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Autonomous Business Planning Is Not Only Possible, It Has Already Been Achieved
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2 ans agoon
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During my current supply chain planning market research, I have received briefings from several SCP companies. All are investing in artificial intelligence. Many say that they are using generative AI, a type of AI that can create new content and ideas, as part of their journey toward autonomous planning. Autonomous planning is a type of planning that takes humans out of the planning loop.
But Omer Bakkalbasi, the chief innovation officer at Solvoyo, says they are already there. “We feel we are ahead of our times. The people who work with us are those who really, truly believe in what we believed in from the start, that is, autonomous supply chains are possible. That was our vision, even starting back in 2010. Our clients have realized that dream and are benefiting from it.” They are creating new efficiencies for these customers because they are creating plans that can be executed a high percentage of the time.
Solvoyo has a metric they call the user acceptance rate. This metric measures the percentage of time the planners accept replenishment, transportation, or inventory plans as they are without any change in the timing of the delivery or the quantity to be delivered. Having a 95% user acceptance rate would mean that 95% of the planning recommendations are executed as is.
At one of their customers, A101, Solvoyo says they have reached a 99.5% planner acceptance rate. I talked to A101 in 2021, and the Turkish convenience store retailer had achieved 99% autonomous planning for all products not subject to spoilage.
At a division of one of the world’s largest consumer goods companies, 85% autonomy on manufacturing plans and 95% acceptance of proposed purchase orders has been achieved. A division of Unilever is also on an autonomous planning journey with Solvoyo.
But when he presents this to many companies, they don’t believe it. “I presented this at Home Depot, and an executive looked me right in the eye and said that’s too good to be true. It’s not possible. Nobody will give that much control of their plan to an algorithm.”
“But we’re not an algorithm,” Mr. Bakkalbasi states firmly. “We are a platform. “The platform collects data and makes sure the master data is internally consistent. If a user makes changes to the plan, they log that data. Planners that do not accept the plan presented to them need to select a reason code for why the plan was not good enough. This allows the system to learn and improves the quality of the engine’s output. It is a “continuous feedback loop.” Getting to over 95% plan acceptance rates does involve a lot of sweat and blood” from both their customers and a dedicated analyst from Solvoyo.
However, the improvement process starts with the reason codes. Once planners must select a reason code, acceptance rates improve significantly.
Further, the journey to autonomous planning does not rely on a highly accurate forecast. “I have not cared for 20 years”, Mr. Bakkalbasi states with force, what level of forecast accuracy is achieved. “Forecasting is not an actionable item.” You don’t act on a forecast; you act on what you purchase. “That’s an action. You manufacture stuff. That’s an action. You set a target inventory level. Accepting that as a parameter, that’s an action. You route a truck. That’s an action.”
The solution is creating an inventory target by SKU by channel that is automatically updated based on changes in historical sales, weather, and other external demand drivers. When forecasting accuracy improves, achieving on-time in full can be accomplished with less inventory. “That is why I don’t care about forecast accuracy.”
The journey to achieve a high degree of autonomous planning starts with becoming digital, then becoming intelligent, and finally achieving autonomy. “And you can’t skip a stage.”
“What does ‘digital” mean? Mr. Bakkalbasi asks rhetorically. “You have to have a digital platform where you get all your relevant data.” And that data has “to be internally consistent. The number one requirement for autonomous planning is master data management. If you don’t have your master data correct,” you can’t possibly succeed on this journey.
Longer terms plans are being created, the sales and operations plans, but plans will also change as circumstances change. If the amount of material a supplier can provide changes, the platform must know that immediately. For a fulfillment plan, the dimensions of the pallets and the trucks, the number of trucks available, and the capacity of a warehouse must be current and accurate.
Second, plans must be intelligent. The algorithms to be used and customer priority rules must be established. You can’t constantly swap out algorithms, change customer allocation logic, and achieve autonomous planning.
Intelligence is also related to how the solution is being used. The platform not only tracks plan acceptance, it tracks how often the different pages are used. “What does that mean? We have lots of functions, lots of analytics, lots of reports.” The system tracks who uses each of these pages and how long they use them for. What is the point of producing a report that nobody uses? “That kind of accountability is required,” Mr. Bakkalbasi explains, “before you focus on automation.”
Mr. Bakkalbasi closed by admitting that many customers see autonomous planning as risky. He admitted that many of their customers are only in the beginning stages of their autonomous planning journey. He is particularly frustrated that they have proved that autonomous planning provides strong results in one division of a global company but then not being able to get other divisions to pay attention to what has been achieved.
The post Autonomous Business Planning Is Not Only Possible, It Has Already Been Achieved appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.
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Ocean freight forwarding is an $80+ billion market bogged down by the manual processes related to booking management, documentation services, and the coordination labor that holds it all together.
When working with a freight forwarder, you’re buying three things bundled together:
Carrier relationships — access to capacity, negotiated rates, allocation commitments.
Operational data — knowing which carrier fits a given lane, what documents a particular trade corridor requires, how to handle an exception when a booking gets rejected.
