the ease of deploying AI services can outpace an organization’s ability to absorb them operationally. This creates a risk of insight saturation without action.

Why Microsoft Matters to Supply Chain Leaders

Microsoft’s relevance lies in its ability to shape the default environment in which enterprise AI operates. Platform decisions made today influence data architectures, governance models, and user expectations for years.

For supply chain leaders, the key takeaway is not to adopt Microsoft’s AI stack wholesale, but to understand how platform-level AI affects where intelligence sits, how it flows, and who ultimately acts on it.

The next phase of AI adoption will not be defined solely by model performance. It will be defined by how effectively platforms like Microsoft’s translate intelligence into operational decisions under real-world constraints.

The post Microsoft and the Operationalization of AI: Why Platform Strategy Is Colliding with Execution Reality appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.

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