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August 2025 U.S. Container Imports Remain Strong Amid Pullback in China Volumes and Trade Policy Turmoil
Published
8 mois agoon
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In August 2025, U.S. container imports eased modestly from July but remained elevated in the 2.4M–2.6M twenty-foot equivalent unit (TEU) range, underscoring continued strong performance even as China-origin volumes declined. China’s pullback reflects a cooling after July’s rebound, but overall demand remained resilient in the face of ongoing tariff uncertainty and geopolitical risks. While the U.S.–China tariff truce continues to cap duties at 30% through mid-November 2025, reciprocal tariffs expanded to more than 60 countries on August 7, and key tariff measures are now under legal challenge and headed to the Supreme Court, leaving importers to weigh risks and plan mitigation efforts. In addition, the Red Sea crisis, stricter enforcement on China-linked transshipments, and uncertain economic signals continue to challenge global supply chains.
U.S. container imports remain elevated for a second consecutive month.
In August 2025, U.S. container imports reached 2,519,722 TEUs—the second-highest monthly total this year and only narrowly below the record level 2,622,465 TEUs set in May 2022 (see Figure 1). On a year-to-date basis, volumes through August are tracking 3.3% ahead of the same period in 2024, reinforcing the longer-term trend of resilient demand despite policy uncertainty.
Figure 1: U.S. Container Import Volume Year-over-Year Comparison
Source: Descartes Datamyne
August volumes were down 3.9% (102,188 TEUs) from July (see Figure 2), a slightly stronger decline than the 3.0% month-over-month drop recorded in August 2024. While consistent with seasonal levels that August has shown in four of the past five years, the elevated volume also underscores the probable sensitivity to tariff timing as importers continued to adjust shipment flows in response to policy deadlines, including U.S.–China tariff truce and the August 29 repeal of the U.S. de minimis exemption for all countries, which removed duty-free treatment for low-value parcels.
Figure 2: July to August U.S. Container Import Volume Comparison
Source: Descartes Datamyne
Port delays extend modestly in August despite a second month of elevated volumes.
Despite elevated August volumes, port transit time delays increased only modestly over July, indicating that top East and West Coast ports are absorbing the added pressure without major disruption (see Figure 3). In the East, Norfolk (1.1 days) and Charleston (0.2 days) experienced small increases in delays. On the West Coast, Long Beach (1.0 days), Seattle (0.3 days), and Tacoma (0.2 days) also experienced small increases. Los Angeles and New York/New Jersey showed modest decreases in delays, improving to 3.0 days and 6.0 days, respectively; Savannah eased to 4.8 days, and Houston improved to 3.7 days. Oakland held steady at 4.9 days, unchanged from July.
Figure 3: Monthly Average Transit Delays (in days) for the Top 10 Ports (Jun. 2025 – Aug. 2025)
Source: Descartes Datamyne
Note: Descartes’ definition of port transit delay is the difference as measured in days between the Estimated Arrival Date, which is initially declared on the bill of lading, and the date when Descartes receives the CBP-processed bill of lading data.
China-origin imports ease in August amid extended tariff truce.
August imports from China come against the backdrop of the 90-day extension of the U.S.–China tariff truce, which preserves the 30% tariff ceiling through mid-November. Volumes decreased to 869,523 TEUs, down 5.8% month-over-month, 10.8% year-over-year, and 15% compared to the record July 2024 level of 1,022,913 TEUs (see Figure 4). China’s share of total U.S. imports slipped modestly in August to 34.5% from July’s 35.2%.
Figure 4: August 2024–August 2025 Comparison of U.S. Total and Chinese TEU Container Volume Relative to Chinese Import Record
Source: Descartes Datamyne
A large number of China’s top import categories experienced double-digit year-over-year declines. Aluminum and products thereof (HS-76) saw the steepest drop, down 43.9%. Apparel (HS-61, HS-62) and footwear (HS-64) were also down—by more than 20% from August 2024. Additionally, furniture and bedding (HS-94) was down 14.3%, toys and sporting goods (HS-95) down 17.4%, electric machinery (HS-85) down 14.1%, vehicles (HS-87) down 13.4%, and articles of iron or steel (HS-73) down 18.2%. In contrast, plastics (HS-39) grew nearly 10% and expanded its share to over 13% of all China-origin TEUs.