Coordination labor — the booking itself, the documents per container (industry estimates range from 9 to 18 depending on the corridor), the re-keying of data across disconnected systems, the email chains chasing confirmations and clearances.
Shippers have always paid for the bundle because you couldn’t get one piece without the others, but that’s changing.
Where the bundle comes apart
Travel agents used to bundle airline relationships, destination expertise, and the labor of putting trips together into a single fee. Aggregator platforms unbundled the pieces, and the booking layer went first because that’s where the volume was. Ocean freight forwarding is in the same position. More than digitizing booking, though, AI is automating it.
The bulk of the volume and labor cost for freight forwarders is tied up in rate comparisons across dozens of carriers, document preparation and routing by trade lane and commodity classification, booking execution against pre-negotiated contracts, and exception triage on rejected bookings.
But this is all high-volume, rule-governed, multi-system coordination where speed and consistency matter more than creativity. Exactly the type of work that AI agents are well-equipped to handle.
Platforms can now ingest a rate agreement, parse surcharges and FAK provisions into a digital rate profile, compare carriers on cost, transit time, and schedule reliability, and execute a booking based on pre-defined parameters, without a human in the loop.
Automating the entire order lifecycle
Every dollar of margin exposure in ocean freight traces back to a decision made without complete information. That means that every action must be rooted in live network data across shipment flows, carrier performance, and insight from inventory and order systems. A platform with that intelligence can automate and accelerate the full workflow from detecting a supply shortfall, selecting a carrier, booking the container, managing the documents, tracking the shipment, and handling exceptions.
A shipper stitching together a rate tool from one vendor, a booking portal from another, a document system from a third, and a visibility feed from a fourth gets digitization. They get a slightly faster version of the same manual process. The full picture still lives in a person’s head, and the handoffs between systems still require human coordination.
While freight forwarders and other intermediaries are also investing in AI, they’re primarily automating their own coordination labor before someone else absorbs it. But they can’t replicate the data advantage of a platform that sits across the entire supply chain.
A forwarder automating its booking desk draws on its own transaction history. A point solution built specifically for ocean booking draws on booking data. A platform processing millions of supply chain events daily across orders, inventory, carrier performance, and live shipment status, has a different signal base entirely. Carrier selection informed by real-time schedule reliability, live network disruption, and your actual inventory positions is structurally more accurate than carrier selection informed by historical rate tables.
The shrinking intermediary layer
The moats around freight forwarders’ profit margins are eroding, and the lines between legacy endpoint solutions are blurring. High-complexity corridors and specialized commodities still need human expertise, but the bread-and-butter containerized freight that makes up the bulk of forwarder revenue is the volume where automated workflows shine.
Meanwhile, software providers will have a hard time selling dashboards and chatbots to specific teams compared to AI-native platforms offering a single operating system across all supply chain operations, and serving downstream stakeholders.
The question for forwarders is how long they can keep patching automation onto a fragmented architecture with a booking tool here, a document system there, people bridging the handoffs in between. And how much revenue sits in structured, repeatable work that a connected platform absorbs?
For shippers, the choice is whether to invest in a platform that automates the order-to-delivery and exception lifecycle, or keep paying others to hold the pieces together. The second option is a decision to fund the intermediary layer sitting between them and their own data.
The post The Freight Forwarder Moat Is Getting Shallower appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.
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Supply Chain and Logistics News Week of May 7th 2026
Published
19 heures agoon
8 mai 2026By
The logistics and supply chain landscape is undergoing a fundamental transformation as industries move from rigid, low-cost models toward strategies defined by agility and resilience. This week’s roundup explores how major players are navigating this shift, from Amazon’s bold move to offer its massive infrastructure as a standalone service to Ford’s strategic manufacturing reset in the EV sector. We also dive into the critical human element in modern cost engineering, the logistical reimagining of energy corridors due to geopolitical risks, and the new AI-driven tools closing the gap between inventory detection and real-time execution. Together, these developments highlight a common theme: the pursuit of flexibility and data-driven intelligence in an increasingly unpredictable global market.
Top Supply Chain Stories from this Week:
Modern Cost Engineering Evolution: Rewiring the Human Element for Supply Chain Resilience
In the latest shift for cost engineering, the focus is moving beyond purely digital tools to address the critical human element required for true supply chain resilience. As industrial organizations transition from traditional backward-looking estimates to modern “should-cost” methods powered by AI and digital twins, the real challenge lies in workforce transformation. Success in this new landscape requires a significant cultural shift, moving away from isolated departmental silos toward cross-functional collaboration. By reskilling traditional estimators to act as strategic consultants—capable of interpreting material science and operational constraints—companies can evolve from simple price negotiation to collaborative manufacturing improvements that ensure mutual profitability and long-term stability.