Despite ongoing adjustments across sectors, trade volumes continue to highlight China’s central role in U.S. supply chains; however, with the November deadline looming amid ongoing negotiations, the outlook for China’s share of U.S. imports remains sensitive.
Month-over-month imports from top 10 CoOs ease as China pullback drives overall decline.
August U.S. import volumes from the top 10 countries of origin (CoO) fell 4.4% month-over-month—a combined decline of 83,296 TEUs (see Figure 5). The decrease was led by China, down 53,552 TEUs (5.8%), with notable declines from South Korea (11.8%), Japan (14.5%), and Taiwan (12.9%). Smaller drops from Vietnam (0.5%), Hong Kong (1.4%), Thailand (0.6%), and Germany (1.3%) added to the softening of volumes. Offsetting gains were limited to Indonesia (5.3%) and India (1.7%).
Figure 5: July 2025 to August 2025 Comparison of U.S. Import Volumes from Top 10 Countries of Origin
Source: Descartes Datamyne
Modest year-over-year CoO growth driven by Vietnam, India, and Thailand.
Compared to August 2024, August 2025 volumes from the top 10 CoOs rose by a slight 0.7%—a net gain of 11,818 TEUs (see Figure 6). The increase was driven by strong growth from Vietnam (25.2%), India (34.0%), Thailand (35.6%), and Indonesia (45.6%), with additional gains from Japan (4.3%) and Hong Kong (2.1%). These advances more than offset declines from China (10.8%), South Korea (11.0%), Germany (9.8%), and Taiwan (9.4%). The pattern underscores ongoing diversification toward South and Southeast Asia even as China remains the largest, but most volatile, source of U.S. imports.
Figure 6: August 2024 to August 2025 Comparison of U.S. Import Volumes from Top 10 Countries of Origin
Source: Descartes Datamyne
Managing supply chain risk through the remainder of 2025.
While U.S. container import volumes showed continued strong performance in August, global supply chains continue to grapple with volatility. In the face of ongoing tariff uncertainty and geopolitical risks, U.S. importers need to continue to evaluate strategies and tactics to mitigate risk, build greater supply chain resiliency, and adapt their operations in a rapidly shifting trade landscape.
By Jackson Wood, Director of Industry Strategy at Descartes
Notes:
1. U.S. tariff rates cited in this report were current as of 4pm ET on September 5, 2025.
2. This report uses the initial compiled release of publicly available U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) Bill of Lading (BOL) data for all U.S. ports, which provides a standard, official source of data for reporting on maritime trade. This data can be subject to modification later by CBP. The modified data can be seen in Descartes Datamyne where U.S. maritime records are processed daily. Descartes Datamyne is ISO 9001 certified.
3. In Descartes Datamyne, twenty-foot equivalent units (TEU) are calculated using a combination of container size and weight as declared on Bills of Lading filed with U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP).
The post August 2025 U.S. Container Imports Remain Strong Amid Pullback in China Volumes and Trade Policy Turmoil appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.
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Saudi Arabia’s Logistics Giant Would Be More Than a PIF Portfolio Move
Published
3 jours agoon
22 mai 2026By
Saudi Arabia’s reported plan to consolidate port, rail, and shipping assets under the Public Investment Fund is not just an infrastructure story. It reflects a larger shift in global supply chains: logistics networks are becoming instruments of resilience, industrial policy, and geopolitical optionality.
Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF), the Kingdom’s sovereign wealth fund and one of the main vehicles for executing Vision 2030, is reportedly considering the creation of a national logistics champion by combining parts of its portfolio across ports, rail, and shipping. The assets under discussion could include Bahri, the National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia and one of the Kingdom’s core maritime carriers, along with Saudi Global Ports and Saudi Railway Co. The result could be a larger platform capable of attracting foreign capital, supporting domestic industrial growth, and strengthening Saudi Arabia’s ambition to become a global logistics hub.
The discussions remain preliminary. No final decision has been made, and the final asset mix could change. But the strategic logic is clear. Saudi Arabia is trying to move from owning logistics assets to controlling logistics corridors.
That distinction matters. In a more volatile trade environment, ports, railways, shipping fleets, inland hubs, and data networks are no longer separate pieces of infrastructure. They are part of a national operating system for trade.
Hormuz Has Raised the Stakes
The reported PIF discussions began before the current Middle East crisis, but disruption around the Strait of Hormuz has made the strategic case more urgent. The Strait remains one of the world’s most sensitive maritime chokepoints. Any sustained disruption forces governments, carriers, and shippers to reassess route redundancy, port diversification, and inland alternatives.
That type of shock changes how supply chains are evaluated. The issue is no longer simply port capacity or freight cost. It is route survivability.
For Saudi Arabia, the Red Sea becomes more than a western coastline. It becomes strategic redundancy. East-west rail links, dry ports, inland logistics hubs, and Red Sea gateways all become more valuable when Gulf access is constrained.
This is why a Saudi logistics consolidation would not just be a financial restructuring. It would be a resilience move. A single platform could coordinate flows across ports, rail, maritime assets, and inland distribution nodes more effectively than a fragmented group of separately managed companies.
Vision 2030 Already Points in This Direction
Saudi Arabia’s National Transport and Logistics Strategy explicitly aims to integrate transport modes and logistics services while supporting Vision 2030. One of its stated pillars is to transform the Kingdom into a logistics hub.
That policy backdrop is important. PIF is not acting in isolation. Saudi Arabia’s National Industrial Development and Logistics Program also frames logistics as a central part of the Kingdom’s push to become a leading industrial power and global logistics hub.
Logistics fits the Vision 2030 agenda unusually well. It can generate recurring cash flow, support industrial development, attract foreign capital, and improve national competitiveness. It also gives Saudi Arabia a practical way to convert geography into economic power.
The UAE Is the Benchmark
The obvious regional benchmark is the United Arab Emirates. Dubai’s rise as a trade hub was closely tied to DP World and Jebel Ali. Jebel Ali is one of the world’s major port and logistics complexes, with global shipping connections that helped establish Dubai as a regional trade gateway.
Abu Dhabi has built its own logistics-centered growth engine through AD Ports Group, which has become an important contributor to the emirate’s non-oil economy.
Saudi Arabia’s ambition is different in scale. It has a larger domestic economy, deeper industrial ambitions, Gulf and Red Sea access, and a sovereign wealth fund capable of forcing consolidation across major portfolio assets. But the competitive lesson from the UAE is clear: logistics can be a national economic platform, not just a transport service.
Bahri and Rail Matter Because This Is Not Just a Port Story
A Saudi logistics champion would be more credible if it links maritime, rail, and inland logistics assets into an integrated corridor model.
Bahri is central to that logic. The company is the national shipping carrier of Saudi Arabia, with operations across crude oil transportation, chemicals, dry bulk, integrated logistics, and multipurpose cargo.
Saudi Railway Co. would bring a different piece of the system: inland connectivity. Rail becomes strategically powerful when it connects ports, industrial zones, dry ports, and consumption centers in ways that reduce dependency on congested maritime chokepoints.
That combination matters. Ports provide gateways. Shipping provides international reach. Rail provides inland movement. Dry ports and logistics zones provide cargo consolidation, customs clearance, and distribution. The strategic value comes from tying these together into a corridor system.
The Real Prize Is Network Control
The most important logistics companies are no longer just asset owners. They are network orchestrators.
Owning terminals, vessels, rail assets, warehouses, or trucks is valuable. But the higher-margin and more strategic layer is the ability to coordinate those assets across capacity, risk, time, and customer demand.
This is where Saudi Arabia’s plan becomes more interesting for supply chain technology vendors. A national logistics champion would eventually need modern systems across several layers: transport visibility, terminal operations, rail and intermodal planning, customs compliance, risk monitoring, digital twins, AI-assisted planning, exception management, and corridor-level performance analytics.
The physical network is only the first layer. The second layer is the data architecture. The third is decision intelligence.
This aligns with the broader argument in ARC’s AI in the Supply Chain research: the future of logistics depends on connected intelligence across systems, agents, data, and network relationships, rather than isolated software deployments.