Hormuz Risk Is Redrawing the Supply Chain Geography of Energy
Geopolitical instability in the Strait of Hormuz is forcing a fundamental shift in energy logistics, moving the industry away from lowest-cost network design toward a risk-adjusted model. With the waterway handling roughly 20% of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas, repeated disruptions have transformed infrastructure like pipelines, storage terminals, and deep-water ports outside the Persian Gulf into high-value strategic assets. Nations and corporations are no longer viewing these as simple logistics nodes, but as essential escape routes that provide the optionality and recovery time needed to withstand chokepoint failures. This selective redesign of the global energy map signals a new era where geography and physical redundancy are the primary drivers of supply chain resilience.
Ford’s Manufacturing Reset Shows How Automakers Are Rebuilding the EV Supply Chain
Ford’s manufacturing pivot represents a fundamental shift from aggressive electric vehicle expansion toward capital discipline and supply chain flexibility. By taking a $19.5 billion write-down and restructuring battery joint ventures, the company is moving away from rigid, single-purpose production lines in favor of multi-energy platforms that can adapt to fluctuating demand for hybrids and EVs. A key component of this reset is the repurposing of battery manufacturing assets in Kentucky and Michigan for stationary energy storage and data center support. This strategy transforms these facilities into flexible energy infrastructure rather than just automotive supply nodes. Ultimately, Ford is signaling that the next phase of the market will be defined by the ability to manage uncertainty through cross-functional asset utilization and a focus on manufacturing-driven affordability.
How FourKites Connects Stockout Detection to Freight Execution in Minutes
FourKites has launched a unified solution that bridges the gap between stockout detection and freight execution, reducing resolution time from hours to less than five minutes. By integrating its Inventory Twin and Booking Connect AI, the platform eliminates the traditional “manual scavenger hunt” where planners had to jump between ERPs and carrier portals to resolve inventory gaps. The system uses decision intelligence to identify stockout risks up to six weeks in advance and provides ranked recommendations for corrective transfers based on cost, speed, and carrier performance. This closed-loop workflow allows planners to execute optimized shipping options with a single click, addressing the massive financial impact of inventory distortion and reducing the need for expensive, unplanned expedited shipping.
Amazon Launches “Supply Chain Services” Leveraging its Global Logistics Network
Amazon has officially launched Amazon Supply Chain Services (ASCS), a move that decouples its massive logistics infrastructure from its retail marketplace to serve as a standalone utility for all businesses. Similar to the trajectory of Amazon Web Services (AWS), the platform opens up Amazon’s multimodal freight, automated warehousing, and last-mile parcel delivery networks to companies regardless of whether they sell on Amazon. Major early adopters like Procter & Gamble, 3M, and Lands’ End are already leveraging the service to move everything from raw materials to finished products. By consolidating fragmented logistics contracts into a single automated interface, Amazon aims to use its scale—currently moving 13 billion items annually—to provide businesses with end-to-end visibility and 96.4% on-time delivery rates, signaling a significant new challenge to traditional 3PLs and carriers like FedEx and UPS.
Song of the week:
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How FourKites Connects Stockout Detection to Freight Execution in Minutes
Published
1 jour agoon
7 mai 2026By
FourKites is bridging the gap between identifying a problem and solving it. With the integration of Inventory Twin and Booking Connect AI. Traditionally, supply chain planners have been stuck in a manual scavenger hunt whenever a stockout alert surfaced, jumping between ERPs to find surplus stock and carrier portals to secure freight. This fragmented process typically took hours, often forcing companies to rely on expensive, last-minute expedited shipping or facing steep On-Time In-Full (OTIF) penalties to avoid customer dissatisfaction. By unifying these disparate data streams, the new solution allows teams to detect risks two to six weeks in advance and execute corrective transfers from a single, seamless workflow.
The impact on operational efficiency is significant, reducing the resolution time from detection to execution from several hours to less than five minutes. Instead of just receiving a warning, planners are presented with recommendations powered by Decision Intelligence that include the fastest, cheapest, and most optimal shipping options based on real-time carrier performance data. This closed-loop system directly addresses the 1.73 trillion dollar global issue of inventory distortion and aims to eliminate the 15-25 hours planners previously spent on manual coordination.
By keeping a human in the loop to select the best recommendation with a single click, FourKites ensures that exceptions are resolved without ever leaving the platform. This integration helps protect freight budgets, where unplanned expedited shipping often consumes up to 48% of total spend. This launch represents a shift from reactive firefighting to proactive execution, allowing teams to move away from costly safety stock and focus on high-value responsibilities. Supply chain planner responsibilities are changing with the continued developments of AI and the de-siloing of disparate systems.
FourKites is a supply chain technology provider that operates a global real-time visibility network tracking over 3.2 million shipments daily across 200 countries and territories. By integrating data from 1.1 million carriers across all modes (road, rail, ocean, and air), the platform uses AI-powered “digital workers” to automate exception resolution and provide predictive insights. More than 1,600 global brands, including leaders in the CPG and Food & Beverage sectors, trust FourKites to transform their logistics from reactive tracking into proactive, intelligent orchestration.
Read the full ARC brief breaking down the new FourKites solution here: https://www.fourkites.com/research/arc-advisory-stockout-detection-freight-execution/
The post How FourKites Connects Stockout Detection to Freight Execution in Minutes appeared first on Logistics Viewpoints.
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