What Shippers Should Watch
For shippers, the key question is not whether Saudi Arabia creates another large logistics company. The question is whether it creates a credible alternative routing and distribution platform.
There are four practical issues to watch.
First, can Saudi Arabia turn Red Sea access into dependable corridor capacity? The strategic value of the Red Sea rises when Gulf routes are constrained, but the corridor still needs predictable port performance, inland connectivity, customs efficiency, and carrier participation.
Second, can rail become a true freight backbone rather than a national infrastructure project? Rail becomes strategically powerful when it connects ports, industrial zones, dry ports, and major consumption centers.
Third, can PIF attract international capital without reducing strategic control? The reported possibility of outside investment or an eventual IPO would make governance, transparency, and operating performance more important.
Fourth, can Saudi Arabia build the digital layer required for modern logistics orchestration? Infrastructure can move freight. Digital coordination makes freight networks resilient.
What Technology Vendors Should Watch
For supply chain technology providers, this could become a major regional opportunity, but not as a conventional enterprise software sale.
A Saudi logistics platform of this kind would need systems that support multi-enterprise coordination across ports, rail, carriers, customs agencies, industrial zones, and international customers. The relevant categories include visibility, control towers, global trade management, transport planning, digital twins, integration layers, and AI-enabled exception management.
The requirement would be corridor intelligence: the ability to sense disruption, evaluate alternatives, coordinate capacity, and support decisions across multiple physical and institutional boundaries.
That is a more complex problem than optimizing a private supply chain. It is closer to building a national-scale logistics operating layer.
The Strategic Takeaway
Saudi Arabia’s reported logistics consolidation is best understood as part of a larger global shift. Supply chain infrastructure is being revalued. Maritime chokepoints are being reassessed. Sovereign capital is moving toward assets that can provide recurring returns while strengthening national resilience.
The UAE proved that logistics can be a national growth engine. Saudi Arabia is now attempting to build a version that is larger, more industrially connected, and more explicitly tied to national transformation.
But the test will not be whether PIF can assemble the assets. It likely can.
The test will be whether Saudi Arabia can turn those assets into an integrated, trusted, digitally coordinated logistics network. In the next phase of global supply chain competition, the winners will not simply own ports or vessels. They will control optionality.
The post Saudi Arabia’s Logistics Giant Would Be More Than a PIF Portfolio Move appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.
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From Functional Software to Decision Architectures: How AI Is Reshaping Supply Chain Technology
Published
3 jours agoon
22 mai 2026By
Supply chain technology has traditionally been evaluated by functional category. AI is pushing the market toward a different question: what decisions does the architecture improve, and how directly are those decisions connected to execution?
Supply Chain Software Has Been Organized by Function
The supply chain software market has long been organized around functional categories.
Planning systems support forecasting, supply planning, inventory optimization, and scenario analysis. Transportation management systems support routing, carrier selection, freight execution, and settlement. Warehouse management systems support labor, inventory movement, slotting, and fulfillment. Visibility platforms track shipments and identify disruption. Procurement systems support sourcing, supplier management, and spend control.
These categories remain useful. They reflect real operating domains and real software architectures.
But AI is beginning to change how buyers should evaluate the market.
Download the full ARC Advisory Group white paper, AI in the Supply Chain: From Architecture to Execution, for a deeper framework on how supply chain AI is moving from technical architecture toward decision intelligence, operational execution, and coordinated action across planning, logistics, sourcing, fulfillment, and risk management.
The Question Is Shifting from Function to Decision
The key question is no longer only what function a system supports. The more important question is what decisions it improves.
That is a different lens.
A planning system may improve demand decisions. A visibility platform may improve exception decisions. A TMS may improve routing and carrier decisions. A risk platform may improve sourcing or mitigation decisions. A control tower may improve cross-functional response decisions.
AI is causing these categories to blur because many of the highest-value decisions do not sit neatly inside one functional application.
Consider a late inbound shipment.
A transportation system may detect the delay. A visibility platform may estimate the arrival impact. An inventory system may identify stockout exposure. A planning system may update the supply plan. A customer service system may adjust commitments. A procurement system may evaluate alternate supply. Finance may need to understand cost implications.
The business decision is not confined to one software category.
It is a decision architecture problem.
AI Is Blurring Traditional Software Boundaries
That distinction is becoming central to the next phase of supply chain technology.
Vendors are embedding AI into planning, execution, visibility, procurement, and risk platforms. Their starting points differ, but the direction is consistent: they are trying to support decisions that cross functional boundaries.
This creates a new way to evaluate market structure.
One decision domain is procurement and commercial orchestration. Here, AI supports supplier selection, negotiation strategy, risk assessment, contract awareness, and commercial tradeoffs.
Another is network planning and resilience. This includes decisions about inventory placement, capacity, sourcing exposure, production constraints, and disruption mitigation.
Another is logistics and fulfillment execution. AI supports routing, carrier selection, warehouse prioritization, service recovery, and customer commitment decisions.
Another is exception management and resolution. This may be the most immediate domain for operational AI because exceptions require fast interpretation, prioritization, ownership, and coordinated response.
These are not merely software modules. They are decision environments.
Buyers Need a Different Evaluation Framework
That matters for buyers.
A company evaluating AI-enabled supply chain technology should ask several questions.
What decision is this system designed to improve? What data and context does it use? Does it generate insight, recommend action, or initiate execution? Can the recommendation be audited? Does the system understand operational constraints? How does it connect to ERP, WMS, TMS, planning, procurement, and customer-facing systems? What happens when the AI recommendation is rejected or overridden?
These questions are more useful than asking whether a vendor has AI.
Nearly every vendor now has an AI story. The more important issue is whether that AI improves a decision that matters.
This is particularly important as AI moves closer to execution. A recommendation about a forecast has one level of consequence. A recommendation that changes inventory allocation, carrier selection, customer commitments, or supplier sourcing has another. The closer AI gets to operational consequence, the more important context, governance, auditability, and integration become.
AI capability alone is not enough. The capability has to fit the decision environment.
Market Maps Should Reflect Decision Architectures
This shift also has implications for market maps and competitive positioning.
Traditional categories will not disappear, but they will become less sufficient. A vendor may start in visibility but move toward exception orchestration. A planning vendor may move toward autonomous decision support. A procurement platform may become a supplier intelligence system. A logistics execution provider may become a broader decision coordination layer.
The market is moving from functional software toward decision architectures.
This does not mean every platform will become a full decision intelligence layer. Nor does it mean buyers should abandon functional depth. Operational execution still requires robust systems of record and systems of execution.
But AI creates value when these systems are connected to a decision layer that can interpret changing conditions and coordinate action.
That is the structural shift.
In the next phase of supply chain AI, competitive advantage will come less from isolated features and more from the ability to improve decisions across functions. The strongest architectures will connect signals, context, reasoning, governance, and execution.
The Buyer Question Is Changing
For technology buyers, the evaluation framework must change.
The question is not simply: what does the software do?
The better question is: what decisions does it make better, faster, more reliable, and more executable?
That question will increasingly define how supply chain technology markets are understood. It will also define which vendors are positioned as functional application providers and which are positioned as decision architecture providers.
AI is not eliminating the traditional supply chain software stack. ERP, WMS, TMS, planning, procurement, visibility, and risk platforms will remain essential. But the market is moving toward architectures that can connect those systems around real decisions.
That is where the next phase of value will emerge.
Supply chain technology is no longer only about managing functions. It is increasingly about improving the decisions that connect those functions.
That is the shift from functional software to decision architectures.
The post From Functional Software to Decision Architectures: How AI Is Reshaping Supply Chain Technology appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.
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Weaving Trust and Transparency into the Industrial Ecosystem
Published
4 jours agoon
21 mai 2026By
This is the final blog in a series that reviews discussions that occurred during ARC Advisory Group’s 2026 Industry Leadership Forum. Specifically, it details a keynote conversation held with senior executives from Rolls-Royce, BTX Precision, and MxD. The session was entitled The New Fabric of Demand: Modernizing Collaboration and Transparency for Real-time Production. Read the full four-part series here: Connected Manufacturing Networks and the New Supply Chain – Logistics Viewpoints
Pillar 3: The Agile Manufacturing Partner
Over the last few weeks, I’ve explored the fundamental shift required to survive in today’s non-linear industrial landscape, breaking down the distinct roles that have emerged in hyperconnected, digital economies. I’ll conclude this blog series by looking at the Agile Partner, the execution engine that makes this entire ecosystem function.
The first pillar, the Market Signal, defines the parameters of value. The second, the Demand Architect, orchestrates the structural response. The third and final pillar in the new fabric of demand is the Agile Manufacturing Partner, the critical link that connects supply chain dynamics directly to the shop floor. This pillar consists of modern manufacturers who fully understand that competitive advantage is currently being completely redefined and measured by ecosystem responsiveness. During the presentation portion of my Wednesday keynote at the 30th annual ARC Industry Leadership Forum, Jamie Goettler of BTX Precision provided a perfect example of the Agile Partner in practice.
Trust as a Technical Requirement
Historically, industrial partnerships were often cemented through long-term agreements. Due to their rigid, ongoing structure, they inevitably layered in operational friction, perhaps unintentionally, as a means to wall off intellectual property (IP) and guard competitive expertise from being exposed. Today, however, that is changing. Now, trust has evolved from a soft, intangible benefit into a hard technical requirement.
One of BTX’s top customers recently adopted an AI-driven “should cost” system. To make this work, BTX feeds the customer’s software highly guarded operational parameters, detailing exactly how long specific processes take, what their overhead costs are, and even their margin positions. As a revenue officer, Jamie admitted that sharing margin data was traditionally unthinkable.
Yet, by embracing this level of contextualized data transparency, BTX allows the customer to instantly run 3D models through the system and generate highly accurate pricing and capacity checks. This fundamentally shortens the supply chain, turning a protracted, adversarial negotiation into a rapid, secure exchange of value. As the Agile Partner, BTX Precision recognizes that providing a transparent “lens” into their operations is the only way to meet the compressed speed of modern demand.
Focusing on Practical Agility
It is easy to assume this level of integration requires massive, expensive IT overhauls. While it does require change, that expectation needs to be tempered by reality. As Berardino Baratta of MxD mentioned during the panel, 75 percent of US manufacturers have fewer than 20 employees. Most of these critical sub-tier suppliers do not have IT departments or CISOs, and many still rely on paper and spreadsheets.
For an Agile Partner, modernization cannot mean adopting technology just for the sake of having it. As I have emphasized when discussing industrial AI bloat, enterprises must focus on innovation and value on investment (VOI), rather than just traditional efficiency and ROI. BTX applied this pragmatic approach directly to its quoting process. Instead of mandating a monolithic ERP system across all of its newly acquired, decentralized businesses, it targeted the specific, frustrating bottleneck of quoting productivity. By moving from a disorganized system of manila folders to a cloud-based AI and machine learning tool, it accelerated its quoting speed by six times. This outcome-based approach secures internal buy-in because it makes the employees’ lives demonstrably easier while driving immediate business value.
Aligning Humans in the Ecosystem
You cannot build a resilient, non-linear fabric of demand without aligning the humans who operate it. In the rush to deploy new technologies, it is a critical mistake to try and replace human knowledge with artificial intelligence too quickly. True digital transformation leaders understand that they must actively align incentives and be brutally transparent about their objectives.
Berardino shared an example of this involving union shops. When an initiative proposed putting cameras and sensors on manufacturing workers to build digital twins, the initial union response was refusal. However, when the stakeholders were transparent that the true goal was to monitor worker fatigue and reduce shop-floor injuries, the union recognized the aligned incentives and immediately asked how they could help. When an enterprise treats its partners and people as secure, integrated extensions of its own success, resistance transforms into collaboration.
In a non-linear digital economy, isolation is a strategy for obsolescence. The new fabric of demand is tightly woven from these three pillars: an enterprise actively reading the market signal, demand architects creating a supportive structure, and agile partners executing using transparent collaboration. Collectively, the ecosystem then achieves a compounding competitive advantage that no legacy methods can touch.
The post Weaving Trust and Transparency into the Industrial Ecosystem appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.
Saudi Arabia’s Logistics Giant Would Be More Than a PIF Portfolio Move
From Functional Software to Decision Architectures: How AI Is Reshaping Supply Chain Technology
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